Outlook

Democrats have a 234-200 majority, with one independent (Amash). Republicans need a net gain of 18 seats for a majority. Democrats are most likely to maintain control.

  • Shift Republican
  • Shift Democratic

Currently Safe Seats

Democrat: 199 Republican: 170

Seats in Play

Democrat: 35 New Seats: 0 Republican: 30

Toss-up

Democrat: 6 Republican: 2
GA 7 R Open Woodall
IA 3 D Axne
IL 13 R R. Davis
NY 11 D Rose
NY 22 D Brindisi
OK 5 D Horn
SC 1 D Cunningham
UT 4 D McAdams

Tilt Democratic

Democrat: 10 Republican: 0
CA 21 D Cox
GA 6 D McBath
IA 1 D Finkenauer
IA 2 D Open Loebsack
IL 14 D Underwood
ME 2 D Golden
MN 7 D Peterson
NJ 3 D Kim
NM 2 D Torres Small
VA 7 D Spanberger

Lean Democratic

Democrat: 7 Republican: 1
CA 48 D Rouda
KS 3 D Davids
NJ 7 D Malinowski
NV 3 D Lee
TX 23 R Open Hurd
TX 32 D Allred
TX 7 D Fletcher
VA 2 D Luria

Likely Democratic

Democrat: 12 Republican: 2
AZ 1 D O'Halleran
CA 10 D Harder
CA 25 D VACANT
CA 39 D Cisneros
CA 45 D Porter
FL 26 D Mucarsel-Powell
MI 11 D Stevens
MI 8 D Slotkin
NC 2 R Open Holding
NC 6 R Open Walker
NH 1 D Pappas
NY 19 D Delgado
PA 17 D Lamb
PA 8 D Cartwright

Tilt Republican

Democrat: 0 Republican: 7
IA 4 R King
MI 3 I Amash
MN 1 R Hagedorn
NJ 2 R Van Drew
PA 1 R Fitzpatrick
PA 10 R Perry
TX 22 R Open Olson
TX 24 R Open Marchant

Lean Republican

Democrat: 0 Republican: 5
MO 2 R Wagner
NE 2 R Bacon
NY 2 R Open King
NY 24 R Katko
OH 1 R Chabot

Likely Republican

Democrat: 0 Republican: 13
AZ 6 R Schweikert
FL 15 R Spano
IN 5 R Open Brooks
MI 6 R Upton
NC 8 R Hudson
NC 9 R Bishop
NY 1 R Zeldin
OH 12 R Balderson
TX 10 R McCaul
TX 2 R Crenshaw
TX 21 R Roy
TX 31 R Carter
WA 3 R Herrera Beutler