Archive

A Big McCain Win, But Trouble in the Weeds

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 20, 2008 · 3:46 PM EST

Sen. John McCain won a narrow victory in South Carolina on Saturday, but the final results and the exit poll continue to show a very fractured Republican party without a single candidate who has emerged as a consensus choice.

Once again the devil is in the details, and anyone who digs through…

New Print Edition: 2008 House Outlook

January 18, 2008 · 12:10 AM EST
The January 16, 2008 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. This issue is our quarterly House Outlook. We post our ratings online, but the race-by-race analysis (with districts, candidates and primary dates) is only available in the print edition.

The print…

2008 House Ratings

January 17, 2008 · 11:05 PM EST

Here are our latest House ratings. Any seats not listed are currently considered to be at limited risk for the incumbent party. Democrats currently hold a 233-202 majority in the House. For our race-by-race analysis, you must subscribe to the print edition of the Report.

REVISED March 6:…

Romney’s Michigan Showing Adds Complexity to Evangelical Vote

January 16, 2008 · 11:05 PM EST

Three states down, three different results among evangelical voters for the Republican presidential candidates.

Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney won a plurality of evangelicals (34%) in Michigan, despite some reservations within the community about his Mormon religion. Former Arkansas Gov.…

Romney Rides the Republican Wave in Michigan GOP Primary

January 16, 2008 · 12:05 AM EST

Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney, whose father served as Michigan’s governor and campaigned as a hometown favorite, won the Michigan Republican primary Tuesday by rolling up clear wins among self-described conservatives and Republicans.

Romney’s victory resuscitates a failing campaign,…

GOP Showdowns Ahead in Michigan and South Carolina

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 14, 2008 · 8:00 PM EST

If you think Mike Huckabee can’t possibly win the Republican nomination for president, you are deluding yourself. If you think Sen. John McCain (Ariz.) has the GOP nomination in the bag, you need to wake up and smell the coffee.

The Republican race is still up for grabs. But as I write this,…

Why Kerry’s Endorsement Won’t Help Obama

by Stuart Rothenberg January 11, 2008 · 10:26 AM EST

Shortly after Massachusetts Senator John Kerry announced his endorsement of Presidential hopeful Barack Obama, more than a few voices suggested that it could be a significant plus for Obama’s campaign.

One reporter described Kerry’s announcement as a “major endorsement,” and said that it “could…

For Republicans, Iowa Better Be an Aberration

by Stuart Rothenberg January 9, 2008 · 11:20 PM EST

Three months ago, the Democratic presidential nomination looked up for grabs, but the party had a narrow favorite, an identifiable frontrunner. Today, after Iowa but before New Hampshire, the Democratic nomination looks up for grabs, but the party still has an identifiable frontrunner — only it’s…

Did Edwards’ Slip Help Clinton in New Hampshire?

January 9, 2008 · 8:46 AM EST
By Stuart Rothenberg

While some will suggest that Sen. Hillary Clinton’s New Hampshire victory can be traced to her emotional comments shortly before the primary, and others will credit Bill Clinton, there is some evidence to suggest that the collapse of the John Edwards campaign in the Granite…

Did Edwards’ Slip Help Clinton in New Hampshire?

by Stuart Rothenberg January 9, 2008 · 6:46 AM EST

While some will suggest that Sen. Hillary Clinton’s New Hampshire victory can be traced to her emotional comments shortly before the primary, and others will credit Bill Clinton, there is some evidence to suggest that the collapse of the John Edwards campaign in the Granite State may have given…