Senate News & Analysis

New Hampshire Senate: Sununu Will Not Run

by Jacob Rubashkin November 9, 2021 · 10:47 AM EST

New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu’s decision not to run for the U.S. Senate is big news, but the Granite State is still a winnable race for Republicans looking to reclaim the majority next year. 

The Tuesday announcement from Sununu, a popular three-term governor, that he will seek re-election to a…

Arizona Senate: Desert Storm

by Jacob Rubashkin November 5, 2021 · 2:30 PM EDT

For the fourth time in four cycles, Arizona is gearing up for a competitive Senate race. 

It’s a fitting run for a state that has emerged as a top political battleground after decades of Republican domination, and it’s set to continue apace in 2024 when headline-grabbing Sen. Kyrsten Sinema faces…

Candidate Conversation: Val Arkoosh (D)

November 5, 2021 · 2:29 PM EDT

Pennsylvania Senate — Rating: Battleground

Interview Date: Oct. 18, 2021

Date of Birth: Sept. 22, 1960; Omaha, Neb.

Education: Northwestern Univ. (1982); Univ. of Nebraska College of Medicine (1986); Johns Hopkins School of Public Health (Masters, 2007)

Elected Office: Montgomery County Commissioner (since 2015; chairwoman since 2016); 13th District candidate…

New Hampshire Senate: The Main Event (Probably)

by Jacob Rubashkin October 22, 2021 · 2:29 PM EDT

New Hampshire may be small — just 1.3 million people across 9,349 square miles — but its Senate race next year could determine control of Congress and the fate of President Joe Biden’s agenda.

The Granite State hasn’t attracted the same level of coverage as glitzier contests in Georgia, Arizona,…

Missouri Senate: Schmitt Raised $646,301 in Third Quarter

by Jacob Rubashkin October 11, 2021 · 8:20 PM EDT

Missouri Attorney General Eric Schmitt, one of the leading contenders to replace retiring Republican Roy Blunt in the U.S. Senate next year, raised $646,301 in the third fundraising quarter of this year. The Glendale Republican entered October with $1,114,774 in his campaign account, according to numbers obtained by Inside Elections.

2022 Senate Overview (October 8, 2021): Firewall on Fire

October 8, 2021 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

With an evenly divided Senate, control of the chamber has been at risk since the beginning of the cycle. But even though the initial 2022 battleground is evenly divided as well, President Joe Biden’s slumping job rating is fueling GOP hopes of regaining…

2022 Senate Overview (October 8, 2021): Hawaii - North Carolina

October 8, 2021 · 2:28 PM EDT

Hawaii. Brian Schatz (D) appointed 2012, elected 2014 (70%), 2016 (74%). June 7 filing deadline. Aug. 13 primary. Schatz has no announced challengers in the Democratic primary or the general election, was sitting on $3.6 million at the end of June, and gets to run in a state Biden won…

2022 Senate Overview (October 8, 2021): North Dakota - Wisconsin

October 8, 2021 · 2:27 PM EDT

North Dakota. John Hoeven (R) elected 2010 (76%), 2016 (78%). April 11 filing deadline. June 14 primary. In 2016, Hoeven won the largest Senate victory in state history with a 61-point thumping of Democratic-NPL nominee Eliot Glassheim. His only vulnerability would be in a primary, and he seems to be…

Missouri Senate: Show Me the Nominee

by Jacob Rubashkin September 23, 2021 · 2:30 PM EDT

Republicans need to gain just a single seat to regain the Senate majority, but they have limited takeover opportunities and can’t afford to lose any of their own seats because of self-inflicted problems. Missouri has the potential to become a flashpoint for the GOP next year, with major implications for…

The One Thing Biden Can’t Afford to Lose

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 17, 2021 · 11:48 AM EDT

The next presidential election is more than three years away, and even the midterms won’t happen for another 14 months. Yet President Joe Biden could be on the brink of losing something costly: the benefit of the doubt. 

While I’m on the record as skeptical that Afghanistan will be…