President News & Analysis

Where the Presidential Nomination Races Are ... and Where to Look

by Stuart Rothenberg September 24, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

By Stuart Rothenberg

More than three months before the crucial Iowa caucuses, there are good reasons for treating national surveys with great skepticism and for placing greater weight on the candidates’ standing and strength in Iowa and New Hampshire.

First, the candidates actually…

Where the Presidential Nomination Races Are … and Where to Look

September 24, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

More than three months before the crucial Iowa caucuses, there are good reasons for treating national surveys with great skepticism and for placing greater weight on the candidates’ standing and strength in Iowa and New Hampshire.

First, the candidates actually have been campaigning for months in those two states —…

Golden State Ballot Measure Is Only a Long Shot for GOP

by Stuart Rothenberg September 17, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

Political operatives from both sides of the aisle are buzzing about a GOP-inspired ballot measure in California that, if passed, would divvy up the state’s Electoral College votes by Congressional district, with only two electoral votes going to the winner of the statewide popular vote.

If it passes,…

How Thompson Hurt His Own Prospects — and Helped Romney’s

by Stuart Rothenberg September 6, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

After former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson acknowledged in mid-March that he was considering a run for the Republican presidential nomination, supporters of former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney were quietly acknowledging the obvious: Their candidate was political roadkill if Thompson entered the contest anytime soon.

But things look very…

White House Cash Likely to Diminish

by Stuart Rothenberg August 16, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

While many Americans are wrapping up their summer vacations and getting their kids ready for the upcoming school year, the 2008 presidential candidates already are thinking about third-quarter fundraising figures.

The uncertainty surrounding the date of the Iowa caucuses increases the importance of those numbers, which constitute one…

It’s Time for Them to Go

August 13, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

Each party has now had at least a handful of debates consisting all of the “credible” candidates, which means that the sponsors have been “fair” and given exposure to everyone. Now it’s time to be fair to voters, which means shrinking the number of participants in the next flurry of…

It’s Time for Them to Go

August 13, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT
By Stuart Rothenberg

Each party has now had at least a handful of debates consisting all of the "credible" candidates, which means that the sponsors have been "fair" and given exposure to everyone. Now it's time to be fair to voters, which means shrinking the number of participants in…

Do Endorsements Matter in Today’s Presidential Races?

by Stuart Rothenberg July 19, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

“Score another big name endorsement for Sen. Hillary Clinton’s presidential campaign,” crowed CNN.com on July 5, the day the Clinton campaign announced that former House Democratic Leader Richard Gephardt (Mo.) would serve as an economic adviser and co-chairman of the presidential hopeful’s campaign.

That was the same day…

There’s Still Plenty of Uncertainty After McCain’s Shake-up

by Stuart Rothenberg July 16, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

First there were four, and now there are three — three top-tier GOP presidential candidates, at least if you count a guy who still isn’t officially a candidate. Sen. John McCain now has the second tier all to himself.

The shake-up at the McCain presidential campaign isn’t as…

Historical Perspective on Second-Quarter Fundraising Numbers

by Stuart Rothenberg July 12, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

I can’t understand why so many political observers, including those who do observing for a living, seem to ignore history, even recent history, as they offer quick analysis and assessments of presidential candidate fundraising numbers.

One political blogger recently cited Sen. Barack Obama’s (D-Ill.) impressive second-quarter fundraising numbers…