House News & Analysis

What Can We Learn From the North Carolina Redo Election?

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 20, 2019 · 2:03 PM EDT

By now, most journalists, handicappers, and party operatives are trained to restrain themselves when applying special election results to future general election forecasts.

But the redo election in North Carolina’s 9th District provides a unique opportunity to learn about the present political environment and how it’s changed since November.

Instead…

2020 House Overview (May 17, 2019): Parties Prepare for Battle

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 17, 2019 · 2:30 PM EDT

In the shadow of the presidential race, Republicans and Democrats are preparing for another battle: the fight for the House. It’s not going to get as much attention over the next 18 months, but control of the House is every bit as important as the race for the White House…

2020 House Overview (May 17, 2019): Alabama - Iowa

May 17, 2019 · 2:29 PM EDT

Alabama. 

1st District (Open; Bradley Byrne, R, running for Senate). Trump 64%. The congressman is challenging Democratic Sen. Doug Jones. A crowded Republican primary, including Mobile County Commissioner Jerry Carl, former state Sen. Bill Hightower, state Rep. Chris Pringle, businessman Wes Lambert, and potentially others, is almost inevitable for his…

2020 House Overview (May 17, 2019): Kansas - New York

May 17, 2019 · 2:28 PM EDT

Kansas. 

1st District (Roger Marshall, R, re-elected 68%). Trump 69%. The congressman is angling for Republican Pat Roberts’ open Senate seat, and could create an open House seat. The most important race would be the primary. Businessman and farmer Gary Harshberger of Dodge City is a potentially strong candidate while…

2020 House Overview (May 17, 2019): North Carolina - Wyoming

May 17, 2019 · 2:27 PM EDT

North Carolina. 

2nd District (George Holding, R, re-elected 51%). Trump 53%. Some Democrats are hoping Iraq/Afghanistan war veteran Scott Cooper puts them over the edge in the Raleigh suburbs, but Sarah Crawford, who lost an expensive 2014 state Senate race against a GOP incumbent, could run too. Former state Rep.…

Arthur Finkelstein Reprised with GOP’s ‘Socialists’ Cries

by Stuart Rothenberg May 7, 2019 · 8:52 AM EDT

If you’re on any Republican list, you’ve undoubtedly received emails from one of the GOP campaign committees or a Capitol Hill communications staffer calling the Democrats “socialists.” To those of us who were around in the 1980s and 1990s, that’s nothing new. We remember the late GOP campaign consultant Arthur…

Wyoming: One Open Seat or Two?

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 6, 2019 · 2:15 PM EDT

GOP Sen. Mike Enzi announced Saturday that he won’t seek a fifth term, causing more than a handful of Wyoming Republicans to evaluate their political ambitions. 

Only seven men (and zero women) have represented The Equality State in the Senate in the last 50 years, and this is Wyoming’s…

New Jersey 7: Once Lost or Gone Forever?

by Leah Askarinam May 3, 2019 · 2:30 PM EDT

Donald Trump and Chris Christie haven’t made it easy for Republicans in New Jersey. But 2020 presents an opportunity for the GOP: The former governor is out of the picture, and voters can take out their frustrations on the president himself rather than punishing down-ballot candidates.

New Jersey Republicans lost…

North Carolina 3 Special: GOP Runoff Set for Jones Replacement

by Leah Askarinam May 3, 2019 · 2:27 PM EDT

The 2020 elections are still more than a year away, but voters in North Carolina’s 3rd District are choosing a new member in a special election after the death of GOP Rep. Walter Jones.

It’s probably the second-best special election takeover opportunity for Democrats looking to add to their majority…

Republicans Have a Post-Trump Identity Crisis on the Horizon

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 30, 2019 · 8:54 AM EDT

Republicans are enjoying their ride in the White House and basking in the glow of a divided Democratic presidential field, but a monumental identity crisis is looming for the GOP.

Whether you think President Donald Trump won’t be president in two months, two years or six years, Republicans are going…