Outlook

Democrats have a 221-214 majority. Republicans need a net gain of 5 seats for a majority. Current projection: Net gain of 8-20 seats for Republicans.

  • Shift Republican
  • Shift Democratic

Currently Solid Seats

Democrat: 169 Republican: 187

Seats in Play

Democrat: 54 New Seats: 3 Republican: 22

Toss-up

Democrat: 11 Republican: 6
CA 22 R Valadao
CA 27 R Garcia
CO 8 Open Open; New
IA 3 D Axne
IL 17 D Open Bustos
ME 2 D Golden
MN 2 D Craig
NC 13 R Open Open
NE 2 R Bacon
NJ 7 D Malinowski
NM 2 R Herrell
OH 1 R Chabot
OH 13 D Open Ryan
PA 17 D Open Lamb
PA 7 D Wild
PA 8 D Cartwright
VA 2 D Luria
WA 8 D Schrier

Tilt Democratic

Democrat: 10 Republican: 2
KS 3 D Davids
MI 3 R Open Meijer
MI 7 D Slotkin
MI 8 D Kildee
NH 1 D Pappas
NV 1 D Titus
NV 3 D S. Lee
NY 19 D Open Delgado
NY 22 R Open Katko
OH 9 D Kaptur
OR 5 D Schrader
OR 6 Open Open; New
VA 7 D Spanberger

Lean Democratic

Democrat: 9 Republican: 2
CA 13 D Open Harder
CA 47 D Porter
IL 13 R Open R. Davis
IN 1 D Mrvan
NC 1 D Open Butterfield
NV 4 D Horsford
NY 18 D Ryan
NY 3 D Open Suozzi
RI 2 D Open Langevin
TX 28 D Cuellar
TX 34 R Flores / V. Gonzalez

Likely Democratic

Democrat: 13 Republican: 0
AZ 4 D Stanton
CA 49 D Levin
CA 9 D Harder
CO 7 D Open Perlmutter
CT 5 D Hayes
GA 2 D S. Bishop
IL 14 D Underwood
IL 6 D Casten
MD 6 D Trone
NH 2 D Kuster
NY 17 D S.P. Maloney
NY 4 D Open K. Rice
OR 4 D Open DeFazio

Tilt Republican

Democrat: 2 Republican: 1
AK 1 D Peltola
AZ 6 D Open Kirkpatrick
NY 1 R Open Zeldin

Lean Republican

Democrat: 4 Republican: 5
AZ 1 R Schweikert
AZ 2 D O'Halleran
CA 45 R Steel
IA 1 R Miller-Meeks
IA 2 R Hinson
MI 10 D Open Levin
NY 2 R Garbarino
TX 15 D Open V. Gonzalez
WI 3 D Open Kind

Likely Republican

Democrat: 5 Republican: 6
CA 3 R Open McClintock
CA 40 R Kim
FL 13 D Open Crist
FL 15 R Open Franklin
FL 27 R Salazar
FL 5 D Open Rutherford
FL 7 D Open S. Murphy
GA 6 D Open McBath
MT 1 Open Open; New
NY 11 R Malliotakis
TN 5 D Open Cooper
WA 3 R Herrera Beutler