House News & Analysis

Report Shorts (May 29, 2015) Indiana Governor, Indiana Senate, Kentucky Governor, Nevada Senate

May 29, 2015 · 2:58 PM EDT

Indiana Governor. Gov. Mike Pence (R) is expected to officially announce his re-election bid on June 18. Democrats are energized by the public scrutiny the governor faced over the Religious Freedom Restoration Act. Former state Speaker John Gregg (D) is running again after losing to Pence in 2012. A…

Kirkpatrick’s Decision Prompts Ratings Changes in Two Arizona Races

May 26, 2015 · 1:00 PM EDT

Democratic Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick’s challenge to Republican Sen. John McCain impacts our ratings of two races in Arizona. 

Up to this point, McCain was considered a heavy favorite for re-election to a sixth term, in part because the senator has proven to be a tough campaigner. Moreover, Republicans have…

Nevada House: Republicans on the Defensive

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 15, 2015 · 2:59 PM EDT

1st District.
The Las Vegas-based district is very Democratic and not at risk of a Republican takeover. If Democratic Rep. Dina Titus decides to run for the Senate, the fight to replace her would be in the primary. 

Barack Obama won the district with 65 percent in 2008 and…

Report Shorts (May 15, 2015) California Senate, California 25, Indiana Senate, Indiana 3

May 15, 2015 · 2:56 PM EDT

California Senate. After a clumsy rollout, Democratic Rep. Loretta Sanchez announced her bid for the open Senate seat being left by retiring-Sen. Barbara Boxer (D). She is playing catch-up to state Attorney General Kamala Harris (D), who jumped into the race soon after Boxer’s announcement. With California’s top two…

Caveat Emptor, in Political Giving Too

by Stuart Rothenberg May 13, 2015 · 10:20 AM EDT

Two days before the Tuesday special election in New York’s 11th District, I received one of those hysterical email requests for money.

I’m on many candidate, political action committee and interest group email distribution lists, so I get them from both sides. This one was from something called Patriots for…

Parties Divide and Conquer Independent Spending

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 8, 2015 · 9:52 AM EDT

Having more than $50 million to spend on House races in the final months of the campaign may sound like fun, but both campaign committees have figured out it’s not a one-person job.

Each election cycle, the National Republican Congressional Committee and Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee designate a trusted…

Texas 23: Hurd(ing) Voters

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 1, 2015 · 2:29 PM EDT

Over the last year, Will Hurd has gone from afterthought to GOP rising star. 

Last cycle, Republicans had their eye on a top recruit to knock off Democratic Rep. Pete Gallego in the competitive 23rd District of Texas. But when she declined to run, much of the enthusiasm in…

Maine 2: Bruce Almighty?

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 1, 2015 · 2:28 PM EDT

To all aspiring candidates who have lost a race (or two), look no further than Bruce Poliquin for inspiration. 

The Maine Republican lost statewide races in 2010 and 2012 before getting elected to the 2nd District in 2014. Poliquin’s reward? A seat in Congress and a spot near the…

‘Big Money’ and the 2016 Elections

by Stuart Rothenberg April 24, 2015 · 9:54 AM EDT

Reporters love to write about money in politics, so I shouldn’t have been at all surprised by an April 20 Washington Post article suggesting campaign finance is becoming an issue in the presidential contest.

But a front-page story above the fold that relied on a couple of anecdotes…

2016 House Overview: Democrats Begin Long Road Back to Majority

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 3, 2015 · 2:30 PM EDT

With an open presidential race and the Senate majority up for grabs, the fight for the House is certain to get pushed to the backburner. But if Democrats have hopes of being in the majority anytime in the next few years, they better start making a dent in the Republicans’…