Outlook

Republicans have a 240-195 majority. Democrats need a net gain of 23 seats for a majority. Most likely outcome: Democratic gain of 25-35 seats, with larger gains possible.

  • Shift Republican
  • Shift Democratic

Currently Safe Seats

Democrat: 186 Republican: 162

Seats in Play

Democrat: 9 New Seats: 0 Republican: 78

Toss-up

Democrat: 2 Republican: 14
CA 10 R Denham
CA 25 R Knight
CA 39 R Open Royce
CA 45 R Walters
IA 3 R Young
KS 2 R Open Jenkins
KY 6 R Barr
ME 2 R Poliquin
MI 11 R Open Trott
MI 8 R Bishop
MN 1 D Open Walz
MN 8 D Open Nolan
PA 1 R Fitzpatrick
TX 32 R Sessions
VA 7 R Brat
WA 8 R Open Reichert

Tilt Democratic

Democrat: 2 Republican: 12
AZ 2 R Open McSally
CA 48 R Rohrabacher
CO 6 R Coffman
IL 6 R Roskam
KS 3 R Yoder
MN 2 R Lewis
MN 3 R Paulsen
NH 1 D Open Shea-Porter
NJ 11 R Open Frelinghuysen
NJ 3 R MacArthur
NV 3 D Open Rosen
NY 19 R Faso
NY 22 R Tenney
VA 10 R Comstock

Lean Democratic

Democrat: 2 Republican: 5
AZ 1 D O'Halleran
CA 49 R Open Issa
FL 27 R Open Ros-Lehtinen
IA 1 R Blum
PA 17 R Rothfus / Lamb
PA 7 R Open Dent
PA 8 D Cartwright

Likely Democratic

Democrat: 2 Republican: 3
FL 7 D Murphy
NJ 2 R Open LoBiondo
NV 4 D Open Kihuen
PA 5 R VACANT
PA 6 R Open Costello

Tilt Republican

Democrat: 0 Republican: 11
FL 26 R Curbelo
IL 12 R Bost
NC 13 R Budd
NC 2 R Holding
NC 9 R Open Pittenger
NJ 7 R Lance
NM 2 R Open Pearce
OH 12 R Balderson
TX 23 R Hurd
TX 7 R Culberson
VA 2 R Taylor

Lean Republican

Democrat: 0 Republican: 9
IL 13 R R. Davis
NE 2 R Bacon
NY 27 R Collins
OH 1 R Chabot
PA 10 R Perry
UT 4 R Love
WA 5 R McMorris Rodgers
WI 1 R Open Ryan
WV 3 R Open Jenkins

Likely Republican

Democrat: 1 Republican: 24
AR 2 R Hill
AZ 8 R Lesko
CA 21 R Valadao
CA 4 R McClintock
CA 50 R Hunter
FL 15 R Open Ross
FL 16 R Buchanan
FL 18 R Mast
FL 6 R Open DeSantis
GA 6 R Handel
GA 7 R Woodall
IA 4 R King
IN 2 R Walorski
MI 6 R Upton
MI 7 R Walberg
MT 1 R Gianforte
NY 11 R Donovan
NY 24 R Katko
OH 14 R Joyce
PA 14 D Open Lamb
PA 16 R Kelly
TX 21 R Open Smith
TX 31 R Carter
VA 5 R Open Garrett
WA 3 R Herrera Beutler