A Dumb Mistake May Cost Democrats

by Stuart Rothenberg February 26, 2006 · 11:05 PM EST

For months, Democratic insiders have been touting their candidate in Ohio’s 6th District, state Senator Charlie Wilson. They’ve been arguing that the socially conservative Democrat fits the district perfectly, and that he will easily hold retiring Congressman Ted Strickland’s open House seat in…

West Virginia Senate: Generations

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 24, 2006 · 9:00 PM EST

It was almost smooth sailing to a record ninth term for the longest-serving member of the U.S Senate, West Virginia’s Robert C. Byrd (D). After nearly a year of speculation, Cong. Shelley Moore Capito (R) announced in October that she would not challenge Byrd and instead seek reelection.


New Print Edition: WV Senate & TX 22

February 24, 2006 · 1:55 PM EST

The new February 24, 2006 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. (Click here for subscription information.)

West Virginia Senate: Generations
By Nathan L. Gonzales

It was almost smooth sailing to a record ninth term for the longest-serving member of the U.S…

Texas 22: The Big One

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 23, 2006 · 11:57 PM EST

If you weren’t paying attention, you might think former House Majority Leader Tom DeLay was running for Congress in all of the 232 Republican-held districts across the country.

Democrats are relentless in their attempts to couple the indicted congressman with any and all members of the But…

2006: The Year of Changing Your Mind in Politics

by Stuart Rothenberg February 23, 2006 · 4:02 PM EST

OK, so I really don’t expect a lot of consistency from politicians. They change their positions and their arguments from cycle to cycle. But this cycle, change has become the rule in more ways than one.

At least two candidates have turned down pleas to run for Congress, only to change their…

Hillary’s Hurdles

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 22, 2006 · 11:16 PM EST

There is no question Sen. Hillary Clinton (D-NY) is running for president in 2008. Senators don’t normally raise $33 million to run for reelection against a nominal opponent. But there are a number of large hurdles Clinton must jump before she can be elected. Too often the focus is on just one of…

When Events Matter

by Stuart Rothenberg February 21, 2006 · 11:17 PM EST

While journalists and political junkies watch each day’s news with an eye to see who is winning and who is losing — who is moving up and who is moving down — the reality is that most days come and go without any real movement.

Americans don’t dissect the news the way a compulsive blogger or a…

Rothenberg’s 10 Most Endangered House Incumbents

by Stuart Rothenberg February 21, 2006 · 8:39 AM EST

This is one of the more difficult lists that I have tried to create over the years. Many of the incumbents on this list have proven their political mettle before, and in normal circumstances, they wouldn’t be in all that much trouble. Others find themselves in the sort of hot water that should…

Red-State Reid Sounds Like a Blue-State Leader

by Stuart Rothenberg February 16, 2006 · 9:00 AM EST

When Senate Democrats selected Nevada Sen. Harry Reid to be their leader, journalists and political insiders noted his red-state credentials, opposition to abortion and soft-spoken style as perfect qualities for a party seeking to broaden its appeal.

Almost immediately, a front-page New York…

It Won’t be a Bi-partisan Wave

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 14, 2006 · 9:46 AM EST

With a potential political wave developing, Republicans should face the reality that it likely will only break one way – toward the Democrats.

GOP leaders in Washington are trying to point out the “hypocrisy” of the Democratic attacks on ethics and corruption, but recent history shows that if a…