Archive

House Report Shorts (Sept. 12, 2024)

September 12, 2024 · 2:28 PM EDT

Alaska.
At-Large District. Mary Peltola, D, re-elected 55%. Trump 53%.
Republicans got the one-on-one matchup against Peltola (rather than a messy three-way fight) but not with the candidate preferred by national strategists or Trump. There’s still uncertainty about what two minor candidates will…

Gubernatorial Report Shorts (Sept. 12, 2024)

September 12, 2024 · 2:27 PM EDT

Delaware. Open; John Carney Jr. (D) term-limited. Newcastle County Executive Matt Meyer won the important Democratic primary 47-37 percent over Lt. Gov. Bethany Hall-Long and is the heavy favorite to win over Republican Mike Ramone in November. The last Republican to win a gubernatorial election in…

2024 House Ratings (September 12, 2024)

September 12, 2024 · 2:26 PM EDT

Trump, Harris Face Off in Philadelphia with the White House on the Line

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 11, 2024 · 12:25 PM EDT

The first, and potentially only, debate between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris is in the books. While it will be at least a few days or more to know how the Philadelphia faceoff played with voters, there are at least a handful of key points and initial takeaways.…

Podcast Episode 30: Oregon Poll, Rating Changes, Meeting the Press with Chuck Todd

September 4, 2024 · 12:10 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin unveil the latest Inside Elections/Noble Predictive Insights poll in Oregon’s 5th District and the latest rating changes, and chat with former Meet the Press moderator Chuck Todd of NBC News about interviewing candidates and covering elections. 

Listen to the…

Oregon 5 Poll: Chavez-DeRemer in the Hot Seat

by Jacob Rubashkin September 4, 2024 · 9:30 AM EDT

GOP Rep. Laurie Chavez-DeRemer enters the fall trailing a familiar Democratic opponent narrowly, according to new polling of Oregon’s 5th District from Noble Predictive Insights for Inside Elections.

When Chavez-DeRemer flipped the Democratic-held seat in 2022, she did so as the favorite, taking…

Searching for the Next, New Normal in the 2024 Elections

August 29, 2024 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

With the party conventions in the rearview mirror, Republicans and Democrats are searching for the new normal in the 2024 elections. Both parties will be polling the most competitive states, Senate seats and House districts in order to make critical spending…

Presidential Update: RFK Jr. Exits the Race

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 29, 2024 · 2:29 PM EDT

Vice President Kamala Harris has the momentum, and even a narrow advantage in a close race  against former President Donald Trump. 

Trump extended his narrow advantage throughout the spring to a more significant edge after the June 27 debate as President Joe Biden went into an electoral tailspin.…

Senate Report Shorts (August 29, 2024)

August 29, 2024 · 2:28 PM EDT

Arizona. Kyrsten Sinema (I) not seeking re-election. Democratic Rep. Ruben Gallego scored an endorsement from the Arizona Police Association just days after the group’s president spoke at a Trump rally. The APA had previously endorsed Gallego’s GOP opponent, Kari Lake, in her 2022 gubernatorial…