House News & Analysis

Michigan 7: Schauer Power

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Nathan L. Gonzales November 17, 2009 · 1:00 PM EST

Mark Schauer is no stranger to winning in competitive districts, but winning reelection next year could be the Democrat’s greatest feat yet.

Last year, the Democratic state senator knocked off conservative Cong. Tim Walberg in Michigan’s 7th District. But he won with less than 49% and Republicans believe…

New York 29: Partisan Guns Blazing

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Nathan L. Gonzales October 16, 2009 · 3:00 PM EDT

Republicans may lose yet another congressional seat in New York this fall, but they’re hoping that their Empire State comeback includes defeating freshman Cong. Eric Massa (D) in the 29th District next year.

Republicans are at serious risk of losing the 23rd District in a special election this…

Ohio 12: A Day Late and a Dollar Short?

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Nathan L. Gonzales October 2, 2009 · 1:00 PM EDT

Even Democrat Paula Brooks’s political foes see her as a formidable candidate. But many of them think that she may have chosen the wrong district and the wrong cycle to run for Congress.

Early last cycle, the Democrat explored a run in the open 15th District race. She…

Colorado 4: Since You’ve Been Gone

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Nathan L. Gonzales July 10, 2009 · 3:00 PM EDT

After a couple cycles of frustration, Democrats finally ousted Republican Cong. Marilyn Musgrave last year. Now, they have the challenging task of keeping Colorado’s 4th District in their column.

Since her initial election in 2002, Musgrave’s reelection percentages steadily declined as she became more and more polarizing, continually…

Washington 8: Badge of Honor

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Nathan L. Gonzales July 10, 2009 · 3:00 PM EDT

Republican Cong. Dave Reichert survived the Democratic wave of 2006. Two years later, he survived as well, and he out-did himself by improving his winning percentage while his party sunk further into the minority. Democrats are hoping that the third time will be the charm.

The competitive nature…

Maryland 1: Shoring Up the Base

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Nathan L. Gonzales June 26, 2009 · 3:00 PM EDT

Abraham Lincoln was right: A house divided against itself cannot stand – at least not in Maryland’s 1st District.

Last cycle, Republicans suffered through a bitter primary that left incumbent Cong. Wayne Gilchrest in its wake. Gilchrest subsequently endorsed Queen Anne’s State’s Attorney Frank Kratovil (D) for the…

California 44: Showcase Showdown

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Nathan L. Gonzales June 12, 2009 · 3:00 PM EDT

With the Democratic wave crashing all across the country, few people were watching as GOP Cong. Ken Calvert was nearly swept out of office as well. But after his close call last cycle, all eyes are on Southern California to see if the 44th District is Democrats’ top opportunity…

Alabama 2: All Is Calm, All is Bright

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Nathan L. Gonzales June 12, 2009 · 3:00 PM EDT

When Bobby Bright decided to run for Congress, many people weren’t sure which party he was in. The former mayor of Montgomery went on to win last fall as a Democrat, but he’d prefer you forget that last part.

Bright’s victory encapsulated many of the problems Republicans faced…

New Print Edition: 2010 House Outlook

June 2, 2009 · 11:23 AM EDT
The May 29, 2009 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers.

The print edition of the Report comes out every two weeks. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly House and Senate ratings,…

Mississippi 1: Returning to Form?

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Nathan L. Gonzales May 4, 2009 · 3:00 PM EDT

Winning has consequences. After winning 53 seats in the House over the last four years, Democrats find themselves defending a number of Republican-leaning seats, including Mississippi’s 1st District.

Democrat Travis Childers was first elected in a 2008 special election, taking over a GOP seat and providing another clue…