House News & Analysis

Maryland Primary Results: Gov Race Shifts Further Toward Democrats

by Jacob Rubashkin July 22, 2022 · 2:59 PM EDT

Maryland Governor
In the Democratic primary for governor, author and former nonprofit CEO Wes Moore currently leads a crowded field with 35 percent of the vote. Former Secretary of Labor/former DNC chairman Tom Perez (28 percent) and state comptroller Peter Franchot (21 percent) are currently second and third. There’s…

New York Special Elections: 19th and 23rd Districts

by Jacob Rubashkin July 21, 2022 · 12:08 PM EDT

The midterms are less than four months away. But before then, voters in four districts will have to go to the polls to fill vacancies caused by death and resignation. And the results in Alaska, Minnesota, and New York, could provide some data on how the political environment has shifted…

Virginia 7: Roe, Roe, Roe to Re-election?

by Jacob Rubashkin July 15, 2022 · 2:30 PM EDT

The Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade just three weeks ago, but the decision is already reverberating through congressional races across the country. 

Democrats, facing serious headwinds nationally due to economic concerns and President Joe Biden’s anemic approval ratings, are banking on newfound focus on abortion rights to generate enthusiasm…

Republicans Have the Edge in Early House Projection

July 15, 2022 · 2:29 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

With less than four months before Election Day, the country is on track for a typical midterm election in which voters punish the president’s party, particularly when it comes to House races.  

Over the last century, the president’s party has lost an average…

House & Governor Report Shorts (July 1, 2022)

July 1, 2022 · 2:26 PM EDT

22nd District.
Now that all but the last couple hundred ballots have finally been counted, GOP Rep. David Valadao can breathe a brief sigh of relief. The incumbent will outpace fellow Republican and former Fresno City councilor Chris Mathys by just 1,226 votes, after Democrats started spending to…

Iowa 3: Axne on the Front Lines

by Jacob Rubashkin June 17, 2022 · 2:30 PM EDT

What a difference a few years makes.

In 2018, Democrats barnstormed Iowa, flipping two congressional districts, holding another, and nearly winning the deeply Republican 4th District and the governor’s mansion for the first time in over a decade.

But in 2020, Republicans stormed right back, flipping two districts, replacing their…

Report Shorts (June 17, 2022)

June 17, 2022 · 2:29 PM EDT

Senate. Rep. Mo Brooks was left for politically dead after former President Donald Trump rescinded his endorsement. But he still managed to revive his campaign enough for a second-place finish, with 29 percent to Katie Boyd Britt’s 45 percent. Veteran Mike Durant’s once-high-flying effort finished third with 23…

Rating change: Texas’ 34th District moves onto fall battlefield

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 15, 2022 · 4:19 PM EDT

While it’s wise not to overreact to special election outcomes, don’t dismiss Republican Mayra Flores’ special election victory in Texas' 34th District. 

There are some reasons to qualify Tuesday’s outcome, including the fact that Republicans outspent Democrats by a sizable margin, and the seat is going to be different (and…

Pennsylvania 7: Same Faces, Different Races

by Jacob Rubashkin June 3, 2022 · 2:30 PM EDT

One of 2022’s most competitive House races will feature some familiar faces.

In the heart of the Lehigh Valley, Rep. Susan Wild will once again face CEO and philanthropist Lisa Scheller for the right to represent Pennsylvania’s 7th District, two years after Wild narrowly defeated Scheller.

The race is in…

Missouri Redistricting: Elusive Competitiveness

by Bradley Wascher June 3, 2022 · 2:29 PM EDT

One of the last states to finalize its new congressional map, Missouri, ended up with a plan that will probably keep the partisan breakdown of its delegation intact. But a pair of open-seat races still guarantees some turnover in the next Congress.

Republican Gov. Mike Parson signed off