Presidential Snapshot in Time (May 29, 2020)

by Bradley Wascher May 29, 2020 · 10:28 AM EDT

In May 2006, The Raconteurs released their Grammy-nominated debut single, “Steady, As She Goes.” In May 2020, presidential polling followed that advice. Joe Biden maintains a steady national lead over President Donald Trump, while new state polls still show a tight race in key battlegrounds.…

2020 House Overview (May 22, 2020): Democrats Could Expand Majority

May 22, 2020 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

Last week, Republicans won California’s 25th District, giving them their first takeover in the state in 20 years and their first special election flip since 2011. It was a legitimate victory that lowered their threshold for a majority to 17 seats. But…

2020 House Overview (May 22, 2020): Alabama - Iowa

May 22, 2020 · 2:29 PM EDT

At-Large District Don Young, R, re-elected 53%.
Trump 51%. Independent Alyse Galvin, who lost by 7 points in 2018, is running again and has outraised Young for the last three quarters -- she had $961,000 cash on hand compared to $804,000 for Young. Democrats think this could be a…

2020 House Overview (May 22, 2020): Kansas - New York

May 22, 2020 · 2:28 PM EDT

2nd District (Topeka, Lawrence, eastern rural Kansas) Steve Watkins, R, elected 48%.
Trump 56%. Watkins ($438,000 cash on hand on March 31) has been embroiled in varying degrees of ethics and personal scandals since before he won in 2018, perturbing state treasurer Jake LaTurner ($572,000)…

2020 House Overview (May 22, 2020): North Carolina - Wyoming

May 22, 2020 · 2:27 PM EDT

North Carolina. 
2nd District (Raleigh) Open; George Holding, R, not seeking re-election.
Clinton 60%. 2016 Senate nominee Deborah Ross ($161,000 in the bank on March 31) is the Democratic nominee and the prohibitive favorite for this redrawn seat in November. Likely D.

6th District…

Candidate Conversation: Adair Boroughs (D)

by Jacob Rubashkin May 22, 2020 · 2:26 PM EDT

South Carolina’s 2nd District — Rating: Solid Republican

Interview Date: May 11, 2020 (via Google Meet)

Date of Birth: July 5, 1980; Rock Hill, South Carolina

Education: Furman Univ. (2002, Truman Scholar 2001); Stanford Univ. (J.D. 2007)

Elected Office: None; First run for office

Likely New Members of the 117th Congress (May 20, 2020)

by Jacob Rubashkin May 20, 2020 · 12:27 PM EDT

Predicting election outcomes can be a fraught business. You don’t have to look further than the 2016 presidential race to see that. 

But for some races, one candidate has such an advantage -- due to the constituency’s partisan lean, candidate quality, or other factors -- that their path to…

Presidential Snapshot in Time (May 15, 2020)

by Bradley Wascher May 15, 2020 · 9:17 AM EDT

As parts of the country begin to reopen — and rapper Nicki Minaj scores her first number-one song on the Billboard charts — the race for president has barely changed over the past two weeks. 

This Presidential Snapshot in Time series seeks to understand the polling trends driving the 2020…

California 25: Can Garcia Win the Battle and the War?

by Jacob Rubashkin May 8, 2020 · 2:30 PM EDT

Republicans are poised to win back a Democratic leaning district in a special election, but what will it really say about their chances in November?

In 2018, non-profit executive Katie Hill scored one of the midterm’s more surprising victories when she unseated two-term GOP Rep. Steve Knight. It…