House News & Analysis

Illinois 11: Baldermann out, Ozinga In

Subscriber
May 2, 2008 · 3:00 PM EDT

Local Republicans selected wealthy businessman Martin Ozinga III to replace Tim Baldermann on the ballot in the district left open by the retirement of Cong. Jerry Weller (R). The action was necessary after nominee Tim Baldermann dropped out of the race. Ozinga, who raised $446,035 in April, faces State…

Pennsylvania 3: Dahlkemper Wins Primary

Subscriber
May 2, 2008 · 3:00 PM EDT

Political neophyte Kathy Dahlkemper won the Democratic primary in Pennsylvania’s 3rd District, which includes Erie County and much of northwest Pennsylvania. The pro-life/anti-death penalty Democrat is the director of the Lake Erie Arboretum. The presence of Independent candidate Steve Porter in the race could complicate Dahlkemper’s effort to oust…

New Print Edition: 2008 House Outlook

April 18, 2008 · 4:00 PM EDT
The April 18, 2008 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The print edition comes out every two weeks and the content is not available online. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly House…

Rothenberg’s Dangerous Dozen Open House Seats

April 10, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT
By Stuart Rothenberg

A significant number of retirements since my last Dangerous Dozen (Oct. 25, 2007) has shuffled the list and shows why the fight for the House is a one-sided battle, with Democrats having most of the targets.

Here are the dozen most vulnerable open House…

New York 26: Reynolds Won’t Run Again

March 20, 2008 · 12:23 AM EDT
By Stuart Rothenberg

WKBW-TV in Buffalo, N.Y. is reporting that Cong. Tom Reynolds (R-NY) will not seek reelection and that the official announcement will be made on Thursday.

Reynolds’ exit means that the last two NRCC chairmen, Reynolds and Virginia Republican Tom Davis, will not seek reelection this…

New Print Edition: 2008 House Outlook

January 18, 2008 · 12:10 AM EST
The January 16, 2008 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. This issue is our quarterly House Outlook. We post our ratings online, but the race-by-race analysis (with districts, candidates and primary dates) is only available in the print…

New Print Edition: Ohio 16 & Virginia Senate

November 17, 2007 · 12:05 AM EST

The November 16, 2007 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The print edition comes out every two weeks and the content is not available online. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well…

Fate of ’06 House Takeovers May Mirror ’08 Party Prospects

Stuart Rothenberg November 14, 2007 · 11:05 PM EST

One of the reasons that some National Republican Congressional Committee strategists are hopeful of gaining seats next year, or at least minimizing further losses, is that they expect to win back some of the House seats that the party lost in last year’s Democratic wave.

In any wave…

Illinois 14: New Lauzen Poll Shows Dead Heat

November 6, 2007 · 4:26 PM EST

Chris Lauzen (R) is pushing back against some conventional wisdom, and has numbers to make his case. The state senator is running to replace former House Speaker Dennis Hastert in Illinois 14, but faces a very competitive primary with wealthy businessman Jim Oberweis (R).

An October 22-23 Public Opinion Strategies…

Here We Go Again: An Anti-Incumbent Wave Next Year?

Stuart Rothenberg November 1, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

Some story lines never go away.

This year, once again, there is buzz that 2008 might be an anti-incumbent election that will sweep out sitting House Members of both parties. National Republican Congressional Committee Chairman Tom Cole (Okla.) has been making that case for months, and more than…