Archive

2022 House Overview: Republicans on the Offensive

August 27, 2021 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

With census data in hand and President Joe Biden’s job performance in the spotlight, the fight for the House is well underway. Republicans came into the cycle with history and redistricting on their side, but now might have the added benefit of a politically…

2022 House Overview (August 27, 2021): Alabama - Iowa

August 27, 2021 · 2:29 PM EDT

Alabama. Current delegation breakdown: 6 Republicans, 1 Democrat. Jan. 28 filing deadline. May 24 primary. July 26 runoff (if necessary). No partisan changes expected in the Yellowhammer State, which will retain its seven-member delegation. There is a competitive primary brewing in the 5th District…

2022 House Overview (August 27, 2021): Kansas - New York

August 27, 2021 · 2:28 PM EDT

Kansas. Current breakdown: 3R, 1D. June 1 filing deadline. Aug. 2 primary. Republicans are focused on defeating Democratic Rep. Sharice Davids, who defeated GOP Rep. Kevin Yoder in the 3rd District in 2018 and won re-election in 2020. Biden won the district, so Republicans will likely divide…

2022 House Overview (August 27, 2021): North Carolina - Wyoming

August 27, 2021 · 2:27 PM EDT

North Carolina. Current breakdown: 8R, 5D (Apportionment: +1 seat). Dec. 17, 2021 filing deadline. March 8 primary. April 26 runoff (if necessary). Republicans control the state legislature, and even though Gov. Roy Cooper is a Democrat, he has no say in the redistricting process. A lot depends on…

California Governor Recall: Down to the Wire

by Ryan Matsumoto August 27, 2021 · 2:26 PM EDT

Voters across California are already beginning to vote in what may be the most important election of the year. The attempted recall of Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom is poised to be a blockbuster event that may have ramifications well beyond the Golden State.

How the Recall Works
The Sept. 14 recall…

New York Governor: Still Solid Democratic

by Jacob Rubashkin August 16, 2021 · 9:06 AM EDT

Democratic Gov. Andrew Cuomo’s surprise resignation is already sending shockwaves through the New York political world, from Albany to New York City.

But one thing the three-term incumbent’s exit doesn’t change is our outlook on the state’s 2022 gubernatorial contest, which remains Solid…

New Census Data Kickstarts Next Phase of Redistricting

by Jacob Rubashkin August 12, 2021 · 2:30 PM EDT

On Thursday, the Census Bureau released its first set of long-awaited local data, kicking off what promises to be a consequential and messy redistricting process. Over the next six months (or so), states will take that block-level population and racial data and draw new congressional and…

Stop Attacking Losing Candidates

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 11, 2021 · 9:02 AM EDT

It’s time to stop attacking candidates for losing a previous race. It’s just silly and ignores history. The partisan and glib attacks aren’t predictive of anything and ignore dozens of examples of candidates who lost before winning.

The latest example is in Iowa, where former Rep. Abby Finkenauer…

North Carolina Senate: Tar Heel Hullabaloo

by Jacob Rubashkin August 6, 2021 · 2:30 PM EDT

Republican Sen. Richard Burr’s decision to retire rather than seek a fourth term gives Democrats a much-needed opportunity to offset potential losses elsewhere, during a midterm cycle in which literally every Senate seat is a majority-maker.

Though Democrats have not won a Senate race in North…