Alaska.
At-Large District. Mary Peltola, D, re-elected 55%. Trump 53%. Both parties agreed a few weeks ago that this race had gotten very tight, but the consensus ended there. Republicans now believe they have the advantage while Democrats say they have righted the ship. Between the state’s ranked-choice voting…
Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin unveil the latest Inside Elections/Noble Predictive Insights poll in a sleeper race in Arizona’s 2nd District and discuss race rating changes in the Nevada and Arizona Senate races before breaking down the fight for the House majority with Erin Covey of The Cook Political Report…
Arizona voters already faced a gauntlet of competitive races this fall, from a toss-up presidential contest to a high-profile Senate race and two of the most expensive House races in the country.
But another election may be asserting itself in the closing weeks of the cycle, according to new polling…
Alabama.
2nd District (Mobile, Montgomery, and eastern Black Belt) Open; Barry Moore, R, running in 1st District. Biden 56%. National Democratic strategists are keeping an eye on this redrawn seat, and it was no accident that nominee Shomari Figures was given a coveted DNC speaking slot in August, but…
Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin unveil the latest Inside Elections/Noble Predictive Insights poll in North Carolina’s 1st District and analyze the vice presidential debate between Sen. J.D. Vance and Gov. Tim Walz before discussing election polls, models, and election forecasting with Nathaniel Rakich of FiveThirtyEight.
Alaska.
At-Large District. Mary Peltola, D, re-elected 55%. Trump 53%. Republican Nick Begich struggled to fundraise for much of the primary, and now outside groups are coming in to bolster him with positive advertising ahead of the general election. The NRCC is also airing negative ads against Peltola, while…
Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin unveil the latest Inside Elections/Noble Predictive Insights poll in Montana’s 1st District, talk about the latest rating changes, and analyze a critical House race in Connecticut with Daniela Altimari of CQ Roll Call.
Listen to the podcast on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or Pocket…
Alaska.
At-Large District. Mary Peltola, D, re-elected 55%. Trump 53%. Republicans got the one-on-one matchup against Peltola (rather than a messy three-way fight) but not with the candidate preferred by national strategists or Trump. There’s still uncertainty about what two minor candidates will fill out the ballot. Two Republicans…
Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin unveil the latest Inside Elections/Noble Predictive Insights poll in Oregon’s 5th District and the latest rating changes, and chat with former Meet the Press moderator Chuck Todd of NBC News about interviewing candidates and covering elections.
GOP Rep. Laurie Chavez-DeRemer enters the fall trailing a familiar Democratic opponent narrowly, according to new polling of Oregon’s 5th District from Noble Predictive Insights for Inside Elections.
When Chavez-DeRemer flipped the Democratic-held seat in 2022, she did so as the favorite, taking advantage of a fractured Democratic Party and…
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