Weather metaphors are often used (and overused) in election analysis, but there’s a better way to describe the Republicans’ challenge in 2018. The GOP is dealing with many headaches as it tries to preserve the Republican congressional majorities.
From tension to cluster to migraine, they can vary…
By Nathan L. Gonzales and Leah Askarinam
With less than a month before Nov. 6, the fundamentals of these midterm elections are set and broadly good news for Democrats. But with dozens of close races around the country, a shift of just a couple points across the board is the difference between a…
Arizona. Open; Jeff Flake (R) not seeking re-election. Democratic Rep. Kyrsten Sinema enjoyed a narrow but consistent advantage over GOP Rep. Martha McSally in polls before and after the late August primary. But some more recent public and private data show that edge might be gone. Sinema had an…
Arizona’s 2nd District (Open; Martha McSally, R, running for Senate). Clinton 49.6%. Former Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick has high negatives from previous runs for office and a competitive primary, but it’s still rough going for Republican Lea Marquez Peterson to win this open seat that Hillary Clinton…
Arizona. Doug Ducey (R), elected 2014 (53%). The governor and his GOP allies are enjoying a tremendous spending advantage on television in the final weeks of the campaign — $13 million to $500,000. It’s tough to see how Democrat David Garcia is going to overcome that dynamic in a state President…
Arizona’s 1st District -- Rating: Lean Democratic
Interview Date: Sept. 14, 2018
Date of Birth: July 24, 1954; Fort Knox, Ky.
Education: Michigan State Univ. (1976); Univ. of Alabama (M.S.W. 1977); Cal State-San Bernardino (Master’s, 1986)
Elected Office: None; 2016 1st District candidate; 2014…
What will be the biggest surprise on election night?
It’s a common and valid question, but I’m always a little amused by it.
If I were able to identify a completely unexpected or astonishing event that would happen a month from now, then that event shouldn’t be considered completely unexpected or…
