Archive

The Fight for the Senate: More GOP Headaches, and One for Democrats

by Stuart Rothenberg September 25, 2006 · 12:02 AM EDT

Recent developments have improved Democrats’ prospects in their fight to take the Senate, with the Republican hold on the chamber looking more tenuous than even a month ago.

While the renomination of Rhode Island Sen. Lincoln Chafee has improved GOP chances of holding onto his seat, Virginia…

What to Expect Over the Next Seven Weeks

by Stuart Rothenberg September 21, 2006 · 12:01 AM EDT

It’s a good idea to try to anticipate the ups and downs of this election cycle’s stretch run, so when the inevitable stories about a Republican “surge” hit the newspapers, you won’t be taken completely by surprise.

First, this is the kind of cycle when long-shot challengers suddenly appear,…

Can Republicans Fear What They Don’t Know?

September 19, 2006 · 12:02 AM EDT

Many Republicans this cycle are heading into uncharted waters. Members of Congress like Curt Weldon (PA-7) are facing their first reelection challenge in a couple of decades. But Weldon may have one piece of inspiration that many of his colleagues don’t possess — he knows what its like to be a…

Can Republicans Fear What They Don’t Know?

September 19, 2006 · 12:02 AM EDT
By Nathan L. Gonzales

Many Republicans this cycle are heading into uncharted waters. Members of Congress like Curt Weldon (PA-7) are facing their first reelection challenge in a couple of decades. But Weldon may have one piece of inspiration that many of his colleagues don't possess -- he knows what…

An Anti-Incumbent Election? This Year? Of Course Not

by Stuart Rothenberg September 18, 2006 · 12:02 AM EDT

By Stuart Rothenberg

Over the past year or so, I’ve heard more than a few people talking about 2006 as an anti-incumbent election. Well, those people are wrong. We are not going to have an anti-incumbent election in November. We are going to have an anti-Bush election.

First, let’s get our…

Gubernatorial Races: Another Big Democratic Gain

by Stuart Rothenberg September 14, 2006 · 12:02 AM EDT

It is now clear that when the dust settles on Nov. 8, Democrats will find themselves holding a majority of governorships for the first time since the 1994 midterm elections, when Democratic ranks across the nation were decimated.

While Republicans currently hold 28 of the nation’s 50…

Texas 23:Democratic Strategy is the Only Constant

September 12, 2006 · 12:09 AM EDT

Former Rep. Ciro Rodriguez (D-TX) is as decisive as a kid in a candy store when it comes to his congressional bids. The former congressman bowed out of the race in Texas 23 early last week, citing family reasons and the inability to raise the necessary funds. Then, through a spokesman, Rodriguez…

Tennessee Senate: How Important Is a Poll in Rating a Race?

by Stuart Rothenberg September 11, 2006 · 12:05 AM EDT

I began this year rating the Tennessee Senate race between Democrat Harold Ford Jr. and Republican Bob Corker as “Clear Advantage” for the GOP, primarily because of the state’s recent political trends, concerns about how Ford’s race and family might affect his prospects, and assumptions about the…

New Print Edition: 2006 Senate Outlook

September 8, 2006 · 12:16 PM EDT
The new September 7, 2006 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. For subscription information- click here.

Senate Overview - The Lay of the Land

Democrats need a net gain of six seats to get to 51 seats in the next Senate, a difficult task since only 15…

New Print Edition: 2006 Senate Outlook

September 8, 2006 · 12:16 PM EDT

The new September 7, 2006 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. For subscription information- click here.

Senate Overview – The Lay of the Land

Democrats need a net gain of six seats to get to 51 seats in the next Senate, a difficult task since only 15…