Senate News & Analysis

Report Shorts (December 19, 2024)

December 19, 2024 · 2:29 PM EST

Florida’s 7th District. The House Ethics Committee is investigating GOP Rep. Cory Mills, but it’s not clear what he potentially did wrong. Mills just won re-election by 14 points in the Central Florida seat, and Donald Trump finished ahead of Kamala Harris by 12.5 points, according to elections analyst Matt…

Podcast Episode 37: 2024 Election Hits & Misses, Nebraska 2, Online Scams

December 13, 2024 · 1:50 PM EST

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin talk about what they got right (and wrong) in the 2024 elections, do a deep dive into one of the most competitive House races in the country and how Rep. Don Bacon was able to survive, and look ahead to the 2026 fight for the…

Podcast Episode 36: 2024 Election Results & Analysis w/ Amy Walter of The Cook Political Report

November 19, 2024 · 5:05 PM EST

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin, and Amy Walter of The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter discuss the 2024 election results including the fights for the White House, Senate, and House. In addition, Jacob finally gets around to watching L.A. Confidential, Amy talks about the hottest ticket in Washington, D.C. and…

2024 Senate Results Recap

November 15, 2024 · 2:28 PM EST

Arizona. Open; Kyrsten Sinema (I) did not seek re-election. Rep. Ruben Gallego, a Democrat from Phoenix, defeated former news anchor and 2022 GOP gubernatorial nominee Kari Lake by 2 points, 50-48 percent, even as Trump carried the state at the top of the ticket.

California. Open; Laphonza…

What Happened and What’s Next after the 2024 Elections?

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 7, 2024 · 2:30 PM EST

The 2024 elections were going to humble one party, and voters called Democrats to the carpet. It will take days to get final results and probably weeks before there’s a full understanding of what happened, but there are more than a few points that can be made in the wake…

Outlier or Early Warning? Late Iowa Poll Confounds

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 3, 2024 · 4:39 PM EST

It’s never wise to jump to conclusions based on any single poll. But it would be foolish to ignore results from a quality pollster. 

Ann Selzer shocked the political world on Saturday evening with a poll showing Vice President Kamala Harris ahead of former President Donald Trump by 3 points…

Podcast Episode 35: Pre-Election Projections w/ Kirk Bado of National Journal

November 1, 2024 · 7:51 PM EDT

Nathan, Jacob and Kirk Bado of National Journal’s Hotline break down the fights for the Senate, House, and White House in the final pre-election episode of the 2024 elections.

Listen to the podcast on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or Pocket Casts here.

The Inside Elections podcast analyzes congressional, presidential…

Senate Report Shorts (October 31, 2024)

October 31, 2024 · 2:29 PM EDT

Arizona. Open; Kyrsten Sinema (I) not seeking re-election. Democratic Phoenix Rep. Ruben Gallego is in the driver’s seat despite Arizona looking shaky for Harris at the top of the ticket. Gallego’s early spending over the summer on TV ads that introduced the Latino Harvard-educated Marine on his own terms have…

Podcast Episode 34: Race Ratings, Presidential Debates, Civility in America w/ Judy Woodruff

October 25, 2024 · 9:41 PM EDT

Nathan and Jacob reveal the latest batch of House and Senate race rating changes and talk with legendary political journalist Judy Woodruff of the PBS Newshour about the 2024 election, prepping for Election Night, moderating debates and the lack of civility in America. 

Listen to the podcast on…

Senate Report Shorts (October 18, 2024)

October 18, 2024 · 2:29 PM EDT

Arizona. Open; Kyrsten Sinema (I) not seeking re-election. Rep. Ruben Gallego has led in every public poll of this race since August, and Kari Lake isn’t meeting her marks in any of the state’s competitive congressional districts either. Lake’s allies engaged in months of innuendo about Gallego’s divorce but recently…