House News & Analysis

California 45: Tran Melts Steel’s Advantage

by Jacob Rubashkin December 19, 2024 · 2:30 PM EST

How did a little-known attorney, a first-time candidate who “came out of nowhere,” defeat a mainstay of Orange County politics in one of the closest races of the 2024 cycle?

That’s the question Republicans are asking themselves in California’s 45th District after Derek Tran, a 44-year-old lawyer, Army veteran and…

Report Shorts (December 19, 2024)

December 19, 2024 · 2:29 PM EST

Florida’s 7th District. The House Ethics Committee is investigating GOP Rep. Cory Mills, but it’s not clear what he potentially did wrong. Mills just won re-election by 14 points in the Central Florida seat, and Donald Trump finished ahead of Kamala Harris by 12.5 points, according to elections analyst Matt…

Podcast Episode 37: 2024 Election Hits & Misses, Nebraska 2, Online Scams

December 13, 2024 · 1:50 PM EST

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin talk about what they got right (and wrong) in the 2024 elections, do a deep dive into one of the most competitive House races in the country and how Rep. Don Bacon was able to survive, and look ahead to the 2026 fight for the…

The 7,309-Vote Election: How Republicans Held the House

by Jacob Rubashkin December 11, 2024 · 11:00 AM EST

Control of the House of Representatives ultimately came down to a group of voters smaller than the crowd at a Texas high school football game. And by at least one metric, 2024 was the closest race for control of the House in recent history.

The battle was a hard-fought, race-by-race…

Nebraska 2: Bacon Cooks Democrats Again

by Jacob Rubashkin December 5, 2024 · 2:29 PM EST

When the dust settled on the 2024 elections, there were few surprises in the House of Representatives. A close, competitive fight resulted in a five-seat majority for the Republicans, and neither party scored any unexpected wins.

The biggest upset was barely an upset at all, in Nebraska’s 2nd District, where…

Repeat Candidates Largely Fall Short in the House

by Jacob Rubashkin November 26, 2024 · 3:51 PM EST

The second time isn’t always the charm. 

In nearly half of the most competitive House races of 2024, one or both of the major nominees were repeat candidates. But while returning House hopefuls often bring real advantages to the table — they can avoid expensive primaries, have existing donor networks,…

Podcast Episode 36: 2024 Election Results & Analysis w/ Amy Walter of The Cook Political Report

November 19, 2024 · 5:05 PM EST

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin, and Amy Walter of The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter discuss the 2024 election results including the fights for the White House, Senate, and House. In addition, Jacob finally gets around to watching L.A. Confidential, Amy talks about the hottest ticket in Washington, D.C. and…

What Happened and What’s Next after the 2024 Elections?

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 7, 2024 · 2:30 PM EST

The 2024 elections were going to humble one party, and voters called Democrats to the carpet. It will take days to get final results and probably weeks before there’s a full understanding of what happened, but there are more than a few points that can be made in the wake…

Outlier or Early Warning? Late Iowa Poll Confounds

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 3, 2024 · 4:39 PM EST

It’s never wise to jump to conclusions based on any single poll. But it would be foolish to ignore results from a quality pollster. 

Ann Selzer shocked the political world on Saturday evening with a poll showing Vice President Kamala Harris ahead of former President Donald Trump by 3 points…

Podcast Episode 35: Pre-Election Projections w/ Kirk Bado of National Journal

November 1, 2024 · 7:51 PM EDT

Nathan, Jacob and Kirk Bado of National Journal’s Hotline break down the fights for the Senate, House, and White House in the final pre-election episode of the 2024 elections.

Listen to the podcast on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or Pocket Casts here.

The Inside Elections podcast analyzes congressional, presidential…