House News & Analysis

New York 3 Special: Immigration Dominates Campaign Messaging

by Jacob Rubashkin February 6, 2024 · 5:14 PM EST

GLEN COVE, N.Y.— Tom Suozzi may be a political institution here on the North Shore of Long Island. But the upcoming special election feels like a home game for Republicans when it comes to the messaging.

The contest to replace the expelled GOP Rep. George Santos, is between Suozzi, who…

New York 3 Special: On Weekends, We Campaign

by Jacob Rubashkin February 2, 2024 · 9:31 AM EST

GLEN COVE, N.Y.— Two weeks before the most important special election of the cycle, a solitary Tom Suozzi for Congress staffer sat at a folding table at a campaign headquarters in New York’s 3rd District. Behind him loomed empty shelves bearing signs for GNC supplements and one-hour photo development, a…

Podcast Episode 15: California Senate and House Primaries with Melanie Mason of Politico

February 1, 2024 · 6:11 PM EST

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Melanie Mason of Politico discuss the upcoming California primaries including the race to replace Dianne Feinstein in the Senate and more than a dozen consequential and interesting House primaries. And Nathan contemplates buying a track suit fashioned after a G.I. Joe character.

Listen…

Iowa 3: Des Moines Melee

by Jacob Rubashkin January 26, 2024 · 2:30 PM EST

The presidential circus left town, but the most consequential political fight in Des Moines is just getting started.

Iowa’s 3rd District is one of the most evenly divided seats in the country, and has been for the better part of two decades. The Des Moines-based district has switched hands repeatedly…

2022 Vote Above Replacement: House Challengers Running Again in 2024

by Bradley Wascher January 26, 2024 · 2:27 PM EST

There’s no shame in finishing second, because Congress is filled with losers.

In 2020, Republican Air Force veteran Anna Paulina Luna failed to unseat Democratic then-Rep. Charlie Crist in Florida’s 13th District. Two years later, Luna, now without worry of Crist, who was running for governor, found herself…

Report Shorts (Jan. 26, 2024)

January 26, 2024 · 2:26 PM EST

Louisiana’s 6th District. A redrawn congressional map is the result of a legal challenge under Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act and is poised to deliver an additional seat to Democrats. The Supreme Court’s ruling in a similar case in Alabama last year set off a domino effect throughout…

Louisiana Redistricting: Democrats +1, Graves 0

by Jacob Rubashkin January 22, 2024 · 4:00 PM EST

House Democrats look set to pick up a seat in Louisiana following a court-ordered redistricting process, at the expense of a once-powerful ally of former Speaker Kevin McCarthy.

While not final, the map passed by the Louisiana state legislature and supported by GOP Gov. Jeff Landry last week would create…

Podcast Episode 14: Iowa Caucus Results, Delegate Counting w/ Leah Askarinam

January 18, 2024 · 11:34 AM EST

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Leah Askarinam of 538 and the Associated Press discuss the Iowa caucus results and the intricacies of counting delegates in the presidential nominating process.

Listen to the podcast on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or Pocket Casts here.

The Inside Elections podcast analyzes congressional, presidential…

New York 3 Special: Nassau County Clash

by Jacob Rubashkin January 11, 2024 · 2:30 PM EST

The antics and alleged crimes of George Santos have put a spotlight on New York’s 3rd District for over a year. But the lights are brighter than ever now that Santos has been expelled and the 3rd District is up for grabs in the first competitive House special election of…

Ohio 6 Special: GOP Fight in Formerly Blue Territory

by Jacob Rubashkin January 11, 2024 · 2:29 PM EST

Serving in Congress is so bad that one member would rather be a college president than finish out the remainder of his term. 

Republican Bill Johnson will exit Congress on Jan. 21 to take a job as president of Youngstown State University, triggering a special election in the Ohio River…