Archive

Nevada Senate Moved to Toss-Up

October 12, 2009 · 10:25 AM EDT

With recent polls continuing to show Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D) trailing potential GOP challengers in next year’s midterm election, Reid’s hold on his Nevada Senate seat looks increasingly questionable. We are moving the seat from Narrow Advantage for Incumbent Party to Toss-Up.

We…

Delaware Senate: Race Is Turned Upside Down by Castle’s Entry

October 12, 2009 · 9:00 AM EDT

Count me as at least moderately surprised that Rep. Mike Castle (R-Del.) announced on Tuesday that he will run for the remaining four years of now-Vice President Joseph Biden’s Senate term.

Castle, who served eight years as Delaware’s governor, from 1985 to 1993, has had plenty of opportunities…

Virginia Governor Moved to Lean Takeover

October 9, 2009 · 1:30 PM EDT

According to the latest Washington Post survey, former Attorney General Bob McDonnell (R) leads state Sen. Creigh Deeds (D) 53%-44% with a little more than three weeks before Election Day. The poll confirms that Deeds has squeezed everything he can out of the controversy surrounding McDonnell’s…

McMahon, WWE Seek Mainstream Credibility

October 9, 2009 · 9:00 AM EDT

The day before Linda McMahon (R) officially announced her candidacy for Senate, political reporters at major media outlets received a glossy black folder from World Wrestling Entertainment Inc. that included full-color brochures, press clippings, a DVD and a personalized cover letter from the…

Vote for Us — We Aren’t Nearly as Bad as the Other Guys!

October 8, 2009 · 9:00 AM EDT

Next year’s elections are starting to look like a choice between bad and worse, if we are to believe the most recent batch of polling data, including the consistently reliable NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll.

The Sept. 17-20 survey, conducted by Democratic pollster Peter Hart of Hart Research…

Delaware Senate Moved to Lean Takeover

October 6, 2009 · 11:08 AM EDT

Cong. Mike Castle’s (R) entry into the U.S. Senate race to fill the remainder of Vice President Joe Biden’s term dramatically alters the dynamic of the race.

Even if Attorney General Beau Biden (D) runs for the open Senate seat – certainly not guaranteed given the cordial relations between…

New Print Edition: Kentucky Senate & Ohio 12

October 6, 2009 · 9:00 AM EDT

The October 2, 2009 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers.

The print edition of the Report comes out every two weeks. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly House and Senate ratings, and coverage…

New Jersey Governor: Don’t Believe the Corzine Surge Just Yet

by Stuart Rothenberg October 5, 2009 · 9:00 AM EDT

The gubernatorial race in New Jersey has not changed fundamentally recently, no matter what you may read in poorly produced Associated Press stories distributed by the Democratic Governors Association, the Democratic National Committee or Gov. Jon Corzine’s (D) campaign.

I’ve become accustomed…

2009-2010 Gubernatorial Ratings

October 2, 2009 · 2:47 PM EDT

Here are our latest gubernatorial ratings. 2009 races in italics.
# - Moved benefiting Democrats
* - Moved benefiting Republicans



Lean Takeover (5 R, 5 D)
  • CA Open (Schwarzenegger, R)
  • FL Open (Crist, R)
  • HI Open (Lingle, R)
  • RI Open (Carcieri, R)

2009-2010 Gubernatorial Ratings

October 2, 2009 · 2:47 PM EDT

Here are our latest gubernatorial ratings. 2009 races in italics.
# – Moved benefiting Democrats
* - Moved benefiting Republicans

Lean Takeover (5 R, 5 D)
  • CA Open (Schwarzenegger, R)
  • FL Open (Crist, R)
  • HI Open (Lingle, R)
  • RI Open (Carcieri, R)
  • VT…