West Virginia Senate: Manchin’s Exit Pushes Seat to Solid GOP

by Jacob Rubashkin November 9, 2023 · 3:46 PM EST

Sen. Joe Manchin’s decision to forgo a tough re-election campaign next year removes any real chance of Democrats holding a Senate seat in West Virginia, and deals a blow to his party’s odds of maintaining their narrow majority in the upper chamber.

We’re changing our rating of the West Virginia…

Democrats Win Key Elections in 2023

by Jacob Rubashkin November 8, 2023 · 1:35 PM EST

Democrats put up big wins across the country Tuesday night, proving that abortion access is still a salient message a year and a half after the Dobbs decision, and demonstrating that while voters may be dissatisfied with the direction of the country and its Democratic leader, they’re still hesitant…

Podcast Episode 9: 2023 Elections, North Carolina Redistricting, GOP Presidential Primary

November 2, 2023 · 1:00 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Erin Covey and Jacob Rubashkin look ahead to the key 2023 races, talk about the impact of the new maps in North Carolina and Alabama after redistricting, and discuss the GOP presidential primary without Mike Pence in the race.

Listen to the podcast on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or…

2024 Senate Overview: Democrats Hoping for Rerun

October 27, 2023 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales, Erin Covey & Jacob Rubashkin

When it comes to the fight for the Senate majority in 2024, Democrats are hoping they’ve seen this movie before. 

In 2022, Democrats expanded the majority against long odds. With strong incumbents, flawed Republican candidates and the Dobbs…

2024 Senate Overview (October 27, 2023): Arizona - Maine

October 27, 2023 · 2:29 PM EDT

Arizona. Kyrsten Sinema (I) elected 2018 as a Democrat (50%). Filing deadline April 8. Primary Aug. 6. The contours of this race are finally beginning to take shape, though Sinema has yet to announce her 2024 plans. 2022 gubernatorial nominee Kari Lake announced her Senate campaign in August, and…

2024 Senate Overview (October 27, 2023): Maryland - Ohio

October 27, 2023 · 2:28 PM EDT

Maryland. Open; Ben Cardin (D) not seeking re-election. Filing deadline Jan. 19. Primary April 23.  The Democratic primary — the most important contest in this deep-blue state — is down to two major contenders after Montgomery County Councilman Will Jawando dropped his bid. Prince George’s County…

2024 Senate Overview (October 27, 2023): Pennsylvania - Wyoming

by Jacob Rubashkin October 27, 2023 · 2:27 PM EDT

Pennsylvania. Bob Casey, Jr. (D) elected 2006 (59%), 2012 (54%), 2018 (56%). Filing deadline February. Primary April 23. Former hedge fund CEO and Bush administration official David McCormick has launched his long-awaited Senate campaign and quickly locked up Republican support, picking up…

North Carolina House: Republicans Draw Takeover Opportunities

by Erin Covey October 27, 2023 · 2:26 PM EDT

North Carolina’s Republican-controlled state legislature passed a new congressional map on Wednesday that, as expected, will allow the GOP to easily flip three Democratic-held districts.

Currently, the purple state’s 14-member congressional delegation is evenly split between Republicans and…

Report Shorts (October 27, 2023)

October 27, 2023 · 2:25 PM EDT

Georgia Redistricting. A federal judge ruled that Georgia’s congressional map violates the Voting Rights Act and ordered the state to produce a new map for 2024. Republican Gov. Brian Kemp has called a special session for redistricting that will convene after Thanksgiving. But unlike in Alabama,…