Outlook

Democrats have a 235-199 majority, with one independent (Amash). Republicans need a net gain of 19 seats for a majority (or 20 seats, depending on the outcome in NC09).

  • Shift Republican
  • Shift Democratic

Currently Safe Seats

Democrat: 195 Republican: 169

Seats in Play

Democrat: 40 New Seats: 0 Republican: 30

Toss-up

Democrat: 8 Republican: 2
GA 7 R Open Woodall
IA 2 D Open Loebsack
IA 3 D Axne
IL 14 D Underwood
NC 9 R VACANT
NY 11 D Rose
NY 22 D Brindisi
OK 5 D Horn
SC 1 D Cunningham
UT 4 D McAdams

Tilt Democratic

Democrat: 10 Republican: 0
GA 6 D McBath
IA 1 D Finkenauer
ME 2 D Golden
MI 8 D Slotkin
NJ 2 D Van Drew
NJ 3 D Kim
NM 2 D Torres Small
NY 19 D Delgado
VA 2 D Luria
VA 7 D Spanberger

Lean Democratic

Democrat: 11 Republican: 1
CA 48 D Rouda
IL 6 D Casten
KS 3 D Davids
MI 11 D Stevens
MN 2 D Craig
MN 7 D Peterson
NH 1 D Pappas
NJ 7 D Malinowski
NV 3 D Lee
TX 23 R Open Hurd
TX 32 D Allred
TX 7 D Fletcher

Likely Democratic

Democrat: 11 Republican: 0
AZ 1 D O'Halleran
AZ 2 D Kirkpatrick
CA 10 D Harder
CA 21 D Cox
CA 25 D Hill
CA 39 D Cisneros
CA 45 D Porter
NJ 11 D Sherrill
PA 17 D Lamb
PA 8 D Cartwright
WI 3 D Kind

Tilt Republican

Democrat: 0 Republican: 3
IL 13 R R. Davis
PA 1 R Fitzpatrick
PA 10 R Perry

Lean Republican

Democrat: 0 Republican: 11
CA 50 R Hunter
MI 3 I Amash
MN 1 R Hagedorn
MO 2 R Wagner
NC 2 R Holding
NE 2 R Bacon
NY 24 R Katko
NY 27 R Collins
OH 1 R Chabot
TX 22 R Open Olson
TX 24 R Open Marchant
TX 31 R Carter

Likely Republican

Democrat: 0 Republican: 13
IA 4 R King
IN 5 R Open Brooks
KY 6 R Barr
MI 6 R Upton
MN 8 R Stauber
NC 13 R Budd
NY 1 R Zeldin
NY 2 R King
OH 12 R Balderson
TX 10 R McCaul
TX 2 R Crenshaw
TX 21 R Roy
WA 3 R Herrera Beutler