Archive

Don’t Hold Your Breath for an Anti-Incumbent Election

January 26, 2010 · 6:00 AM EST

Voters are angry, especially at Washington, D.C., and with politicians. They are unhappy with both parties. All that is generally true.

But voters’ dissatisfaction with those in charge doesn’t mean that November is likely to be an “anti-incumbent election.” In fact, it almost certainly won’t.…

Can Candidates Accept Text Contributions?

January 25, 2010 · 2:34 PM EST

Americans are donating to the Haiti relief effort at unprecedented levels through text messaging, but can congressional candidates use them same technology to solicit contributions? For now, the answer appears to be “no.”

To help in the earthquake’s aftermath, people can contribute $10 by…

From the Archives: Obama, Biden Seats in Danger?

January 25, 2010 · 2:33 PM EST

With Democratic Attorney General Beau Biden (D) officially out of the race, the Democratic hold on Vice President Joe Biden’s Senate seat is slipping away very quickly. Here is a piece I wrote in July on the scenario that Democrats could lose both the President’s and Vice President’s former seat.

28 House Seats move toward GOP

January 25, 2010 · 7:30 AM EST

After a stunning GOP Senate win in Massachusetts and a slew of new polls showing many Democratic incumbents in trouble, it’s hard to argue with the obvious: the Republicans unquestionably have momentum as 2010 begins.

We are adding a dozen new seats to our list of districts “in play” – all of…

Tuesday’s Result Raises New Questions for Both Parties

January 22, 2010 · 8:30 AM EST

Now what?

Republican Scott Brown’s clear victory over Massachusetts Attorney General Martha Coakley (D) to fill the remainder of the term of the late Sen. Edward Kennedy (D) is shocking, given the state’s Democratic bent, recent showings by Republican federal candidates in Massachusetts and the…

House Democrats Try to Prevent Exodus

January 22, 2010 · 8:00 AM EST

In the wake of Republican Scott Brown’s upset victory in Massachusetts, House Democratic strategists are trying to reassure their Members that the party is prepared for a tough election.

“House Democrats have been preparing since day one last year for what we knew historically would be a very…

Will Citizens United v. FEC Change the 2010 Elections?

January 21, 2010 · 2:55 PM EST

Moments after the Supreme Court recognized corporations’ free speech rights in its 5-4 decision, individuals and groups from the left to the right churned out an avalanche of statements and press releases.

Democrats, liberals and “good government groups” called the decision a “disaster,”…

AR Sen moved to Lean Takeover

January 21, 2010 · 11:05 AM EST

Multiple independent polls now show Arkansas Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D) losing or running even in ballot tests against any number of lower-tier GOP challengers. Just as important, those same surveys show more voters having an unfavorable opinion of her than a favorable one.

Given the bent of…

MA Senate: Thinking the Unthinkable

January 21, 2010 · 8:00 AM EST

It’s difficult for any handicapper, professional or amateur, to think the unthinkable. And Republican Scott Brown defeating Attorney General Martha Coakley in the Massachusetts Senate special election to fill the remainder of the term of the late Sen. Edward Kennedy (D) certainly would have been…

Can the GOP Afford a Wave?

January 19, 2010 · 8:00 AM EST

After big gubernatorial wins in Virginia and New Jersey last year and the possibility of picking up the late Sen. Edward Kennedy’s (D-Mass.) seat in today’s special election, there’s no question that Republican spirits are high at the moment.

But the bank accounts at the GOP campaign committees…