House News & Analysis

Illinois 17: Open Seat Opportunity

by Jacob Rubashkin August 4, 2022 · 2:30 PM EDT

In 2020, Rep. Cheri Bustos was on the ascendancy. Held up as a model for how Democrats could win back the working class white voters they lost to Donald Trump, Bustos received votes for Speaker of the House, and was picked to helm the House Democrats’ campaign arm as the…

The 2022 Redistricting Cycle in 10 Graphics

by Bradley Wascher August 4, 2022 · 2:29 PM EDT

With the 2022 redistricting cycle coming to a close over the summer, we now know what all 435 congressional districts will look like this November.

As each state drew its new congressional map, Inside Elections profiled and rated every new district. In…

Report Shorts (August 4, 2022)

August 4, 2022 · 2:28 PM EDT

Alaska
At-Large District Special.
A July 20-25 poll from Alaska Survey Research indicates a competitive race to succeed the late Rep. Don Young. Pollster Ivan Moore found Democrat Mary Peltola in front with 41 percent, followed by Republicans Nick Begich III (30 percent) and Sarah Palin (29 percent). The…

Battlefield Comes Into Focus With Primaries in Five States

August 3, 2022 · 1:04 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

Arizona
Senate.
Venture capitalist Blake Masters won the GOP primary with 39 percent followed by solar energy CEO Jim Lamon (29 percent) and state Attorney General Mark Brnovich (18 percent). Masters will face Democratic Sen. Mark Kelly in one of the most…

Maryland Primary Results: Gov Race Shifts Further Toward Democrats

by Jacob Rubashkin July 22, 2022 · 2:59 PM EDT

Maryland Governor
In the Democratic primary for governor, author and former nonprofit CEO Wes Moore currently leads a crowded field with 35 percent of the vote. Former Secretary of Labor/former DNC chairman Tom Perez (28 percent) and state comptroller Peter Franchot (21 percent) are currently second and third. There’s…

New York Special Elections: 19th and 23rd Districts

by Jacob Rubashkin July 21, 2022 · 12:08 PM EDT

The midterms are less than four months away. But before then, voters in four districts will have to go to the polls to fill vacancies caused by death and resignation. And the results in Alaska, Minnesota, and New York, could provide some data on how the political environment has shifted…

Virginia 7: Roe, Roe, Roe to Re-election?

by Jacob Rubashkin July 15, 2022 · 2:30 PM EDT

The Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade just three weeks ago, but the decision is already reverberating through congressional races across the country. 

Democrats, facing serious headwinds nationally due to economic concerns and President Joe Biden’s anemic approval ratings, are banking on newfound focus on abortion rights to generate enthusiasm…

Republicans Have the Edge in Early House Projection

July 15, 2022 · 2:29 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

With less than four months before Election Day, the country is on track for a typical midterm election in which voters punish the president’s party, particularly when it comes to House races.  

Over the last century, the president’s party has lost an average…

House & Governor Report Shorts (July 1, 2022)

July 1, 2022 · 2:26 PM EDT

California
22nd District.
Now that all but the last couple hundred ballots have finally been counted, GOP Rep. David Valadao can breathe a brief sigh of relief. The incumbent will outpace fellow Republican and former Fresno City councilor Chris Mathys by just 1,226 votes, after Democrats started spending to…

Iowa 3: Axne on the Front Lines

by Jacob Rubashkin June 17, 2022 · 2:30 PM EDT

What a difference a few years makes.

In 2018, Democrats barnstormed Iowa, flipping two congressional districts, holding another, and nearly winning the deeply Republican 4th District and the governor’s mansion for the first time in over a decade.

But in 2020, Republicans stormed right back, flipping two districts, replacing their…