Archive

Gubernatorial Report Shorts (September 26, 2024)

September 26, 2024 · 2:27 PM EDT

Indiana. Open; Eric Holcomb (R) term-limited. Two recent Democratic polls, including one previously unreported, show a tight race between GOP Sen. Mike Braun and former state Superintendent of Education Jennifer McCormick (a former Republican). The race had previously seen some national attention…

2024 House Ratings (September 26, 2024)

September 26, 2024 · 2:23 PM EDT

North Carolina Governor Slips From Republicans

by Jacob Rubashkin September 20, 2024 · 4:50 PM EDT

The latest revelations about North Carolina Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson will only make it more difficult for Republicans to win back the Tar Heel State’s top office this fall. 

CNN’s thorough story, which recounts the virulently racist, sexist and anti-semitic comments Robinson made on adult online…

Montana 1 Poll: Tranel and Tester on the Edge

by Jacob Rubashkin September 19, 2024 · 2:12 PM EDT

One of 2022’s most surprising House races looks headed for a similarly hard-fought finish this year.

Montana’s Ryan Zinke — a onetime rising star with a military background, two statewide victories, and a stint as Interior Secretary — was nearly denied in his attempt to return to Congress from Big…

Podcast Episode 31: Montana Poll, Rating Changes, Connecticut’s 5th w/ Daniela Altimari of Roll Call

September 19, 2024 · 1:18 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin unveil the latest Inside Elections/Noble Predictive Insights poll in Montana’s 1st District, talk about the latest rating changes, and analyze a critical House race in Connecticut with Daniela Altimari of CQ Roll Call.

Listen to the podcast on Spotify, Apple…

A Potential Split Decision in the 2024 Elections

September 12, 2024 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

Republicans and Democrats should be prepared to be energized and saddened by the 2024 election results. With Vice President Kamala Harris at the top of the Democratic ticket, the race against former President Donald Trump is close again. And the fights for…

Senate Report Shorts (Sept. 12, 2024)

September 12, 2024 · 2:29 PM EDT

Arizona. Kyrsten Sinema (I) not seeking re-election. The anti-tax Club for Growth will spend $12 million to boost GOP nominee Kari Lake, even as other national Republicans keep their distance from the controversial former newscaster. The Club and Lake’s own campaign publicized polls in August…

House Report Shorts (Sept. 12, 2024)

September 12, 2024 · 2:28 PM EDT

Alaska.
At-Large District. Mary Peltola, D, re-elected 55%. Trump 53%.
Republicans got the one-on-one matchup against Peltola (rather than a messy three-way fight) but not with the candidate preferred by national strategists or Trump. There’s still uncertainty about what two minor candidates will…