Northeast Pennsylvania’s Matt Cartwright is the only Democrat in Congress to win two elections while Donald Trump carried his district at the top of the ticket.
A new Noble Predictive Insights poll conducted for Inside Elections shows Cartwright, who represents Pennsylvania’s 8th District, is well-positioned to continue that streak in…
Nathan and Jacob reveal the latest batch of House and Senate race rating changes and talk with legendary political journalist Judy Woodruff of the PBS Newshour about the 2024 election, prepping for Election Night, moderating debates and the lack of civility in America.
Alaska.
At-Large District. Mary Peltola, D, re-elected 55%. Trump 53%. Both parties agreed a few weeks ago that this race had gotten very tight, but the consensus ended there. Republicans now believe they have the advantage while Democrats say they have righted the ship. Between the state’s ranked-choice voting…
Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin unveil the latest Inside Elections/Noble Predictive Insights poll in a sleeper race in Arizona’s 2nd District and discuss race rating changes in the Nevada and Arizona Senate races before breaking down the fight for the House majority with Erin Covey of The Cook Political Report…
Arizona voters already faced a gauntlet of competitive races this fall, from a toss-up presidential contest to a high-profile Senate race and two of the most expensive House races in the country.
But another election may be asserting itself in the closing weeks of the cycle, according to new polling…
Alabama.
2nd District (Mobile, Montgomery, and eastern Black Belt) Open; Barry Moore, R, running in 1st District. Biden 56%. National Democratic strategists are keeping an eye on this redrawn seat, and it was no accident that nominee Shomari Figures was given a coveted DNC speaking slot in August, but…
Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin unveil the latest Inside Elections/Noble Predictive Insights poll in North Carolina’s 1st District and analyze the vice presidential debate between Sen. J.D. Vance and Gov. Tim Walz before discussing election polls, models, and election forecasting with Nathaniel Rakich of FiveThirtyEight.
Alaska.
At-Large District. Mary Peltola, D, re-elected 55%. Trump 53%. Republican Nick Begich struggled to fundraise for much of the primary, and now outside groups are coming in to bolster him with positive advertising ahead of the general election. The NRCC is also airing negative ads against Peltola, while…
Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin unveil the latest Inside Elections/Noble Predictive Insights poll in Montana’s 1st District, talk about the latest rating changes, and analyze a critical House race in Connecticut with Daniela Altimari of CQ Roll Call.
Listen to the podcast on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or Pocket…
Alaska.
At-Large District. Mary Peltola, D, re-elected 55%. Trump 53%. Republicans got the one-on-one matchup against Peltola (rather than a messy three-way fight) but not with the candidate preferred by national strategists or Trump. There’s still uncertainty about what two minor candidates will fill out the ballot. Two Republicans…
