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Senate Control Hangs in the Balance

by Stuart Rothenberg February 24, 2012 · 1:00 PM EST

The fight for control of the United States Senate changed only slightly, but still noticeably, over the past three months, as President Barack Obama’s poll numbers improved and the focus on the GOP presidential race further damaged an already weak Republican brand.

With the focus of political…

2012 Senate Overview (February 24, 2012) Arizona - Michigan

February 24, 2012 · 12:58 PM EST

ARIZONA – Open; Jon Kyl (R), not seeking reelection. August 28 primary.

Democrats remain optimistic about their chances of picking up this open seat, predicated largely on what they see as a strong recruit in former U.S. Surgeon General (under George W. Bush) Richard Carmona, who jumped into…

2012 Senate Overview (February 24, 2012) Minnesota - Ohio

February 24, 2012 · 12:57 PM EST

MINNESOTA – Amy Klobuchar (D), elected 2006 (58%). August 14 primary.

GOP operatives privately admit that Sen. Klobuchar is an excellent politician. Pete Hegseth, executive director of Vets for Freedom, just got into the race. Klobuchar ended December with about $4.6 million in the bank and is…

2012 Senate Overview (February 24, 2012) Pennsylvania - Wyoming

February 24, 2012 · 12:57 PM EST

PENNSYLVANIA – Bob Casey (D), elected 2006 (59%). April 24 primary.

Casey isn’t charismatic, but his positioning as a pro-union, cultural moderate is a good one for a Democrat in the Keystone State. And the Casey name (his father was governor) is still a plus in parts of the state.

A number…

Presidential Race Map: Obama vs. Santorum

by Stuart Rothenberg February 24, 2012 · 12:56 PM EST

After running many Obama-Romney maps and one Obama-Gingrich map, we figured it was time to offer our initial thoughts on an Obama-Santorum match-up.

Former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum is in a remarkable place now. Starting far behind the top tier candidates in the GOP race, he has…

2012 Senate Ratings (February 24, 2012)

February 24, 2012 · 12:55 PM EST

2012 House Ratings (February 24, 2012)

February 24, 2012 · 12:53 PM EST

When Do Political Rules No Longer Apply?

by Stuart Rothenberg February 22, 2012 · 9:59 AM EST

If I told you that the Oakland A’s or the Pittsburgh Pirates would be in the Major League Baseball playoffs this year instead of the New York Yankees, Boston Red Sox, Philadelphia Phillies, Texas Rangers or Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim, you’d probably have me institutionalized.

At the very…