Archive

If at First You Don’t Succeed, Try, Try and Run Somewhere Else

by Nathan L. Gonzales July 2, 2019 · 1:40 PM EDT

A handful of House candidates this cycle aren’t letting previous losses — or geography — get in the way of another congressional run. Dozens of members of Congress lost races before eventually winning, but some politicians are aiming their aspirations at different districts, and in some cases…

2020 Senate Overview (June 28, 2019): Dual of the Fates

June 28, 2019 · 2:30 PM EDT

by Nathan L. Gonzales and Leah Askarinam

With the growing correlation between presidential results and Senate results, the GOP majority should be fine if President Donald Trump replicates his 2016 Electoral College map, even if Republicans lose a seat or two. But if Trump slips, Senate Republicans…

2020 Senate Overview (June 28, 2019): Alabama - Kansas

June 28, 2019 · 2:29 PM EDT

Alabama. Doug Jones (D), elected 2017 special (50%). Nov. 8 filing deadline. March 3 primary. March 31 runoff. There might be only one way Jones is elected to a full term, but that scenario could come true. Republicans in Washington are working to make sure Roy Moore, who lost the special election…

2020 Senate (June 28, 2019): Kentucky - New Mexico

June 28, 2019 · 2:28 PM EDT

Kentucky. Mitch McConnell (R), elected 1984 (50%), 1990 (52%), 1996 (55%), 2002 (65%), 2008 (53%) and 2014 (56%). Jan. 28 filing deadline. May 19 primary. Veteran Amy McGrath is likely to challenge the majority leader. She was one of Democrats’ highest-profile House challengers in 2018, but lost to…

2020 Senate Overview (June 28, 2019): North Carolina - Wyoming

June 28, 2019 · 2:27 PM EDT

North Carolina. Thom Tillis (R), elected 2014 (49%). Dec. 20 filing. March 3 primary. Tillis defeated Democratic Sen. Kay Hagan in one of the closest races of the 2014 cycle and next year’s race could be headed for a similar margin. Republicans have a narrow 50-49 percent Baseline advantage.…

Candidate Conversation - Peggy Huang (R)

June 28, 2019 · 2:26 PM EDT

Peggy Huang (R)

California’s 45th District — Rating: Likely Democratic 

Interview Date: June 12, 2019 

Date of Birth: Oct. 6, 1970; Taipei, Taiwan

Education: Univ. of Calif. Berkeley (1993); Univ. of the Pacific (J.D. 1997)

Elected Office: Yorba Linda City Council (elected 2014)

Current…

SCOTUS Redistricting Decision and the Fight for the House

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 28, 2019 · 2:24 PM EDT

After much anticipation, the U.S. Supreme Court weighed in on partisan redistricting with a 5-4 ruling that it won’t weigh in on partisan redistricting now or in the future. And it’s likely that the current congressional maps will be the same for the 2020 elections. 

“The court holds that partisan…

Campaign Ad Spending 2020: What’s Your Number?

by Steve Passwaiter June 26, 2019 · 11:00 AM EDT

Most people in politics are intensely focused on President Donald Trump’s polling numbers in battleground states or the latest horse race numbers in the fight for the Democratic presidential nomination. For those of us in the CMAG group at Kantar, it’s that time of the election cycle when everyone…

Rothenberg: The 2020 Presidential Race is Still Tilting Democratic

by Stuart Rothenberg June 21, 2019 · 8:06 AM EDT

There has been plenty of attention recently on economic models that show President Donald Trump holding a huge advantage in the 2020 presidential contest. But it’s not that simple. 

Like alchemists hunting for the secret recipe that transmutes lead into gold, media personalities, political junkies…