Senate News & Analysis

While You Were Underground: A Political Update for Cicadas

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 17, 2021 · 9:26 AM EDT

After living underground for 17 years, cicadas must find the political world a confusing place. So if you see any perplexed cicadas flying around the Washington area, wondering how things changed since the spring of 2004, just send them a link to this quick update. 

Considering Republicans were in control…

Decline in Ticket-splitting Reaches Beyond Congress

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 15, 2021 · 12:14 PM EDT

While many voters like to think of themselves as independent-minded folks who consider the person before the party, the 2020 election results paint a different picture. Ticket-splitting is on life support.

The scarcity of mismatched seats at the federal level is well documented. Less than 4 percent of House members…

Florida Senate: Not Swing, But Still Battleground

June 4, 2021 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan L. Gonzales

After cycles of GOP success, Florida has shed its swing state status. But the Sunshine State is still competitive and should still be considered a battleground, particularly when the majority in the Senate hinges on a single seat.  

Six years ago, Marco Rubio…

Candidate Conversation: Gillian Battino (D)

June 4, 2021 · 2:27 PM EDT

Wisconsin Senate — Rating: Battleground

Interview Date: May 25, 2021 (Zoom)

Date of Birth: March 30, 1970; Athens, Ohio

Education: John Carroll Univ. (1992); The Ohio State College of Medicine (1996)

Elected Office: None; First run for office

Current Outlook: Battino starts as an underdog in an increasingly crowded Democratic…

Could Supreme Court Supercharge Midterms With Abortion Ruling?

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 3, 2021 · 8:58 AM EDT

If redistricting hadn’t complicated the midterm elections enough, a Supreme Court decision on one of the country’s most polarizing issues has the potential to supercharge the fight for the House and Senate.

Last month, the Supreme Court announced it would hear a challenge to a new Mississippi law —…

Ohio Senate: Grand Re-Opening

by Jacob Rubashkin May 21, 2021 · 2:29 PM EDT

GOP Sen. Rob Portman’s surprise decision not to seek a third term in Ohio in 2022 has set off a raucous primary among Republicans, and finally pushed a long-hesitant Democrat into his first statewide race.

The Buckeye State has drifted rightward over the past decade — Democrats have won just…

Report Shorts (May 7, 2021)

May 7, 2021 · 2:26 PM EDT

California Governor Recall
The race to recall Gov. Gavin Newsom is (nearly) official, after organizers turned in significantly more validated signatures than necessary to put the Democrat on the ballot this fall. While there are still some procedural hoops left to jump through, the recall — just the second…

Alaska Senate: Al Gross, 2020 Nominee, Considering Another Run

by Jacob Rubashkin April 12, 2021 · 12:21 PM EDT

Al Gross, the independent who ran for US Senate in Alaska in 2020 with backing from state and national Democrats and broke fundraising records but lost to incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan, is considering another run for the Senate in 2022.

Gross told Inside Elections that he is “certainly considering” running…

Few Opportunities as Parties Battle for Senate Control

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 12, 2021 · 9:20 AM EDT

It’s a good thing Republicans hoping to take control of the Senate next year don’t need to pick up more than one seat, because there’s a dearth of takeover options. Indeed, the Senate battleground at this point in the cycle has been smaller only once in the past 22 years.

2022 Senate Overview (April 1, 2021): No Margin for Error

April 1, 2021 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

The country and Capitol Hill are so divided that Republicans and Democrats can’t agree on what to have for lunch on any particular day. But there’s one thing providing consensus: control of the Senate is on the line in 2022. 

Considering the Senate…