Archive

Montana At-Large: Does Open Seat Help or Hurt Democrats’ Pickup Opportunity?

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 11, 2019 · 2:52 PM EDT

Parties crave open seats, considering the vast majority of incumbents win re-election. But in the case of Montana’s at-large district, Democrats may have lost their preferred opponent when Republican Rep. Greg Gianforte filed to run for governor.

While it might have been daunting for Democrats to…

Why a GOP Super PAC is Bothering to Attack Steve Bullock’s Bid for President

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 7, 2019 · 3:44 PM EDT

Montana Gov. Steve Bullock isn’t one of the leading Democratic contenders for the 2020 presidential nomination, but he’s learning how to turn a Republican attack into an asset for his campaign.

On May 29, the GOP-affiliated Senate Leadership Fund started a television ad campaign in the Missoula…

Texas Senate: Do Democrats Have A Lone, Star Candidate?

by Leah Askarinam May 31, 2019 · 2:30 PM EDT

With Democrats targeting six seats, Texas starts at the center of the conversation about the House majority in 2020.  But the Lone Star State is still on the periphery of the presidential and Senate battlefields.

On one hand, despite the national headwinds that should have helped the Democratic…

Anatomy of an Ad: Greg Murphy (North Carolina’s 3rd)

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 31, 2019 · 2:29 PM EDT

State Rep. Greg Murphy finished first in the GOP primary in North Carolina’s 3rd District, but his subsequent television ad shouldn’t inspire confidence in his status as the frontrunner for the Republican nomination.

Murphy, a urologist, finished ahead of pediatrician Joan Perry 23-15 percent in a…

California 48: A Rouda Awakening

by Leah Askarinam May 31, 2019 · 2:28 PM EDT

There’s no shortage of viral videos featuring Democratic freshmen grilling members of the Trump administration, leading political rallies, or dancing (sometimes on their own). Democratic Rep. Katie Porter of California’s 45th District released a video of her questioning HUD Secretary Ben Carson…

Candidate Conversation - John Walsh (D)

May 31, 2019 · 2:27 PM EDT

Colorado Senate -- Rating: Toss-Up

Interview Date: May 21, 2019

Date of Birth: May 28, 1961; New York City, N.Y.

Education: Williams College (1983); Stanford (1986 J.D.); Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute (attended)

Elected Office: None; candidate for Denver District Attorney (2004)

Current…

Some House Members Are Contemplating Retirement, According to History

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 30, 2019 · 4:10 PM EDT

As the unofficial kickoff of summer, Memorial Day is a time to remember the fallen, spend time with family and grill meats. But history tells us it’s also a time for more than a handful of members to reconsider their future in the House.

Going back to 1976, an average of 23 House members have not…

Oval Office Obsessions From a Crew With Little Experience, Much Ambition

by Stuart Rothenberg May 24, 2019 · 11:44 AM EDT

In the 1960 Democratic presidential race, there were a handful of contenders, including Sens. John F. Kennedy of Massachusetts, Lyndon B. Johnson of Texas, Hubert Humphrey of Minnesota and Stuart Symington of Missouri. Others, including Florida Sen. George Smathers and California Gov. Pat Brown,…

(Mostly) Political One-Liners: Pennsylvania Special, Kentucky Governor, and the Trail Blazers

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 23, 2019 · 10:49 AM EDT

California’s 48th District: The Orange County Republican Party endorsed County Supervisor Michelle Steel on Monday in the race against freshman Democratic Rep. Harley Rouda, which could give pause to potential candidates such as former state Sen. Janet Nguyen.

Colorado Senate: Former District…

What Can We Learn From the North Carolina Redo Election?

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 20, 2019 · 2:03 PM EDT

By now, most journalists, handicappers, and party operatives are trained to restrain themselves when applying special election results to future general election forecasts.

But the redo election in North Carolina’s 9th District provides a unique opportunity to learn about the present political…