Archive

Montana Senate: Test(er) Time

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 11, 2011 · 4:30 PM EST

Jon Tester was elected to Senate in one of the best Democratic years in history, and he did it with less than 50% of the vote. Given that, it’s no surprise that the Montana Democrat is a top Republican target in 2012.

Republicans scored an early recruiting victory when Cong. Denny Rehberg…

West Virginia Governor: Race for the Slot

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 11, 2011 · 4:29 PM EST

West Virginia hasn’t seen this much political action in decades.

Senate icon Robert Byrd’s (D) death started a chain reaction of political races in the Mountaineer State. Last fall, Gov. Joe Manchin (D) successfully kept Byrd’s seat in Democratic hands, but his victory resulted in state Senate…

An Early Look at 2012 ‘Elite Eight’ Battleground

by Stuart Rothenberg March 11, 2011 · 8:48 AM EST

At least eight states that are likely to be among the most competitive and fiercely fought on the presidential level next year are also headed for high-profile Senate contests that could determine control of the chamber.

The list includes Florida and Virginia in the South, Ohio, Michigan,…

The Great Disappearing Act of Nancy Pelosi

by Stuart Rothenberg March 9, 2011 · 10:00 AM EST

It didn’t take the communications team of the National Republican Congressional Committee very long to distribute a Roll Call article titled “Pelosi Finds Her Footing as Democrats’ Attack Dog.”

NRCC Communications Director Paul Lindsay said in the e-mail that his committee was “pleased” to see…

Nevada Senate: Open Seat Remains Lean Republican

March 7, 2011 · 2:32 PM EST

Sen. John Ensign’s (R) retirement announcement isn’t that surprising and doesn’t change our initial bottom line in Nevada since we didn’t expect him to make it out of a primary if he sought reelection.

With Cong. Dean Heller (R) as a likely candidate, Republicans are well-positioned to hold the…

Democrats Need GOP Voters to Win

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 7, 2011 · 9:54 AM EST

Vulnerable Democrats beware: The bipartisan well is about dry.

Last cycle, Democrats saw their percentage of the Republican vote drop dramatically, and that could spell trouble for incumbents relying on that vote to survive in 2012. Sen. Ben Nelson is at the top of the list.

The Nebraska…

Wisconsin: Degenerating Quickly Into the Muck

by Stuart Rothenberg March 4, 2011 · 11:15 AM EST

Forget all that talk about civility, bipartisanship and a new tone in politics. The fight over public service unions and collective bargaining that is taking place in Wisconsin has already degenerated into the muck. That’s what happens when a major political fight is taking place.

Politics is…

Hawaii Senate: Open Seat Remains Safe for Now

March 3, 2011 · 2:05 PM EST

At 86 years old, Sen. Daniel Akaka’s (D) retirement isn’t terribly surprising and his timing might be perfect for his party.

Democrats will defend Akaka’s open seat in 2012 while sharing a ballot with Hawaii’s native son, President Barack Obama. In 2008, Obama defeated John McCain 72%-27%. Even…