North Carolina 1: Tar Heel Target

by Jacob Rubashkin May 23, 2024 · 2:30 PM EDT

North Carolina has been at the center of the House battlefield for much of the last decade, with the evenly divided state often hosting multiple competitive races.

Not so in 2024.

A Republican takeover of the state Supreme Court in 2022 cleared the way for the GOP-controlled state legislature to…

2024 Presidential Battlegrounds: Pennsylvania

by Bradley Wascher May 23, 2024 · 2:29 PM EDT

Pennsylvania was long a part of Democrats’ “blue wall” strategy in the Electoral College, but Donald Trump’s narrow win in 2016 forced both parties to revamp their playbooks.

Trump flipped Pennsylvania in 2016 by appealing to the state’s many white working-class voters, as Hillary Clinton failed…

House: Key Primary Results from Georgia, Oregon, Idaho, and Kentucky

May 22, 2024 · 1:04 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

Primary voters cast their ballots in four more states, clarifying a key general election race and nominating a likely new member of Congress in a key primary. 

Even with Georgia, Idaho, Kentucky, and Oregon now in the rearview mirror (except for a Georgia…

Podcast Episode 23: Oregon primaries with Dirk VanderHart of OPB

May 16, 2024 · 12:45 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Dirk VanderHart of Oregon Public Broadcasting (OPB) look ahead to key House primaries in Oregon and look back at consequential results in Maryland, Nebraska, and West Virginia.

Listen to the podcast on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or Pocket Casts here.

The Inside…

Maryland, Nebraska, West Virginia Unveil Key Primary Results

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 15, 2024 · 12:30 PM EDT

Three small-ish states hosted more than a handful of consequential primaries. Results in Maryland, Nebraska, and West Virginia either clarified key general election contests or offered nominations to candidates who will likely be coming to Congress next year because they are running in solid states…

2024 Senate Overview: Republicans Poised to Make Gains

May 9, 2024 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

With a favorable map and Donald Trump leading Joe Biden in the presidential race, Republicans have a great opportunity to win control of the Senate in 2024. Republicans have failed to capitalize on opportunities in the past, but the conditions this year are…

2024 Senate Overview (May 9, 2024): Arizona - Maine

May 9, 2024 · 2:29 PM EDT

Arizona. Open; Kyrsten Sinema (I) not seeking re-election. Primary July 30. With Sinema bowing out of the race, a more conventional two-way contest is brewing between presumptive Democratic nominee Rep. Ruben Gallego, and likely GOP nominee Kari Lake, the former news anchor who was her party’s…

2024 Senate Overview (May 9, 2024): Maryland - Ohio

May 9, 2024 · 2:28 PM EDT

Maryland. Open; Ben Cardin (D) not seeking re-election. Primary May 14. The Democratic primary between Rep. David Trone and Prince George’s County Executive Angela Alsobrooks is coming down to the wire. Trone’s massive spending advantage, fueled by $61 million of his own money, bought him an early…

2024 Senate Overview (May 9, 2024): Pennsylvania - Wyoming

May 9, 2024 · 2:27 PM EDT

Pennsylvania. Bob Casey, Jr. (D) elected 2006 (59%), 2012 (54%), 2018 (56%). Former Bridgewater CEO Dave McCormick is officially the GOP nominee, and Republican strategists are hopeful that a favorable political environment plus McCormick’s military experience and ample pocketbook will vault him…

2024 Presidential Battlegrounds: Nevada

by Bradley Wascher May 9, 2024 · 2:26 PM EDT

Democrats have carried Nevada in each of the last four presidential elections, yet it continues to be a top battleground thanks to its unique political geography. President Joe Biden’s handling of the economy has weighed him down in early polls of the state, but Democrats can point to a number of…