Why We’re Not Releasing 2020 Race Ratings Yet

I love elections, particularly congressional races, but I’m just not in a hurry to jump to 2020. And I’m completely fine with holding off on releasing our race ratings until next year.

If I didn’t like elections, I would probably need to take a long look at doing something else with my life, although at this point I’m not even sure what that would be. My previous experience includes working the corner as a human directional (the politically correct term for sign twirler), making pizzas at Figaro’s, digging irrigation trenches on campus, and folding jeans at Urban Outfitters.

When I started working at The Rothenberg Political Report more than 17 years ago, there was something called an “off year.” I know, it sounds strange. Sure, there were a handful of states that chose to elect their governors at weird times, but federal races were slower in coming together.

Not anymore.

Whether it’s the increased importance of fundraising, the pressure to clear the field of other contenders, or just the constant mandate to “win the day” every day, our election “cycles” are constant.

Candidates are already jockeying for position in some key races, we’re closer to having a new senator from Arizona, and I’m sure some other incumbents are contemplating retirement where open seats could be game-changers.

But the analysis can wait a few weeks. The world isn’t going to end without my hot takes. It’s OK to pause, take a deep breath, and recover from the 2018 (and 2016) elections while…

House Primaries on the Horizon for Democrats in 2020

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 20, 2018 · 9:30 AM EST

North Carolina: Blue Wave Steered Clear of ‘Blue Moon’ Election

by Leah Askarinam December 14, 2018 · 2:30 PM EST

Post-Midterms Baseline and Vote Above Replacement (VAR) Update

by Ryan Matsumoto December 14, 2018 · 2:29 PM EST

2019 Gubernatorial Overview: There’s No Off Year in Three States

by Leah Askarinam December 14, 2018 · 2:28 PM EST

Expect Record Turnout in 2020

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 13, 2018 · 2:53 PM EST

Are White Evangelicals the Saviors of the GOP?

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 12, 2018 · 3:37 PM EST

The 2018 Midterms as the Buffet Election

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 3, 2018 · 8:55 AM EST

Goodbye Midterm Dynamic, Hello Presidential Politics

by Stuart Rothenberg November 29, 2018 · 9:15 AM EST

Reports by State

United States Map Select a State