Archive

Under the Radar, Republicans Seek Gov Gains Across the Country

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 16, 2011 · 3:00 PM EST

While most of the attention focused on 2012 is on the presidential contest and the fight for the House and Senate, Republicans are looking to extend their advantage in governorships across the country.

After the 2010 elections, Republicans control 29 governorships compared to 22 for Democrats,…

Newt’s Surge: How High, How Long?

by Stuart Rothenberg December 16, 2011 · 2:58 PM EST

The rise of former House Speaker Newt Gingrich is as real as it is unexpected.

Unlike Rick Perry’s surge upon entering the GOP race or Herman Cain’s surge after Perry stalled, Gingrich’s rise in the polls is different because his standing in the party is different than those who rose and fell…

Illinois 12: A Tall Order

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 16, 2011 · 2:58 PM EST

Democrats used their redistricting power to slice up Republican districts and incumbents across the state of Illinois. But Cong. Jerry Costello’s (D) surprising retirement gives Republicans an opportunity to swipe a seat in President Obama’s home state.

Before his announcement, Republicans…

2012 House Ratings (December 16, 2011)

December 16, 2011 · 2:55 PM EST

Can Mitt Romney Conquer Newt Gingrich, His Own Ceiling?

by Stuart Rothenberg December 16, 2011 · 9:38 AM EST

Mitt Romney’s ceiling in Iowa doesn’t look like glass. It looks like reinforced concrete.

Even after three conservative candidates rose and fell in polling in Iowa, the former Massachusetts governor still can’t get above the 25 percent mark in the crucial early caucus state. “That really says…

Another Year of Prognostication Ups and Downs

by Stuart Rothenberg December 14, 2011 · 11:37 AM EST

“Regrets, I’ve had a few,” Frank Sinatra sings in one of his signature songs, “My Way,” and that should be a sentiment that every political analyst, handicapper and forecaster feels as he or she looks back on a body of work from the previous 12 months.

Few people like to admit mistakes, but…