By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin
Ticket-splitting gets a lot of attention but it’s increasingly rare and could come to define the 2024 elections.
Looking at survey data in more than 50 competitive Senate and House races around the country, the trend is alignment of the presidential race…
Arizona. Open; Kyrsten Sinema (I) not seeking re-election. Whether it’s statewide surveys or snapshots in competitive House districts, it’s clear that Democratic Rep. Ruben Gallego has the edge over GOP former local news anchor/2022 gubernatorial nominee Kari Lake. It looked like Lake had a better…
Alaska.
At-Large District. Mary Peltola, D, re-elected 55%. Trump 53%. Republican Nick Begich struggled to fundraise for much of the primary, and now outside groups are coming in to bolster him with positive advertising ahead of the general election. The NRCC is also airing negative ads against…
Indiana. Open; Eric Holcomb (R) term-limited. Two recent Democratic polls, including one previously unreported, show a tight race between GOP Sen. Mike Braun and former state Superintendent of Education Jennifer McCormick (a former Republican). The race had previously seen some national attention…
The latest revelations about North Carolina Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson will only make it more difficult for Republicans to win back the Tar Heel State’s top office this fall.
CNN’s thorough story, which recounts the virulently racist, sexist and anti-semitic comments Robinson made on adult online…
One of 2022’s most surprising House races looks headed for a similarly hard-fought finish this year.
Montana’s Ryan Zinke — a onetime rising star with a military background, two statewide victories, and a stint as Interior Secretary — was nearly denied in his attempt to return to Congress from Big…
Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin unveil the latest Inside Elections/Noble Predictive Insights poll in Montana’s 1st District, talk about the latest rating changes, and analyze a critical House race in Connecticut with Daniela Altimari of CQ Roll Call.
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