Senate News & Analysis

Podcast Episode 17: Texas House & Senate Primaries with Abby Livingston of Puck News

February 28, 2024 · 10:58 AM EST

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Abby Livingston of Puck News analyze the key upcoming House primaries in Texas, the Democratic primary for the right to challenge GOP Sen. Ted Cruz, and try to figure out which congressional district some recent TV shows and movies take place in.


Report Shorts (Feb. 23, 2024)

February 23, 2024 · 2:29 PM EST

California’s 22nd District. There’s a real possibility that Democrats are shut out of one of their best takeover targets in the country. Some Democratic strategists are concerned that GOP Rep. David Valadao and Republican Chris Mathys will finish in the top two ahead of 2022 Democratic nominee Rudy Salas and…

Podcast Episode 16: New York 3 Special, Maryland Senate with Scott Eidler of Newsday

February 15, 2024 · 12:35 AM EST

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Scott Eidler of Newsday discuss Democrat Tom Suozzi's special election victory in New York's 3rd District in the race to replace George Santos. Nathan and Jacob also analyze former Gov. Larry Hogan's entry into the Maryland Senate race and the recent retirements in the House…

Maryland Senate: Republicans’ Hero Hogan

by Jacob Rubashkin February 13, 2024 · 4:01 PM EST

Senate Republicans scored a major coup last week when former Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan announced he would run for the Old Line State’s open Senate seat this fall. Hogan’s last-minute entrance, which caught even the most plugged-in Maryland politicos off-guard, puts Maryland’s race on the battlefield, and it’s undoubtedly a…

2024 Senate Overview: GOP Needs Better, Not Perfect

February 9, 2024 · 2:30 PM EST

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

Even though they haven’t avoided primaries and are running into battle with untested candidates, Republicans are still well-positioned to win control of the Senate in 2024. 

Republicans have a long history of nominating candidates who lose winnable races, from Sharron Angle, Christine O’Donnell,…

2024 Senate Overview (Feb. 9, 2024): Arizona - Maine

February 9, 2024 · 2:29 PM EST

Arizona. Kyrsten Sinema (I) elected 2018 as a Democrat (50%). Filing deadline April 8. Primary Aug. 6. It won’t be official until the filing deadline, but it seems less and less likely that Sinema wages a re-election bid as an independent — The Arizona Republic detailed the challenge Sinema will…

2024 Senate Overview (Feb. 9, 2024): Maryland - Ohio

February 9, 2024 · 2:28 PM EST

Maryland. Open; Ben Cardin (D) not seeking re-election. Primary April 23. This race received a major shakeup with the news that former GOP Gov. Larry Hogan will run. Hogan is the only Republican who could conceivably make this race competitive, since he exited office in 2022 very popular. But he…

2024 Senate Overview (Feb. 9, 2024): Pennsylvania - Wyoming

February 9, 2024 · 2:27 PM EST

Pennsylvania. Bob Casey, Jr. (D) elected 2006 (59%), 2012 (54%), 2018 (56%). Filing deadline February 20. Primary April 23. Republicans effectively cleared the field for former Bridgewater hedge fund CEO David McCormick, who narrowly lost the 2022 GOP primary for the state’s other Senate seat. (Brandi Tomasetti, the secretary and…

Podcast Episode 15: California Senate and House Primaries with Melanie Mason of Politico

February 1, 2024 · 6:11 PM EST

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Melanie Mason of Politico discuss the upcoming California primaries including the race to replace Dianne Feinstein in the Senate and more than a dozen consequential and interesting House primaries. And Nathan contemplates buying a track suit fashioned after a G.I. Joe character.


California Senate: Only the Top Two Survive

by Jacob Rubashkin January 26, 2024 · 2:29 PM EST

One of the most hard-fought and expensive Senate races this cycle has absolutely nothing to do with who controls the majority in the upper chamber.

The race to succeed the late Sen. Dianne Feinstein in California features three sitting members of Congress, a former MLB all-star, a half-dozen media markets…