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New Print Edition: Texas 23 & Louisiana 2

November 29, 2006 · 3:05 PM EST

The November 29, 2006 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. To read the complete analysis of the two runoff races, you must subscribe.

Texas 23: The Lone Ranger
By Nathan L. Gonzales

Republicans are still reeling from their losses and coming to grips with…

Let the Awards Begin: The Worst Self-Inflicted Wound of 2006

by Stuart Rothenberg November 21, 2006 · 11:02 PM EST

After every election, I offer a list of the best and worst, the most and the least. I started doing that the other day, but I ended up filling an entire column with a single category: The Worst Self-Inflicted Wound of 2006.

I will get back to a more exhaustive list of the best and worst…

Ballot Measure Wrap-Up

November 21, 2006 · 12:01 AM EST

This year was a busy one for ballot measures. But in many cases, voters weren’t buying what was on offer.

Jennie Drage Bowser, who tracks ballot measures for the NCSL, identified 17 measures that sought to limit government, and of these, she was surprised to discover that only one passed. “The…

What You Heard About ‘Conservative Democrats’ Winning Was Wrong

by Stuart Rothenberg November 19, 2006 · 11:02 PM EST

It quickly has become conventional wisdom that last week’s Democratic House victory swept in a crop of moderate and conservative Democrats who’ll both keep party liberals in check and help remake the image of the party of former Vice President Al Gore, Sen. John Kerry (D-Mass.) and soon-to-be…

Pelosi Stumbles Out of the Blocks

November 17, 2006 · 12:02 AM EST

Yes, I know. Leadership fights on Capitol Hill are the ultimate political insider contests. Voters don’t care about them, and once they are over, they are quickly forgotten.

Having said that, Nancy Pelosi’s decision to pick a public fight with her second in command, Maryland Rep. Steny Hoyer,…

GOP Moderates and Conservatives Ready to Do Battle

by Stuart Rothenberg November 15, 2006 · 11:09 PM EST

In the past, it’s been the AFL-CIO against the Democratic Leadership Council. But not this year. This time, the conservative and moderate wings of the Republican Party have the pleasure of blaming and pointing fingers at each other for the party’s loss.

The blame game remains a staple in…

As Predicted, a Wave Washes Republicans Out to Sea

by Stuart Rothenberg November 12, 2006 · 11:02 PM EST

Well, don’t say we didn’t warn you.

Tuesday’s balloting was about what we expected. A relatively large political wave swept almost 30 House Republicans out of office and appears to have delivered the Senate to Democrats. Of course, we won’t know the status of control of the Senate for a while,…

Turn Back the Clock: Rothenberg Report on CNN Nov. 2

November 12, 2006 · 12:16 AM EST

You know you’ve arrived when you’re on both the Situation Room and YouTube. It’s all downhill from here. Anyway, here’s a clip of our election predictions from November 2.

Down to the Wire: Expect a Big Night for Democrats

November 7, 2006 · 12:16 PM EST

This column is available free at RollCall.com for a limited time.

With only a few hours remaining until the votes start being counted, there is little uncertainty about the fight for the House, except for questions about exactly which Republican incumbents will be lucky enough to survive.

Polls…

2006 House Ratings

November 6, 2006 · 3:08 PM EST
Rothenberg Political Report projection: Democratic gain of 30-36 seats.

PURE TOSS-UP (19 R, 0 D)
  • CA 11 (Pombo, R)
  • CT 2 (Simmons, R)
  • CT 4 (Shays, R)
  • FL 16 (Open; Foley, R)
  • FL 22 (Shaw, R)
  • IL 6 (Open; Hyde, R)
  • KS 2 (Ryun, R)
  • MN 1 (Gutknecht, R)
  • MN 6 (Open; Kennedy, R)
  • NM 1 (Wilson, R)
  • NY 26 (Reynolds, R)
  • OH 1…