Here are our latest Senate ratings. Our latest estimate is a Democratic gain of 6-9 seats.
# = Moved benefiting Democrats
* = Moved benefiting Republicans
Rick Hendrix announced his 2010 campaign for Congress a few weeks ago. But his campaign is off to an unconventional start — beginning with the fact that he hasn’t chosen a district to run in yet.
That hasn’t stopped the entertainment industry insider from promoting his candidacy, however.
…WASHINGTON (CNN) — Two years ago, as the 2007-2008 election cycle was beginning, one female Republican senator up for re-election looked to be in serious danger: Maine’s Susan Collins.
But with just three weeks left until Election Day, the moderate Collins now appears to be one of the few…
Here are our latest House ratings. Our latest estimate is a Democratic gain of 25-30 seats.
Any seats not listed are currently considered to be at limited risk for the incumbent party. For our race-by-race analysis, you must subscribe to the print edition of the Report.
# = Moved benefiting…
For the last three years, the predominant Democratic strategy has been to tie every breathing Republican to unpopular President Bush. Now, Michigan Democrats believe coupling the GOP vice presidential nominee, Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, with Rep. Joe Knollenberg (R) will help them win his seat.
…
Total Electoral Votes
(270 needed to win)
Obama - 214 (safe/likely) + 72 (lean) = 286
McCain - 160 (safe/likely) + 23 (lean) = 163
Toss-ups = 89
Toss-Ups
Lean McCain
A few months ago in this space, I wrote that if you tell me who will win Colorado, Virginia, Nevada, Ohio and Michigan, I can tell you who will win the White House in November (The Big Five: Picking the States That Will Pick the President, July 17, 2008).
With the campaign of Republican…
Maybe it’s the crummy national environment or maybe it was the topless attack ad, but a new Democratic poll in California’s 3rd district shows that Rep. Dan Lungren (R) may not be safe.
An Oct. 4-6 survey by Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin and Associates (D) for physician Bill Durston (D) showed…
The October 10, 2008 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The print edition comes out every two weeks (even more frequently as Election Day approaches). Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly…
The last week to 10 days has been disastrous for GOP House candidates, with voters taking out their anger and fear of the future on Republicans.
While we may be seeing the low point for Republicans, the ongoing economic mess is likely to keep the economy on the front burner, making it difficult…
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