Senate News & Analysis

Arizona Senate: Flake Re-Election Race Heats Up

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Nathan L. Gonzales August 18, 2017 · 12:30 PM EDT


After Donald Trump won Arizona’s 11 electoral votes in 2016, despite his historic unfavorable ratings, it looked like The Grand Canyon State was firmly in the Republican column. But GOP Sen. Jeff Flake is feeling political pressure from both Democrats and Trump supporters and may find himself squeezed…

Merkley’s Mild Town Hall in a Red County

Nathan L. Gonzales August 17, 2017 · 1:52 PM EDT

DALLAS, Ore. — With a divided country and two divided parties, town halls are supposed to be ground zero for angst, anger, and animosity, but not in Oregon’s Willamette Valley. Donald Trump carried Polk County in the last presidential election but Democratic Sen. Jeff Merkley found a largely sympathetic audience…

Alabama Senate: Potential for Moore Makes Seat Less Safe

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August 16, 2017 · 12:15 AM EDT

The Alabama Senate special election certainly isn’t a toss-up, but the potential that former state supreme court justice Roy Moore becomes the GOP nominee creates the possibility for a Democratic upset.

President Donald Trump’s polarizing persona is creating significant risk for congressional Republicans in next year’s midterm elections. But his…

Kid Rock for Senate and the Myth of Donald Trump’s Success

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Nathan L. Gonzales August 4, 2017 · 2:29 PM EDT

Just because Donald Trump was elected president doesn’t mean that Congress is about to be flooded with celebrities.

According to conventional wisdom, Trump’s victory was a precursor for other celebrities to join the political fray, including Robert Ritchie, a.k.a. Kid Rock, the 46-year-old rap rock star who is still considering…

When Congressional Spouses (Allegedly) Misbehave

Nathan L. Gonzales July 24, 2017 · 8:59 AM EDT

With congressional job approval hovering around 17 percent, members of Congress are carrying their own baggage into their re-election races, even without the weight of a spouse in legal trouble.

Jane Sanders isn’t a stranger to the spotlight, as her husband, Vermont independent Sen. Bernie Sanders, ascended the political…

Why ‘Single-Payer’ May Not Be Republicans’ Saving Grace in 2018

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Nathan L. Gonzales July 21, 2017 · 2:29 PM EDT

Since Republicans’ repeal and replacement of the Affordable Care Act isn’t going quite as planned, party strategists have a plan to make their unpopular alternative look more appealing in comparison. 

Republicans are focused on getting Democratic congressional candidates on-the-record about their support for a “single-payer” healthcare system. But the term…

A Bipartisan Health Care Bill Will Be Tougher to Pass than a Partisan One

Stuart Rothenberg July 19, 2017 · 7:18 PM EDT

The calls from Democrats and many in the media for a bipartisan health care bill are understandable. But a bipartisan plan is a very heavy lift for Congress – probably even heavier than a partisan one.

Almost everyone likes the sound of a “bipartisan approach.” It comes with connotations of…

2018 Senate Overview: The Map vs. Reality

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Nathan L. Gonzales July 7, 2017 · 3:00 PM EDT

Democrats are just three seats away from a Senate majority, yet the fight for the House (where Democrats need to gain 24 seats) is the emerging storyline of the 2018 midterm elections. That’s because it’s all about the map.

The first step for Democrats in their best-case scenario is to…

2018 Senate Overview (July 7, 2017) Alabama - Maine

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July 7, 2017 · 2:59 PM EDT

ALABAMA - Luther Strange (R) appointed 2017. Special Election. GOP Gov. Robert Bentley appointed state Attorney General Luther Strange to the seat after Republican Sen. Jeff Sessions was confirmed as President Donald Trump’s attorney general. The appointment was controversial considering Strange’s office was investigating the governor for alleged improper use…

2018 Senate Overview (July 7, 2017) Maryland - Ohio

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July 7, 2017 · 2:58 PM EDT

MARYLAND - Ben Cardin (D) elected 2006 (54%), 2012 (56%). Unless GOP Gov. Larry Hogan decides to challenge Cardin instead of seeking re-election (which he’s not going to do), Republicans aren’t going to win this seat. In 2016, Clinton defeated Trump 60-34 percent and Democrat Chris Van Hollen defeated Republican…