Florida Senate: Not Swing, But Still Battleground

By Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan L. Gonzales

After cycles of GOP success, Florida has shed its swing state status. But the Sunshine State is still competitive and should still be considered a battleground, particularly when the majority in the Senate hinges on a single seat.  

Six years ago, Marco Rubio was running for president and content with leaving his Senate seat behind. Now, he’s seeking his third term in office and seemingly transitioned from a consensus future leader of the GOP to making sure he still has a place in President Donald Trump’s Republican Party.

Even though Democrats have fallen short in all of the big elections in Florida in recent years, there’s renewed energy building about the 2022 Senate race. Rep. Val Demings has emerged as the likely nominee at a time when the Democratic Party is looking to elevate Black women.

At the same time, when it comes to Florida, Democrats feel like Charlie Brown in his iconic scene with Lucy. Just when Democrats think victory is within reach, Lucy pulls the football away and Charlie Brown falls flat on his back.

The Lay of the Land
Republicans are very confident in a state where they consistently win by a couple of percentage points or less in key races. National Republican Senatorial Committee chairman Rick Scott, who holds Florida’s other Senate seat and served two terms as the state’s governor, recently said he believes that Florida is a “red state,” despite his three razor-thin victories over the past decade. …

Biden’s Job Rating and the 2022 Midterm Elections

by Ryan Matsumoto June 4, 2021 · 2:29 PM EDT

New Mexico 1 Special: Status Quo Results

June 4, 2021 · 2:28 PM EDT

Candidate Conversation: Gillian Battino (D)

June 4, 2021 · 2:27 PM EDT

House Report Shorts (June 4, 2021): Florida & Ohio

by Jacob Rubashkin June 4, 2021 · 2:26 PM EDT

Could Supreme Court Supercharge Midterms With Abortion Ruling?

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 3, 2021 · 8:58 AM EDT

New Mexico 1 Special: Tale of Two Races

by Jacob Rubashkin May 21, 2021 · 2:30 PM EDT

Ohio Senate: Grand Re-Opening

by Jacob Rubashkin May 21, 2021 · 2:29 PM EDT

Special Elections in Redistricting Cycles: To Play or Not to Play?

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 21, 2021 · 9:00 AM EDT

Reports by State

United States Map Select a State