Motivated by Donald Trump’s 2016 victory, Democratic activists throughout the country have targeted dozens of congressional Republicans for defeat, 32 of whom lost their jobs in the 2018 midterms. But heading into 2020, nobody has caught Democrats’ attention quite like Sen. Susan Collins of Maine.
When Collins announced that she…
President Donald Trump still won’t publicly admit he was a significant factor in Republicans’ loss of the House in 2018. But a behind-the-scenes moment captured in a new book suggests he is more politically self-aware than he leads on.
We know that Trump doesn’t admit mistakes or commit sins. It’s…
When the so-called “Blue Wall” came tumbling down in 2016, it seemed like a new era of American politics had arrived. But the 2018 midterm results muddied the waters, leaving politicos with more questions than answers about how Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan will perform in 2020.
All three states, which…
I understand Democrats’ frustration with Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, as well as their desire to send him into retirement in the 2020 elections. But once again Democrats have gotten ahead of themselves in their optimism that they can defeat the Kentucky Republican.
Six years ago, Democrats and many in…
Michigan is surprisingly relevant in 2020.
The Democratic presidential nominee almost certainly has to carry the state next year to have any chance of denying President Donald Trump a second term. And Republicans are eyeing the seat of first-term Democratic Sen. Gary Peters.
Democrats must net three Senate seats next…
by Nathan L. Gonzales and Leah Askarinam
With the growing correlation between presidential results and Senate results, the GOP majority should be fine if President Donald Trump replicates his 2016 Electoral College map, even if Republicans lose a seat or two. But if Trump slips, Senate Republicans could feel the…
Alabama. Doug Jones (D), elected 2017 special (50%). Nov. 8 filing deadline. March 3 primary. March 31 runoff. There might be only one way Jones is elected to a full term, but that scenario could come true. Republicans in Washington are working to make sure Roy Moore, who lost the…
Kentucky. Mitch McConnell (R), elected 1984 (50%), 1990 (52%), 1996 (55%), 2002 (65%), 2008 (53%) and 2014 (56%). Jan. 28 filing deadline. May 19 primary. Veteran Amy McGrath is likely to challenge the majority leader. She was one of Democrats’ highest-profile House challengers in 2018, but lost to GOP Rep.…
North Carolina. Thom Tillis (R), elected 2014 (49%). Dec. 20 filing. March 3 primary. Tillis defeated Democratic Sen. Kay Hagan in one of the closest races of the 2014 cycle and next year’s race could be headed for a similar margin. Republicans have a narrow 50-49 percent Baseline advantage. President…
Most people in politics are intensely focused on President Donald Trump’s polling numbers in battleground states or the latest horse race numbers in the fight for the Democratic presidential nomination. For those of us in the CMAG group at Kantar, it’s that time of the election cycle when everyone is…
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