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Senate Report Shorts (October 18, 2024)

October 18, 2024 · 2:29 PM EDT

Arizona. Open; Kyrsten Sinema (I) not seeking re-election. Rep. Ruben Gallego has led in every public poll of this race since August, and Kari Lake isn’t meeting her marks in any of the state’s competitive congressional districts either. Lake’s allies engaged in months of innuendo about Gallego’s…

House Report Shorts (October 18, 2024)

October 18, 2024 · 2:28 PM EDT

Alaska.
At-Large District. Mary Peltola, D, re-elected 55%. Trump 53%.
Both parties agreed a few weeks ago that this race had gotten very tight, but the consensus ended there. Republicans now believe they have the advantage while Democrats say they have righted the ship. Between the state’s…

2024 Presidential Battlegrounds: Wisconsin

by Bradley Wascher October 18, 2024 · 2:27 PM EDT

Wisconsin has been decided by fewer than 25,000 votes in each of the past two presidential elections. Depending on how you calculate it, it was the tipping-point state that gave the 270th electoral vote to both former President Donald Trump in 2016 and President Joe Biden in 2020.

Once a necessary…

Podcast Episode 33: Sleeper House Poll, Senate Ratings, House Races w/ Erin Covey of Cook Political

October 17, 2024 · 2:28 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin unveil the latest Inside Elections/Noble Predictive Insights poll in a sleeper race in Arizona’s 2nd District and discuss race rating changes in the Nevada and Arizona Senate races before breaking down the fight for the House majority with Erin Covey of The Cook…

Arizona 2 Poll: Sleeper Race Awakens

by Jacob Rubashkin October 17, 2024 · 11:00 AM EDT

Arizona voters already faced a gauntlet of competitive races this fall, from a toss-up presidential contest to a high-profile Senate race and two of the most expensive House races in the country.

But another election may be asserting itself in the closing weeks of the cycle, according to new…

The 2024 Elections are Comically Close

October 10, 2024 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

With less than a month to go, one thing is clear: this election is very close. 

In the fight for the White House, former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are within a couple points of each other in all seven swing states. Based on the…

Senate Report Shorts (October 10, 2024)

by Jacob Rubashkin October 10, 2024 · 2:29 PM EDT

Arizona. Open; Kyrsten Sinema (I) not seeking re-election. Former president Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris remain locked in a close fight in the presidential race, but GOP former local news anchor/2022 gubernatorial Kari Lake is consistently running behind Trump. Since it’s unlikely…

House Report Shorts (October 10, 2024)

by Jacob Rubashkin October 10, 2024 · 2:28 PM EDT

Alabama.
2nd District (Mobile, Montgomery, and eastern Black Belt) Open; Barry Moore, R, running in 1st District. Biden 56%. National Democratic strategists are keeping an eye on this redrawn seat, and it was no accident that nominee Shomari Figures was given a coveted DNC speaking slot in August,…