Senate News & Analysis

2020 Senate Overview (January 10, 2020): North Carolina - Wyoming

January 10, 2020 · 2:26 PM EST

North Carolina. Thom Tillis (R), elected 2014 (49%). March 3 primary. Tillis received some good news when his wealthy primary opponent, Garland Tucker, dropped out of the race, and Rep Mark Walker, who was left without a winnable district, declined to run. But Tillis (who had $4.9 million in the…

Kansas Senate: Pompeo Decision Makes Seat More Vulnerable

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 8, 2020 · 3:30 PM EST

Secretary of State Mike Pompeo’s decision not to run for Senate in Kansas creates a legitimate scenario for Democrats to win a seat in a Republican state and increases the chances Democrats win control in November.

Pompeo has long been viewed as the Republicans’ easiest path to keeping retiring Sen.…

2020 Senate and House Outlook Looks a Lot Like It Did at the Start of 2019

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 7, 2020 · 4:46 PM EST

More than a year into the election cycle and with less than a year to go, how much has the political landscape changed? The answer: not a lot. And that’s not particularly good news for Republicans.

Thus far, we know that a year’s worth of news (including impeachment) has not…

Candidate Conversation - Theresa Greenfield (D)

December 19, 2019 · 2:27 PM EST

Iowa Senate — Rating: Lean Republican 

Interview Date: Nov. 5, 2019

Date of Birth: Oct. 20, 1963; Blue Earth, Minn.

Education: Minnesota State Univ. (1987); Iowa Lakes Community College (attended); College of Saint Benedict (attended); Iowa State Univ. (attended).

Elected Office: None; 2018 3rd District candidate

Current Outlook: Greenfield is…

Impeachment’s No ‘Game Changer’ and Other Pet Peeves

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 17, 2019 · 3:59 PM EST

After weeks of public hearings and the eve of a vote, I’m ready to take a stand on impeachment. Well, not quite. Actually, there are more than a few pieces of the impeachment coverage, arguments, and narrative that are driving me crazy. And writing a few hundred words seems like…

Kansas Senate: Rock Chalk Train Wreck?

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 6, 2019 · 2:29 PM EST

Democrats have won just one statewide race in Kansas over the last decade, but Kris Kobach’s potential nomination in 2020 is fueling Democratic hopes and could significantly improve the party’s prospects of regaining control of the Senate. 

Even though Donald Trump won Kansas easily in 2016, and Democrats haven’t won…

Iowa Senate: The Importance of Being Ernst

by Leah Askarinam November 8, 2019 · 2:30 PM EST

Democratic presidential hopefuls, who have been eating and dancing their way across Iowa in order to win the first-in-the-nation stamp of approval, will leave the fried Twinkies and corn dogs behind after the February caucuses. But the state will be far from void of political activity.

All four House seats…

Colorado Senate: Rocky Terrain for Republicans

by Leah Askarinam October 25, 2019 · 2:30 PM EDT

With impeachment hearings against President Donald Trump around the corner, a handful of senators have landed in the national spotlight.

In a heated exchange, Republican Sen. Cory Gardner pointed out that dynamic to reporters at the Colorado Chamber of Commerce last week. “Why is it when you all do stories…

2020 Senate Overview (Oct. 11, 2019): The Senate Is In Play

October 11, 2019 · 2:30 PM EDT

With President Donald Trump struggling to recreate his 2016 Electoral College victory, control of the Senate should be regarded as in play. Republicans are still more likely than not to maintain control of the Senate, but Democrats have a legitimate path to control, particularly if they win the White House. 

2020 Senate Overview (Oct. 11, 2019): Alabama - Kansas

October 11, 2019 · 2:29 PM EDT

Alabama. Doug Jones (D), elected 2017 special (50%). Nov. 8 filing deadline. March 3 primary. March 31 runoff. Jones remains the most vulnerable senator in the country, but some Republicans admit he’s not in terrible shape at this stage of the race. Republicans are facing a crowded primary, where the…