House News & Analysis

North Carolina 9: Parties and Candidates Spending Big in Redo Election

by Steve Passwaiter September 3, 2019 · 11:30 AM EDT

There’s one week to go before the redo election in North Carolina’s 9th District on Sept. 10., and all indications show that Republicans and Democrats know that this is a close race. Polling remains very tight and within the margin of error.  

These off-year special elections always receive oversized coverage…

North Carolina 9: McCready Has Narrow Lead in New Bipartisan Poll

August 30, 2019 · 2:31 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales and Leah Askarinam

Democrat Dan McCready has a narrow advantage over Republican Dan Bishop heading into the final days of the Sept. 10 redo election in North Carolina’s 9th District, according to a new bipartisan poll for Inside Elections. 

The survey, conducted Aug. 26-28 by…

2020 House Overview (Aug. 30, 2019): Republicans Facing a Rough Road in the House

August 30, 2019 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales and Leah Askarinam

With Democrats marching to the left in the presidential primary, and new, progressive faces in Congress rising to prominence, some Republicans are confident in their relative standing. But they’ve got a difficult path to the House majority in 2020.

Republicans may dismiss a…

2020 House Overview (Aug. 30, 2019): Alabama - Iowa

August 30, 2019 · 2:29 PM EDT

Alabama. 

1st District (Greater Mobile) Open; Bradley Byrne, R, running for Senate. Trump 64%. A crowded Republican primary, including Mobile County Commissioner Jerry Carl, former state Sen. Bill Hightower, state Rep. Chris Pringle, businessman Wes Lambert, and potentially others, is inevitable for this open seat. Solid R.

2nd District (Southeastern…

2020 House Overview (Aug. 30, 2019): Kansas - New York

August 30, 2019 · 2:28 PM EDT

Kansas. 

1st District (Western Kansas) Roger Marshall, R, re-elected 68%. Trump 69%. The congressman is angling for Republican Pat Roberts’ open Senate seat, and could create an open House seat. The most important race would be the primary. Businessman and farmer Gary Harshberger of Dodge City is a potentially strong…

2020 House Overview (Aug. 30 2019): North Carolina - Wyoming

August 30, 2019 · 2:27 PM EDT

North Carolina. 

2nd District (Raleigh exurbs) George Holding, R, re-elected 51%. Trump 53%. Some Democrats are hoping Iraq/Afghanistan war veteran Scott Cooper ($178,000 on hand on June 30) puts them over the top in the Raleigh suburbs. But Monika Johnson-Hostler just entered the Democratic race as well. Holding ($408,000) better…

Wisconsin 7: Duffy’s Seat Remains Solid Republican for Now

by Leah Askarinam August 26, 2019 · 12:11 PM EDT

GOP Rep. Sean Duffy of Wisconsin will resign in September, he announced Monday. His decision will likely prompt a special election, but Republicans are the early favorites to hold the seat.

“Recently, we’ve learned that our baby, due in late October, will need even more love, time, and attention due…

North Carolina 9: Back to the Future

by Leah Askarinam August 16, 2019 · 2:29 PM EDT

It might be August of the off-year, and presidential candidates are getting virtually all of the attention, but that doesn’t mean it’s time to ignore House elections.

North Carolina’s 9th District is holding a unique “redo” election Sept. 10, after the state Board of Elections found irregularities in Republican Mark…

House Open Seat Overview

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 16, 2019 · 2:28 PM EDT

After a flurry of House retirement announcements over the last few weeks, it’s tough to keep them all straight. So here’s a brief rundown of the current slate of open seats including our current race rating. 

Don’t forget, we’re still well below the average number of retirements for a cycle.…

Rating Update: Marchant Seat Already Considered Competitive

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 5, 2019 · 12:04 PM EDT

Another day, another Republican retirement. 

It might seem like there’s a flood of Members announcing they will not seek re-election, but we’re still not close to historical levels. And the location of the open seats matters more than the timing.

It's remarkable that Rep. Kenny Marchant is the fourth Texas…