Ohio 15 Special: Clash Near Columbus

by Jacob Rubashkin June 18, 2021 · 2:29 PM EDT

When GOP Rep. Steve Stivers announced he would quit Congress just a few months into his sixth term to take a job as the head of the Ohio Chamber of Commerce, he reduced House Republicans’ ranks by one, and created a vacancy in his Columbus-area congressional seat that will be filled via a special…

Gubernatorial Updates (June 18, 2021)

June 18, 2021 · 2:28 PM EDT

ARIZONA. Open; Doug Ducey (R), term-limited. Secretary of State Katie Hobbs, the highest ranking elected Democrat in the state, is running to succeed Ducey in what will be one of 2022’s most competitive gubernatorial contests. Hobbs, who saw her national profile grow in the wake of the state GOP’s…

While You Were Underground: A Political Update for Cicadas

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 17, 2021 · 9:26 AM EDT

After living underground for 17 years, cicadas must find the political world a confusing place. So if you see any perplexed cicadas flying around the Washington area, wondering how things changed since the spring of 2004, just send them a link to this quick update. 

Considering Republicans were in…

Decline in Ticket-splitting Reaches Beyond Congress

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 15, 2021 · 12:14 PM EDT

While many voters like to think of themselves as independent-minded folks who consider the person before the party, the 2020 election results paint a different picture. Ticket-splitting is on life support.

The scarcity of mismatched seats at the federal level is well documented. Less than 4…

Florida Senate: Not Swing, But Still Battleground

June 4, 2021 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan L. Gonzales

After cycles of GOP success, Florida has shed its swing state status. But the Sunshine State is still competitive and should still be considered a battleground, particularly when the majority in the Senate hinges on a single seat.  

Six years ago, Marco…

Biden’s Job Rating and the 2022 Midterm Elections

by Ryan Matsumoto June 4, 2021 · 2:29 PM EDT

Joe Biden has only been president for a few months, but pundits and prognosticators alike are already looking at what the tea leaves may suggest about the 2022 midterm elections. Democrats currently maintain the slimmest of majorities; House Republicans need to gain just five seats to flip the…

New Mexico 1 Special: Status Quo Results

June 4, 2021 · 2:28 PM EDT

Democrat Melanie Stansbury prevailed in Tuesday’s special election, keeping New Mexico’s 1st District in Democratic hands after Rep. Deb Haaland joined the Biden Administration as Interior Secretary. 

Considering Joe Biden’s big victory over President Donald Trump in the Albuquerque-anchored…