House News & Analysis

Minnesota 2: Twin Billing

by Jacob Rubashkin September 10, 2021 · 2:29 PM EDT

With history, redistricting, and the current national political environment on their side, Republicans are on the march to the House majority. And if they make big gains in 2022, Minnesota’s 2nd District is likely to be in that batch of takeovers.

Democrats are facing the worst national environment since the…

RIP, Rally ’Round the Flag

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 9, 2021 · 8:45 AM EDT

Less than 12 hours after Flight 175 crashed into the South Tower of the World Trade Center on Sept. 11, 2001, close to 150 members of Congress, Republicans and Democrats, stood together on the steps of the U.S. Capitol to sing “God Bless America.” Unfortunately, that act of bipartisanship…

How Afghanistan Will (and Won’t) Matter in 2022 Midterms

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 2, 2021 · 12:00 PM EDT

No, the 2022 midterm elections will not be about Afghanistan, but that doesn’t mean the situation won’t matter. 

While Presidents George W. Bush, Barack Obama and Donald Trump contributed to the military morass, and there was close to bipartisan consensus that leaving Afghanistan was the right thing to do, there…

House Majority Forward Enters the Early Fight

by Christopher Sebastian August 31, 2021 · 2:23 PM EDT

Christopher Sebastian is a Senior Analyst for Kantar/CMAG

House Majority PAC  has never been afraid to spend money.

Still, the Democratic stalwart of Super PAC spending has, for the past decade, limited its involvement in off-cycle and pre-primary activity. Even as other outside PACs have grown more willing to broadcast…

2022 House Overview: Republicans on the Offensive

August 27, 2021 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

With census data in hand and President Joe Biden’s job performance in the spotlight, the fight for the House is well underway. Republicans came into the cycle with history and redistricting on their side, but now might have the added benefit of a…

2022 House Overview (August 27, 2021): Alabama - Iowa

August 27, 2021 · 2:29 PM EDT

Alabama. Current delegation breakdown: 6 Republicans, 1 Democrat. Jan. 28 filing deadline. May 24 primary. July 26 runoff (if necessary). No partisan changes expected in the Yellowhammer State, which will retain its seven-member delegation. There is a competitive primary brewing in the 5th District (Northern Alabama), where GOP Rep. Mo…

2022 House Overview (August 27, 2021): Kansas - New York

August 27, 2021 · 2:28 PM EDT

Kansas. Current breakdown: 3R, 1D. June 1 filing deadline. Aug. 2 primary. Republicans are focused on defeating Democratic Rep. Sharice Davids, who defeated GOP Rep. Kevin Yoder in the 3rd District in 2018 and won re-election in 2020. Biden won the district, so Republicans will likely divide Democrats in the…

2022 House Overview (August 27, 2021): North Carolina - Wyoming

August 27, 2021 · 2:27 PM EDT

North Carolina. Current breakdown: 8R, 5D (Apportionment: +1 seat). Dec. 17, 2021 filing deadline. March 8 primary. April 26 runoff (if necessary). Republicans control the state legislature, and even though Gov. Roy Cooper is a Democrat, he has no say in the redistricting process. A lot depends on how aggressive…

New Census Data Kickstarts Next Phase of Redistricting

by Jacob Rubashkin August 12, 2021 · 2:30 PM EDT

On Thursday, the Census Bureau released its first set of long-awaited local data, kicking off what promises to be a consequential and messy redistricting process. Over the next six months (or so), states will take that block-level population and racial data and draw new congressional and legislative districts to use…

Stop Attacking Losing Candidates

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 11, 2021 · 9:02 AM EDT

It’s time to stop attacking candidates for losing a previous race. It’s just silly and ignores history. The partisan and glib attacks aren’t predictive of anything and ignore dozens of examples of candidates who lost before winning.

The latest example is in Iowa, where former Rep. Abby Finkenauer announced her…