Inside Elections

New York 20: Stu on CNN

March 31, 2009 · 1:03 PM EDT

Embedded video from CNN Video

Is the New York Race a Referendum on the Candidates or Politics?

by Stuart Rothenberg March 30, 2009 · 12:05 AM EDT

Is the special election in New York’s 20th district a referendum on the national political environment — on President Barack Obama, Washington, D.C.’s handling of the American International Group bonus scandal, the economic stimulus package and the national reputations of the two parties? Or,…

Polls, Press Releases and Partisanship: Let the Reader Beware

by Stuart Rothenberg March 26, 2009 · 12:05 AM EDT

Nobody is under oath, so I suppose that it’s too much to expect “the truth, the whole truth and nothing but the truth,” especially when it comes to press releases, headlines and even reputable pollsters.

But I was disappointed to see how some of the results of a March Public Opinion…

New Print Edition: California 32 & Florida 8

March 24, 2009 · 12:05 AM EDT

The March 20, 2009 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers.

The print edition of the Report comes out every two weeks. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly House and Senate ratings, and coverage of…

Should Democrats Worry About Obama Disconnect in 2010?

by Stuart Rothenberg March 23, 2009 · 12:05 AM EDT

Don’t be surprised if you soon hear Democrats asserting that midterm elections are referendums on incumbent presidents and that as long as President Barack Obama’s numbers remain strong and the GOP brand remains weak, Democratic candidates running for high office next year have nothing to worry…

Stu on ABC: Bonus Backlash

March 22, 2009 · 12:05 AM EDT

Click here to watch Stu on ABC about the AIG bonus backlash.

Florida 8: Magical World of Politics

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 20, 2009 · 3:00 PM EDT

It was bad enough last fall for Republicans to lose another 21 House seats, but they even lost Disney World. Now, GOPers are hoping out-spoken freshman Cong. Alan Grayson (D) will help make their dreams of taking back Florida’s 8th District come true by saying something outlandish.

Grayson…

California 32: Race Matters?

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 20, 2009 · 3:00 PM EDT

When President Barack Obama plucked Cong. Hilda Solis (D) from the House for his cabinet, he left Democrats with an open seat to defend. But unlike the special election in upstate New York, Democrats are in no danger of losing this Southern California seat.

State Sen. Gil Cedillo (D) and Board…

RNC Selects New Political Director

by Stuart Rothenberg March 19, 2009 · 8:00 AM EDT

Republican National Committee chairman Michael Steele has selected veteran GOP operative Gentry Collins to become the RNC’s new Political Director.

Collins joins a team that already includes Executive Director Ken McKay and Director of Communications Trevor Francis, both of whom were named…

National Mood Isn’t Always Visible on the Ground

by Stuart Rothenberg March 19, 2009 · 12:05 AM EDT

Polls show that the nation’s political winds are not changing. President Barack Obama is up, while Republicans are down — and spending more time on trivial matters such as Republican National Committee Chairman Michael Steele than on rebuilding their brand.

The past couple of months have also…