House News & Analysis

Virginia 4 Special: McClellan Poised for History

by Jacob Rubashkin December 22, 2022 · 11:00 AM EST

The first House race of the 2024 cycle is well underway — and for all intents and purposes may already be over.

On Tuesday, Democrats in Virginia’s 4th District chose state Sen. Jennifer McClellan as their nominee in the Feb. 21 special election to replace the late Rep. Donald McEachin.…

New York 4: Recipe for a GOP Upset

by Jacob Rubashkin December 16, 2022 · 2:30 PM EST

Republicans entered the midterms with high hopes of taking back Congress. And while the GOP did win back the House of Representatives, they did so in underwhelming fashion, picking up just nine House seats after anticipating more significant gains.

But while the “Red Wave” fizzled out in most places, it…

Colorado 8: Democrats Win an Uphill Race

by Erin Covey December 16, 2022 · 2:29 PM EST

The battle for control of Colorado’s 8th District had ramifications far beyond 2022 — it established the political identity of a brand new congressional seat.

In a midterm cycle where Republicans should have had an edge, Democrats narrowly won this battleground district centered in the growing Denver suburbs. All signs…

The 6,670-Vote Majority: How Republicans Barely Won the House

by Jacob Rubashkin December 13, 2022 · 12:35 PM EST

Heading into the 2022 midterms, Republicans were confident that a Red Wave would sweep them back into power in Congress.

Ultimately, not only did a Red Wave fail to materialize, but Republicans barely cleared the lowest of bars they had set for themselves at the beginning of the cycle: winning…

Virginia 4 Special: Running in the River City

by Erin Covey December 12, 2022 · 2:00 PM EST

Only the third Black member of Congress to be elected from Virginia, the late Rep. Donald McEachin left a long legacy of public service after representing the Richmond area in Congress and the Virginia state Legislature since the mid-1990s. In the weeks following the congressman’s death, several names emerged as…

House Results: A Good Cycle for Incumbents

by Erin Covey December 2, 2022 · 2:30 PM EST

Democratic Members of Congress were bracing themselves for disaster. Running in a year marked by economic uncertainty — and widespread frustration with the direction that the country was heading in — incumbents in the party that controlled the federal government expected significant losses.

But catastrophic losses failed to materialize. House…

Baseline Update: Which States Shifted the Most After 2022

by Bradley Wascher December 2, 2022 · 2:29 PM EST

With the 2022 midterm elections (almost) in the books, we can begin putting the results into the broader context of past results to see how much states and districts shifted. One of the best ways to identify shifts in partisanship is through our Baseline metric. 

Baseline captures a state or…

2022 Election Results Summary (Nov. 28 2022)

November 28, 2022 · 11:30 AM EST

Updated as of Nov. 28, 2022 at 11:30am ET

By Erin Covey, Jacob Rubashkin, and Nathan Gonzales

Elections are humbling, and this time it’s Republicans’ turn for some soul searching.

Republicans were handed a tremendous opportunity in 2022. Midterm elections are typically a referendum on the party in power, and the…

2022 Election Results: What Happened in the House?

by Erin Covey November 18, 2022 · 2:28 PM EST

Republicans won the House majority, but by a narrower margin than expected. With votes still being counted in a few close races, Republicans are poised to gain between six and nine seats. They needed a net gain of five for the majority. 

Democrats were victorious in the most competitive races.

2022 Election Results Summary (Nov. 16, 2022)

November 16, 2022 · 10:37 AM EST

Updated as of Nov. 16, 2022 at 10am ET

By Jacob Rubashkin, Erin Covey and Nathan Gonzales

Elections are humbling, and this time it’s Republicans’ turn for some soul searching.

Republicans were handed a tremendous opportunity in 2022. Midterm elections are typically a referendum on the party in power, and…