Outlook

Republicans have a 240-195 majority. Democrats need a net gain of 23 seats for a majority. Most likely outcome: Democratic gains in the teens to a more dramatic electoral wave.

  • Shift Republican
  • Shift Democratic

Currently Safe Seats

Democrat: 182 Republican: 183

Seats in Play

Democrat: 12 New Seats: 0 Republican: 58

Toss-up

Democrat: 2 Republican: 7
CA 39 R Open Royce
CA 49 R Open Issa
MI 11 R Open Trott
MN 1 D Open Walz
MN 2 R Lewis
MN 8 D Open Nolan
TX 23 R Hurd
VA 10 R Comstock
WA 8 R Open Reichert

Tilt Democratic

Democrat: 4 Republican: 4
AZ 1 D O'Halleran
AZ 2 R Open McSally
NH 1 D Open Shea-Porter
NJ 11 R Open Frelinghuysen
NJ 2 R Open LoBiondo
NJ 5 D Gottheimer
NV 3 D Open Rosen
PA 7 R Open Dent

Lean Democratic

Democrat: 1 Republican: 1
FL 27 R Open Ros-Lehtinen
FL 7 D Murphy

Likely Democratic

Democrat: 5 Republican: 2
CA 7 D Bera
FL 13 D Crist
MN 7 D Peterson
NV 4 D Open Kihuen
PA 5 R VACANT
PA 6 R Open Costello
PA 8 D Cartwright

Tilt Republican

Democrat: 0 Republican: 14
CA 10 R Denham
CA 25 R Knight
CA 48 R Rohrabacher
CO 6 R Coffman
FL 26 R Curbelo
IA 1 R Blum
IL 6 R Roskam
NE 2 R Bacon
NY 19 R Faso
NY 22 R Tenney
OH 12 R VACANT
PA 1 R Fitzpatrick
PA 17 R Rothfus / Lamb
TX 7 R Culberson

Lean Republican

Democrat: 0 Republican: 10
CA 45 R Walters
IL 12 R Bost
KS 2 R Open Jenkins
KS 3 R Yoder
KY 6 R Barr
MI 8 R Bishop
MN 3 R Paulsen
NJ 7 R Lance
UT 4 R Love
WI 1 R Open Ryan

Likely Republican

Democrat: 0 Republican: 20
AZ 8 R Lesko
CA 21 R Valadao
CA 50 R Hunter
GA 6 R Handel
IA 3 R Young
IL 13 R R. Davis
ME 2 R Poliquin
MI 6 R Upton
MT 1 R Gianforte
NC 13 R Budd
NC 9 R Pittenger
NM 2 R Open Pearce
NY 11 R Donovan
NY 24 R Katko
PA 10 R Perry
TX 32 R Sessions
VA 2 R Taylor
VA 5 R Garrett
VA 7 R Brat
WA 5 R McMorris Rodgers