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As the 2008 election cycle wanes, Democrats remain poised to make major gains in the Senate. As our chart indicates, seven GOP seats are likely to fall to Democrats, with an eighth, Minnesota, a toss-up. If Al Franken (D) ousts Sen. Norm Coleman (R) in the Gopher State, Democrats would need to…
As Election Day nears, we see no reason to veer from the view that we have held for months – that the 2008 House elections will give Democrats another big victory. Some Democratic challengers and open seat hopefuls already are over 50% in polling, but many are still in the mid-to-upper 40s. We…
The race for the White House is all but over – and in our eyes only a dramatic last-minute could possibly change the expected outcome. Senator Barack Obama has more than the 270 electoral votes he needs to be elected President. Click here to get our presidential ratings.
For much of 2008, only four of the eleven races were considered competitive: Missouri, Indiana, North Carolina, and Washington. Now the competitive playing field has narrowed to just two, and our range continues to be a Democratic gain of one governorship to a Republican gain of a governorship.…
Our estimate is a Democratic gain of 7-9 seats.
# = Moved benefiting Democrats
* = Moved benefiting Republicans
Likely Takeover (4 R, 0 D)
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Sununu (R-NH)
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CO Open (Allard, R)
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NM Open (Domenici, R)
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VA Open (Warner, R)
Our estimate is a Democratic gain of 7-9 seats.
# = Moved benefiting Democrats
* = Moved benefiting Republicans
Likely Takeover (4 R, 0 D)
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Sununu (R-NH)
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CO Open (Allard, R)
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NM Open (Domenici, R)
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VA Open (Warner, R)
Our estimate is a Democratic gain 27-33 seats.
# = Moved benefiting Democrats
* = Moved benefiting Republicans
^ = Newly added
PURE TOSS-UP (11 R, 3 D)
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AL 2 (Open; Everett, R)
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AL 5 (Open; Cramer, D)
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CA 4 (Open; Doolittle, R) #
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FL 21 (L. Diaz-Balart, R)
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KY 2 (Open;…
Our estimate is a Democratic gain 27-33 seats.
# = Moved benefiting Democrats
* = Moved benefiting Republicans
^ = Newly added
PURE TOSS-UP (11 R, 3 D)
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AL 2 (Open; Everett, R)
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AL 5 (Open; Cramer, D)
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CA 4 (Open; Doolittle, R) #
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FL 21 (L. Diaz-Balart, R)
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KY 2 (Open;…
Total Electoral Votes
(270 needed to win)
Obama – 273 (safe/likely) + 80 (lean) = 353
McCain – 131 (safe/likely) + 28 (lean) = 159
Toss-ups = 26
Toss-Ups
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Indiana (11)
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Missouri (11)
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Nebraska (1)*
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North Dakota (3)
Lean McCain
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Arizona (10)
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Georgia (15)
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Montana…
Here are our latest gubernatorial ratings. Democrats currently hold 28 governorships compared to 22 for the Republicans. Our estimate is a Democratic gain of one governorship to a Republican of one governorship.
# – Moved benefiting Democrats
* – Moved benefiting Republicans
LIKELY TAKEOVER…