House News & Analysis

Gubernatorial Report Shorts (Sept. 28, 2018)

September 28, 2018 · 2:27 PM EDT

Democratic Blueprint. At a press conference Sept. 18, Washington Gov. Jay Inslee, the chairman of the Democratic Governors Association, called the current cycle of gubernatorial races a “generational election” and an opportunity to rid of the “scourge of gerrymandering.”  In our last gubernatorial overview, we pointed out that 26 of…

Candidate Conversation - Janet Garrett (D)

September 28, 2018 · 2:26 PM EDT

Ohio’s 4th District — Rating: Solid Republican

Interview Date: Sept. 6, 2018

Date of Birth: Feb. 23, 1953; Troy, Ohio

Education: Kent State (1995; Master’s 1980)

Elected Office: 4th District nominee (2014, 2016)

Current Outlook: In a district where Hillary Clinton couldn’t break 31 percent, GOP Rep. Jim Jordan is…

Prepare to Be Disappointed on Election Night

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 26, 2018 · 10:42 AM EDT

After two years of campaigning in the latest most consequential election of our lifetimes, election night could be a huge letdown. The disappointment is not about which party prevails Nov. 6, but the reality that a combination of close races and West Coast contests could prevent enough races from being…

What 39,000 Words in 15 Profiles Didn’t Tell You About Beto O’Rourke

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 21, 2018 · 10:01 AM EDT

I’m pretty sure three new profiles of Texas Democrat Beto O’Rourke have been published in the time it took me to write this lede. Yet the only thing more remarkable than the sheer volume of stories written about the congressman is that none of them put his 2012 House victory…

2018 Election Preview: It’s All Over But the Campaigning

September 14, 2018 · 3:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales and Leah Askarinam

After nearly two years of campaigning, 52 days is still plenty of time for the midterm elections to develop.

Most of the races are finally fully engaged and the rest of September will be the proving ground for the effectiveness of GOP attack…

National Notes (September 14, 2018)

September 14, 2018 · 3:29 PM EDT

Republicans’ Slumping Surveys. President Donald Trump’s job approval rating dipped across the board, which should be disconcerting for Republicans on the ballot this fall. Fundamentally, midterm elections are most often a referendum on the president. And if voters are dissatisfied with the president’s performance, they can’t vote against him, so…

House Report Shorts (September 14, 2018)

September 14, 2018 · 3:27 PM EDT

Arizona’s 2nd District (Open; Martha McSally, R, running for Senate). Clinton 49.6%. Republicans are excited about their nominee, Lea Marquez Peterson, but it won’t be easy to hold Rep. Martha McSally’s open seat. Former 1st District Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick won a competitive Democratic primary. She took heat for moderate positions…

5 States That Will Decide the House Majority

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 13, 2018 · 11:30 AM EDT

With a growing number of vulnerable House districts, there might be too much to watch for on election night. But by focusing on just a handful of states, you can get a pretty good idea of whether Democrats are having a good enough night to gain the 23 seats necessary to…

Candidate Conversation - Richard Ojeda (D)

August 31, 2018 · 10:56 AM EDT

West Virginia’s 3rd District - Rating: Lean Republican

Interview Date: July 12, 2018

Date of Birth: Sept. 25,1970; Rochester, Minn.

Education: West Virginia State College (1997); Webster (MBA, 2004)

Elected Office: State senate (elected 2016); 3rd District candidate (2014)

Current Outlook: Rep. Evan Jenkins’ run for the Senate, which ended…

Candidate Conversation - Betsy Rader (D)

August 31, 2018 · 10:55 AM EDT

Ohio’s 14th District — Rating: Likely Republican

Interview Date: July 12, 2018

Date of Birth: June 13, 1961; Coshocton, Ohio

Education: Ohio State Univ. (1982); Yale (JD 1986)

Elected Office: Candidate for county judge (2004)

Current Outlook: Attorney Betsy Rader is taking on the congressman in a northeast Ohio district…