Breaking Down the Demographics of the 118th Congress

by Erin Covey January 11, 2023 · 11:59 AM EST

Slowly but surely, the U.S. Congress has begun to better reflect the nation.

But even as the House and the Senate have gradually become more diverse, the rate at which that happens has appeared to decline. The number of women and nonwhite members in the 118th Congress has only marginally increased…

Vote Above Replacement: 2022 Governor Elections

by Bradley Wascher January 10, 2023 · 10:15 AM EST

For the first time since 1986, the president’s party netted gubernatorial seats in a midterm election, as Democrats gained three new governorships in 2022 and Republicans flipped only one. Although it wasn’t much of a surprise that Massachusetts and Maryland moved into the Democrats’ column,…

2024 Senate Overview: Majority on the Line, Again

January 6, 2023 · 2:30 PM EST

By Nathan L. Gonzales, Erin Covey, and Jacob Rubashkin

Republicans failed to take control of the Senate in 2022, but they’ll have another good shot at it in 2024. 

The GOP fumbled a tremendous opportunity last cycle running in a midterm election with an unpopular Democratic president. Republicans…

2024 Senate Overview (January 6, 2023) Arizona - Maine

January 6, 2023 · 2:29 PM EST

Arizona. Kyrsten Sinema (I) elected 2018 as a Democrat (50%). Filing deadline April 2024. Sinema’s decision to change parties throws a wrench into the battle for Arizona’s competitive Senate seat. The independent senator has not said if she will run for re-election. But if she does run, the…

2024 Senate Overview (January 6, 2023): Maryland - Ohio

January 6, 2023 · 2:28 PM EST

Maryland. Ben Cardin (D) elected 2006 (54%), 2012 (56%), 2018 (65%). Filing deadline Jan. 19, 2024. Cardin will be 81 in 2024. If he runs, he should win easily. But if he bows out, expect a crowded Democratic primary to replace him, with the winner heavily favored in November. Prince George’s…

2024 Senate Overview (January 6, 2023): Pennsylvania - Wyoming

January 6, 2023 · 2:27 PM EST

Pennsylvania. Bob Casey, Jr. (D) elected 2006 (59%), 2012 (54%), 2018 (56%). Filing deadline TBD. After a disappointing midterm election for Pennsylvania Republicans, they’re hoping to unseat Keystone State’s senior senator in 2024. Casey is the longest serving Democratic senator in Pennsylvania’s…

Report Shorts (January 6, 2023)

January 6, 2023 · 2:26 PM EST

New York’s 3rd District. GOP Rep. George Santos hasn’t settled into office yet, and he’s already been met with significant questions about fabricating his personal background and professional resume. The end result could be a short tenure and future open seat. 

Even some of Santos’ future…

Michigan Senate: The Race to Succeed Stabenow Is On

by Erin Covey January 5, 2023 · 11:25 AM EST

After serving in the Senate for the past 22 years, Debbie Stabenow announced this morning that she won’t seek re-election in 2024. The race to succeed the Democratic senator is guaranteed to draw serious attention and resources from both parties.

The Democratic Party has a deep bench in the Great…

Virginia 4 Special: McClellan Poised for History

by Jacob Rubashkin December 22, 2022 · 11:00 AM EST

The first House race of the 2024 cycle is well underway — and for all intents and purposes may already be over.

On Tuesday, Democrats in Virginia’s 4th District chose state Sen. Jennifer McClellan as their nominee in the Feb. 21 special election to replace the late Rep. Donald McEachin. She…