Archive

Nebraska Senate: Don’t Gas Up the Scott Kleeb Senate Bandwagon Just Yet

by Stuart Rothenberg November 22, 2007 · 11:05 PM EST

To hear some of the early Democratic buzz (and even media hype) about Scott Kleeb’s chances in the Nebraska Senate race, you’d think the Cornhusker State’s 2008 Senate race might be worth watching, even without former Sen. Bob Kerrey or Omaha Mayor Mike Fahey carrying the Democratic banner.

New York 19: Saul Dropping Out

November 20, 2007 · 3:05 PM EST

In a stunning development, wealthy businessman Andrew Saul (R) is making calls to inform supporters and GOP insiders that he is dropping his candidacy in New York’s 19th District. Saul was widely regarded as a strong Republican recruit to take on freshman Democratic Cong. John Hall (D). Saul’s…

Two Networks Flop in Reporting on New Poll

November 20, 2007 · 12:05 PM EST

If there is something surprising about the new ABC News/Washington Post survey of likely Iowa Democratic caucus attendees, it isn’t the fact that Sen. Barack Obama (30 percent) holds a narrow lead over New York Sen. Hillary Clinton (26 percent) and John Edwards (22 percent). It’s the curious…

Republican Campaign Still Includes Many Possible Storylines

by Stuart Rothenberg November 18, 2007 · 11:05 PM EST

For months, I’ve been urging caution about assessing and overanalyzing the two presidential races too early, and now we see why.

Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee (R), who has no money and no standing in national public opinion polls, is making a strong run in Iowa, and if he continues to get…

New Print Edition: Ohio 16 & Virginia Senate

November 17, 2007 · 12:05 AM EST

The November 16, 2007 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The print edition comes out every two weeks and the content is not available online. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly House and…

Reruns for Senate

by Stuart Rothenberg November 15, 2007 · 11:05 PM EST

It may sound crazy, but the best way to go about winning a seat in the Senate may well be to lose a Senate race.

Thirteen current Senators lost their initial bids for the Senate, only to be elected later in their political careers. Now, Democrats Mark Warner (Va.) and Jeanne Shaheen (N.H.) are…

Fate of ’06 House Takeovers May Mirror ’08 Party Prospects

by Stuart Rothenberg November 14, 2007 · 11:05 PM EST

One of the reasons that some National Republican Congressional Committee strategists are hopeful of gaining seats next year, or at least minimizing further losses, is that they expect to win back some of the House seats that the party lost in last year’s Democratic wave.

In any wave election,…

The Bush Factor in the Upcoming Presidential Election

by Stuart Rothenberg November 11, 2007 · 11:05 PM EST

If there is one question that, when answered, should help us anticipate the 2008 results, it is likely to be this one: How much of an impact will President Bush have on voters’ decisions next year?

Unfortunately, history isn’t much of a guide, since there is just a single case in the post-war…

2008 House Ratings

November 9, 2007 · 3:39 PM EST

Here are our latest House ratings, reflecting changes in New Jersey 3 and Wyoming. Any seats not listed are currently considered to be at limited risk for the incumbent party. Democrats currently hold a 233-202 majority in the House. For race-by-race analysis, you must subscribe to the print…

GOP’s Race Problem Doesn’t Always Include Debates

by Stuart Rothenberg November 7, 2007 · 11:05 PM EST

A shot was recently fired across the GOP’s bow about the cancellation of the scheduled Nov. 4 presidential debate co-sponsored by the Congressional Black Caucus Institute and Fox News, and you can bet more shots will be fired over the next few months.

Writing less than a week ago, Huffington…