Senate News & Analysis

North Carolina Senate: Tar Heel Hullabaloo

by Jacob Rubashkin August 6, 2021 · 2:30 PM EDT

Republican Sen. Richard Burr’s decision to retire rather than seek a fourth term gives Democrats a much-needed opportunity to offset potential losses elsewhere, during a midterm cycle in which literally every Senate seat is a majority-maker.

Though Democrats have not won a Senate race in North Carolina in 13 years,…

Is John Boozman Too Nice for the Republican Party?

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 6, 2021 · 9:00 AM EDT

John Boozman’s greatest sin is that he’s too nice. 

As a member of a Republican Party that rewards the provocative and sensational, the two-term senator from Arkansas has drawn three primary challengers, in part because he’s not a staple of the Fox News prime-time lineup. The fact that Boozman is…

Senate Candidates Smashing the Fundraising Curve

by Jacob Rubashkin July 29, 2021 · 2:00 PM EDT

When fundraising reports trickle out quarter by quarter, it’s easy to lose sight of the big picture: candidate fundraising over the last couple cycles has soared.

In 2014, Democrat Alison Lundergan Grimes and Republican Mitch McConnell raised a combined $49.8 million in their battle for one of Kentucky’s Senate seats.…

Alabama Senate: Brooks Battles Back

by Jacob Rubashkin July 16, 2021 · 2:30 PM EDT

There are a couple of states where long-shot Democratic takeover opportunities could turn into full-blown Senate headaches for the GOP. But Alabama isn’t one of them.

Sen. Richard Shelby has represented Alabama in Washington, DC for 42 years, first in the House and since 1987 in the Senate, and as…

When We’ll Know How Much Trump’s Support is Worth

by Nathan L. Gonzales July 16, 2021 · 9:05 AM EDT

Early 2022 Senate primaries will be a good test of whether Donald Trump’s strength within the Republican Party endures into the midterm elections.

Up to this point, the former president’s grip on the GOP via his popularity with base voters shows little sign of waning. Eighty-four percent of Republicans had…

2022 Senate Overview (July 1, 2021): Defining the Battlefield

July 1, 2021 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

More than a year before the midterms, the narrow Senate battlefield continues to solidify as the candidate fields in key states become more clear. Yet there’s still one key ingredient missing in the fight for the majority: the national political environment.

There’s a…

2022 Senate Overview (July 1, 2021): Alabama - Georgia

July 1, 2021 · 2:29 PM EDT

Alabama. Open; Richard Shelby, R, not seeking re-election. Jan. 28 filing deadline. May 24 primary. Rep. Mo Brooks, the conservative firebrand and Jan. 6 Stop The Steal rally speaker, secured an early endorsement from former President Trump in the race to succeed the retiring Shelby. He also has endorsements from…

2022 Senate Overview (July 1, 2021): Hawaii - North Carolina

July 1, 2021 · 2:28 PM EDT

Hawaii. Brian Schatz (D) appointed 2012, elected 2014 (70%), 2016 (74%). June 7 filing deadline. Aug. 13 primary. Hawaii was one of just seven states where Trump actually improved on his 2016 performance in the 2020 election, but that doesn’t mean Republicans are going to be seriously competing in the…

2022 Senate Overview (July 1, 2021): North Dakota - Wisconsin

July 1, 2021 · 2:27 PM EDT

North Dakota. John Hoeven (R) elected 2010 (76%), 2016 (78%). April 11 filing deadline. June 14 primary. Hoeven had $2.1 million in the bank on March 31, Trump won the state by 34 points in November, and the senator appears to still be on the good side of the former…

These Four States Could Decide Control of Congress in 2022

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 28, 2021 · 4:46 PM EDT

Sixteen months before Election Day, new House district lines haven’t even been drawn, and yet the fight for Congress is likely to hinge on the outcomes in four critical states.

On a basic level, every state matters in the Senate, considering Republicans need to gain just a single seat to…