Senate News & Analysis

2018 Election Preview: It’s All Over But the Campaigning

September 14, 2018 · 3:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales and Leah Askarinam

After nearly two years of campaigning, 52 days is still plenty of time for the midterm elections to develop.

Most of the races are finally fully engaged and the rest of September will be the proving ground for the effectiveness of GOP attack…

National Notes (September 14, 2018)

September 14, 2018 · 3:29 PM EDT

Republicans’ Slumping Surveys. President Donald Trump’s job approval rating dipped across the board, which should be disconcerting for Republicans on the ballot this fall. Fundamentally, midterm elections are most often a referendum on the president. And if voters are dissatisfied with the president’s performance, they can’t vote against him, so…

Senate Report Shorts (September 14, 2018)

September 14, 2018 · 3:28 PM EDT

Arizona. Open; Jeff Flake (R) not seeking re-election. GOP Gov. Doug Ducey appointed former Sen. Jon Kyl to late-Sen. John McCain’s vacant seat. The appointment could last until the end of the term in 2020, but Kyl left open the possibility of leaving the seat before then, after this Congress…

Congress Isn’t Perfect but the Politicians Aren’t Always to Blame

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 16, 2018 · 9:15 AM EDT

After 30 years of covering Congress, David Hawkings has a good idea of how Capitol Hill works — or more important, how it doesn’t — and he laid out five key reasons why Congress is broken.

But whether it’s money, maps, media, mingling or masochism, there are no easy…

Democratic Candidates Should Be Bolder on Gun Control, Poll Finds

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 9, 2018 · 8:33 AM EDT

Gun control has been a third rail of Democratic campaigns, but a new poll suggests that Democratic candidates should embrace a bolder approach to restrictions on guns, even in general elections.

Up to this point, Democrats have been decidedly defensive on guns. The most famous instances of Democratic candidates using…

Texas Senate: Cruz to Victory?

by Leah Askarinam August 3, 2018 · 11:30 AM EDT

Democratic Rep. Beto O’Rourke began the cycle being dismissed as a three-term congressman running an unconventional campaign in an unwinnable race in Texas. But he’s proven to be a fundraising juggernaut and has some Democrats wondering whether he’s rewriting the playbook for winning in red states.

O’Rourke has largely focused…

Tennessee Senate: Back To The Future

by Leah Askarinam August 3, 2018 · 11:28 AM EDT

Following Hillary Clinton’s defeat, Democrats are in the midst of an identity crisis. Some are looking forward to building a racially diverse, urban-centered coalition, as the country becomes less white and more urban. But where that’s not an option, Democrats are looking back to what they hope will be the…

Florida Senate: Keep Your Eye On The Money

by Leah Askarinam July 20, 2018 · 9:30 AM EDT

Democrats are defending Senate seats in 10 states that President Donald Trump carried in 2016. In two of those states, he won by more than 35 points. In three others, Trump won by about 20 points. Florida is one of four states that Trump carried by one percentage point or…

Brett Kavanaugh and the Midterm Effect

by Stuart Rothenberg July 16, 2018 · 9:20 AM EDT

The selection of Brett Kavanaugh for the Supreme Court will have less of an impact on November’s midterms than you think. Sure, depending how the confirmation process develops, it’s possible the nomination could affect a handful of races, but the most likely scenario will not change the overall trajectory of…

2018 Senate Overview: SCOTUS Shake-up

by Nathan L. Gonzales July 6, 2018 · 2:30 PM EDT

Justice Anthony Kennedy’s retirement and successor have the potential to alter the balance of the Supreme Court for years, but it’s less clear whether his decision will fundamentally change the fight for the Senate majority in November.

At a minimum, the Supreme Court vacancy reinforces the importance of the Senate…