2024 Senate Overview: GOP Needs Better, Not Perfect

February 9, 2024 · 2:30 PM EST

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

Even though they haven’t avoided primaries and are running into battle with untested candidates, Republicans are still well-positioned to win control of the Senate in 2024. 

Republicans have a long history of nominating candidates who lose winnable races,…

2024 Senate Overview (Feb. 9, 2024): Arizona - Maine

February 9, 2024 · 2:29 PM EST

Arizona. Kyrsten Sinema (I) elected 2018 as a Democrat (50%). Filing deadline April 8. Primary Aug. 6. It won’t be official until the filing deadline, but it seems less and less likely that Sinema wages a re-election bid as an independent — The Arizona Republic detailed the challenge Sinema will…

2024 Senate Overview (Feb. 9, 2024): Maryland - Ohio

February 9, 2024 · 2:28 PM EST

Maryland. Open; Ben Cardin (D) not seeking re-election. Primary April 23. This race received a major shakeup with the news that former GOP Gov. Larry Hogan will run. Hogan is the only Republican who could conceivably make this race competitive, since he exited office in 2022 very popular. But he…

2024 Senate Overview (Feb. 9, 2024): Pennsylvania - Wyoming

February 9, 2024 · 2:27 PM EST

Pennsylvania. Bob Casey, Jr. (D) elected 2006 (59%), 2012 (54%), 2018 (56%). Filing deadline February 20. Primary April 23. Republicans effectively cleared the field for former Bridgewater hedge fund CEO David McCormick, who narrowly lost the 2022 GOP primary for the state’s other Senate seat.…

House Report Shorts (Feb. 9, 2024)

February 9, 2024 · 2:26 PM EST

Alabama’s 2nd District. Eleven Democrats are running for this open seat, which redistricting made a prime pickup opportunity for the party. Just two candidates have aired TV ads so far, former DOJ official Shomari Figures, whose ad leans heavily on his pedigree as the son of two prominent state…

New York 3 Special: Immigration Dominates Campaign Messaging

by Jacob Rubashkin February 6, 2024 · 5:14 PM EST

GLEN COVE, N.Y.— Tom Suozzi may be a political institution here on the North Shore of Long Island. But the upcoming special election feels like a home game for Republicans when it comes to the messaging.

The contest to replace the expelled GOP Rep. George Santos, is between Suozzi, who was born to…

New York 3 Special: On Weekends, We Campaign

by Jacob Rubashkin February 2, 2024 · 9:31 AM EST

GLEN COVE, N.Y.— Two weeks before the most important special election of the cycle, a solitary Tom Suozzi for Congress staffer sat at a folding table at a campaign headquarters in New York’s 3rd District. Behind him loomed empty shelves bearing signs for GNC supplements and one-hour photo…

Podcast Episode 15: California Senate and House Primaries with Melanie Mason of Politico

February 1, 2024 · 6:11 PM EST

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Melanie Mason of Politico discuss the upcoming California primaries including the race to replace Dianne Feinstein in the Senate and more than a dozen consequential and interesting House primaries. And Nathan contemplates buying a track suit fashioned after a…