Democrats aren’t lamenting getting locked out of the special election runoff earlier this month in a Texas district they targeted previously.
But did the party miss an opportunity to bounce back from a surprising 11-seat loss in the 2020 elections? Looking back a decade ago at the special elections ahead…
Failure, disappointment and embarrassment. Those three feelings should come to mind for Republicans if they don’t win the House majority in 2022.
Democrats have their narrowest majority in more than a generation, and Republicans have redistricting and history on their side in the midterm elections. There’s really no excuse for…
By Nathan L. Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin
Six months into the 2022 midterm elections, and we still don’t know the congressional lines that will define and determine the fight for the House majority. And considering Republicans need a net gain of just five seats, literally every seat matters.
The U.S.…
Alabama. Current breakdown: 6R, 1D. According to pre-apportionment announcement estimates, the Yellowhammer State was at significant risk of losing a congressional seat, but Alabama will retain its 7-member delegation. No partisan changes are expected, just a competitive Republican primary to replace 5th District Rep. Mo Brooks, who is running for…
Kansas. Current breakdown: 3R, 1D. The state legislature draws Kansas’ congressional map, which is subject to gubernatorial veto. Republicans hold veto-proof majorities in both chambers, though in the state Senate the party can only afford two defections and is not always able to override Democratic Gov. Laura Kelly’s vetoes on…
North Carolina. Current breakdown: 8R, 5D (Apportionment: +1 seat). The Tar Heel State gained a seat and Republicans control the process in one of the four most important states for redistricting. Democrats believe the new seat should include the Research Triangle- at the nexus of North Carolina State Univ., Duke…
By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin
Nearly four full months late, the U.S. Census Bureau announced apportionment totals for the next round of redistricting. Here are some initial thoughts on the process and the fight for the House:
•The House majority was in play before the reapportionment announcement and…
Welcome to a redistricting cycle, where the routine is more complicated.
Typically, members announce they aren’t seeking reelection, political journalists produce long lists of people mentioned as contenders for the open seat and the race begins. In a redistricting cycle, however, it’s not clear what the district will look like…
While most of the recent redistricting coverage has focused on delayed census data, partisan control of the mapmaking and the inevitable legal fights, that only captures part of the chaos and complexities ahead this cycle.
Even after the lines are drawn, candidates and campaigns still matter. Some members are going…
Ten years is long enough to forget how crazy redistricting cycles can be.
There’s the normal uncertainty of new congressional lines and renumbered districts. Add in a narrowly divided House of Representatives, frayed nerves from the 2020 election and subsequent invasion of the Capitol, and data delays from the U.S.…
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