Senate News & Analysis

Georgia Senate: Between the Parties

by Jacob Rubashkin December 3, 2021 · 2:30 PM EST

Republicans need a net gain of just one seat to take back control of the U.S. Senate and, on paper, Georgia appears the likeliest candidate to deliver the majority back to the GOP.

All of Republicans’ pickup opportunities are in states Joe Biden carried in 2020, but Georgia was the…

Report Shorts (December 3, 2021): Georgia, Massachusetts, Pennsylvania

by Jacob Rubashkin December 3, 2021 · 2:27 PM EST

Georgia Governor
Former state House minority leader/2018 Democratic gubernatorial nominee Stacey Abrams made her long-anticipated 2022 gubernatorial bid official on Dec. 1, putting her on the path for an epic rematch of the 2018 race that pitted her against now-Gov. Brian Kemp in a race decided by 1 point,…

2022 Senate: A Range of Outcomes After Virginia and New Jersey

by Bradley Wascher November 23, 2021 · 4:06 PM EST

Recent elections in Virginia and New Jersey provide additional clarity on the position of the national environment heading into the 2022 Senate elections, and although there are still a range of outcomes for how the midterms might play out, Republicans currently appear to have an advantage.

Virginia and New Jersey’s…

Report Shorts (November 19, 2021)

by Jacob Rubashkin November 19, 2021 · 2:26 PM EST

Florida’s 20th District
Self-funding healthcare executive Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick was certified as the winner of the Democratic primary to replace the late Rep. Alcee Hastings, meaning she’s the prohibitive favorite to win the special general election on Jan. 11. The result came after a recount that confirmed Cherfilus-McCormick won five…

New Hampshire Senate: Sununu Will Not Run

by Jacob Rubashkin November 9, 2021 · 10:47 AM EST

New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu’s decision not to run for the U.S. Senate is big news, but the Granite State is still a winnable race for Republicans looking to reclaim the majority next year. 

The Tuesday announcement from Sununu, a popular three-term governor, that he will seek re-election to a…

Arizona Senate: Desert Storm

by Jacob Rubashkin November 5, 2021 · 2:30 PM EDT

For the fourth time in four cycles, Arizona is gearing up for a competitive Senate race. 

It’s a fitting run for a state that has emerged as a top political battleground after decades of Republican domination, and it’s set to continue apace in 2024 when headline-grabbing Sen. Kyrsten Sinema faces…

Candidate Conversation: Val Arkoosh (D)

November 5, 2021 · 2:29 PM EDT

Pennsylvania Senate — Rating: Battleground

Interview Date: Oct. 18, 2021

Date of Birth: Sept. 22, 1960; Omaha, Neb.

Education: Northwestern Univ. (1982); Univ. of Nebraska College of Medicine (1986); Johns Hopkins School of Public Health (Masters, 2007)

Elected Office: Montgomery County Commissioner (since 2015; chairwoman since 2016); 13th District candidate…

New Hampshire Senate: The Main Event (Probably)

by Jacob Rubashkin October 22, 2021 · 2:29 PM EDT

New Hampshire may be small — just 1.3 million people across 9,349 square miles — but its Senate race next year could determine control of Congress and the fate of President Joe Biden’s agenda.

The Granite State hasn’t attracted the same level of coverage as glitzier contests in Georgia, Arizona,…

Missouri Senate: Schmitt Raised $646,301 in Third Quarter

by Jacob Rubashkin October 11, 2021 · 8:20 PM EDT

Missouri Attorney General Eric Schmitt, one of the leading contenders to replace retiring Republican Roy Blunt in the U.S. Senate next year, raised $646,301 in the third fundraising quarter of this year. The Glendale Republican entered October with $1,114,774 in his campaign account, according to numbers obtained by Inside Elections.

2022 Senate Overview (October 8, 2021): Firewall on Fire

October 8, 2021 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

With an evenly divided Senate, control of the chamber has been at risk since the beginning of the cycle. But even though the initial 2022 battleground is evenly divided as well, President Joe Biden’s slumping job rating is fueling GOP hopes of regaining…