House News & Analysis

Montana Redistricting: Back Two the Future

by Jacob Rubashkin November 24, 2021 · 10:15 AM EST

When Montana was assigned an additional congressional district earlier this year, it didn’t just double its representation in the U.S. House. It made history, with Big Sky Country becoming the first state ever to bounce back to multiple members after previously being reduced to one at-large district.

Montana lost its…

2022 House Overview (November 19, 2021): Good to Great for GOP

November 19, 2021 · 2:30 PM EST

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

Republicans are positioned to have somewhere between a good and great set of midterm elections in 2022, and either scenario should deliver the House majority to the GOP. 

With historical midterm trends, redistricting and the current political environment in Republicans’ favor, and the…

2022 House Overview (November 19, 2021): Alabama - Iowa

November 19, 2021 · 2:29 PM EST

Alabama. Jan. 28 filing deadline. May 24 primary. July 26 runoff (if necessary). Gov. Kay Ivey, a Republican, signed Alabama’s new map into law on Nov. 4. The new lines maintain the status quo partisan balance, with six Solid Republican seats and one Solid Democratic, majority-Black seat (Rep. Terri Sewell’s…

2022 House Overview (November 19, 2021): Kansas - New York

November 19, 2021 · 2:28 PM EST

Kansas. Current breakdown: 3R, 1D. June 1 filing deadline. Aug. 2 primary. Kansas is still in the preliminary stages of redistricting, but the 3rd District, represented by Democrat Sharice Davids, needs to lose some population due to growth in the Kansas City suburbs. It’s not yet clear if Republicans will…

2022 House Overview (November 19, 2021): North Carolina - Wyoming

November 19, 2021 · 2:27 PM EST

North Carolina. Current breakdown: 8R, 5D (Apportionment: +1 seat). Dec. 17, 2021 filing deadline. March 8 primary. April 26 runoff (if necessary). North Carolina’s GOP-held legislature passed a new map into law without the signature of Democratic Gov. Roy Cooper, who is powerless in the redistricting process. North Carolina Republicans…

Report Shorts (November 19, 2021)

by Jacob Rubashkin November 19, 2021 · 2:26 PM EST

Florida’s 20th District
Self-funding healthcare executive Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick was certified as the winner of the Democratic primary to replace the late Rep. Alcee Hastings, meaning she’s the prohibitive favorite to win the special general election on Jan. 11. The result came after a recount that confirmed Cherfilus-McCormick won five…

Texas Redistricting: A Lone Swing Seat in the Lone Star State?

by Bradley Wascher November 15, 2021 · 1:09 PM EST

One of the largest states in the country will host some of the fewest competitive House races over the next decade. By signing into law Texas’s new congressional map late last month, Republican Gov. Greg Abbott approved

Iowa Redistricting: Republicans Looking for the Sweep

by Jacob Rubashkin November 11, 2021 · 10:15 AM EST

Republicans defeated two of the three Democratic members in Iowa in 2020 and are hoping to finish the job next year. Beating Democratic Rep. Cindy Axne would give the GOP full control of the four-member delegation and a net gain of one seat on their march to the majority. 


Candidate Conversation: Tom Toomey (R)

October 22, 2021 · 2:28 PM EDT

New Jersey’s 11th — Rating: To Be Determined After Redistricting

Interview Date: Oct. 13, 2021 (via Zoom)

Date of Birth: July 6, 1993 (Hackensack, New Jersey)

Education: Iona College (2015)

Elected Office: None. First run for office.

Current Outlook: Toomey is one of several Republicans hoping to take on two-term…

Ad Watch: Building Back Together Stays the Course

by Christopher Sebastian October 15, 2021 · 1:15 PM EDT

Christopher Sebastian is a Senior Analyst for Kantar/CMAG.

Early last week, Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer set a new October 31st deadline for the passage of the remainder of President Joe Biden’s Build Back Better plan, composed of the administration’s proposed infrastructure policies not found in the earlier “American Rescue…