Archive

At the Conventions

August 25, 2008 · 9:45 AM EDT

The entire staff of the Rothenberg Political Report is attending the conventions over the next two weeks. We’ll be posting some of our thoughts and analysis over at RollCall.com, which is free for the conventions, and right here.

New Print Edition: Minnesota Senate & Alabama 5

August 24, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

The August 22, 2008 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The print edition comes out every two weeks and the content is not available online. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly House and…

Beware: Evangelical Polling Ahead

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 23, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Evangelicals are in the spotlight for the thousandth time this election cycle, after both Sens. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) and John McCain (R-Ariz.) appeared at Rick Warren’s church on Saturday night.

But there is a significant problem with analyzing the evangelical vote. Pollsters can’t seem to…

Summer Polling Often a Poor Predictor

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 22, 2008 · 1:35 PM EDT

House candidates and campaign committees are ramping up efforts to collect polling data from districts across the country, as they look to develop messages and lock in targets for the November elections. But using last cycle as a guide, what looks and smells like a vulnerable incumbent in summer…

What Late Veep Pick?

by Stuart Rothenberg August 21, 2008 · 12:06 AM EDT

I thought it odd last month when there was a flurry of talk about Senators Barack Obama and John McCain possibly announcing their running mates. Make a selection more than a month before the conventions, thereby eliminating the big reason for getting excited in late July and most of August? It…

Louisiana 4: Thompson Counters With Own Poll

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 21, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

The polling soap opera continues in Louisiana’s 4th district.

With critics fervently seeking to discredit John Fleming’s poll in the Republican primary, one of his opponents finally released numbers of his own on Monday.

An Aug. 10-11 OnMessage Inc. survey for former Bossier Chamber of…

Louisiana 4: Poll Draws Criticism from Opponents

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 20, 2008 · 10:10 AM EDT

A seemingly innocuous poll has created quite a stir in a very competitive Republican primary in Louisiana’s 4th district.

Earlier this month, physician John Fleming released a poll, conducted July 25-27 by Southern Media & Opinion Research, showing him leading the GOP race with 43 percent.…

New Print Edition: Louisiana Senate & Michigan 7

August 19, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

The August 18, 2008 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The print edition comes out every two weeks and the content is not available online. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly House and…

DCCC on Offensive in GOP Open Seats

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 17, 2008 · 12:04 AM EDT

Despite having a majority of seats in Congress, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is on the offensive this cycle, with plans to pour money into dozens of districts represented by Republicans.

On Thursday, the DCCC dropped two more direct-mail pieces in a pair of GOP-held open…

When It Comes to Election 2008, You Ain’t Seen Nothing Yet

by Stuart Rothenberg August 14, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

America’s long national nightmare — the 2008 election — is coming to an end. But don’t worry. We still have another painful, gut-wrenching three months of campaigning, TV ads, direct-mail pieces and political telephone calls that will fill up our answering machines, jam our mailboxes and disrupt…