Outlook

Democrats have a 221-214 majority. Republicans need a net gain of 4 seats for a majority. Republicans are well-positioned to win the majority. Alaska At-Large Special election (Young) rated Likely Republican.

  • Shift Republican
  • Shift Democratic

Currently Solid Seats

Democrat: 168 Republican: 187

Battleground Seats

Democrat: 53 Battleground: 18 Republican: 23

Toss-up

Democrat: 10 Republican: 7
CA 22 R Valadao
CA 27 R Garcia
CA 45 R Steel
CO 8 Open Open; New
IA 3 D Axne
KS 3 D Davids
ME 2 D Golden
MI 3 R Meijer
NC 13 R Open Open
NJ 7 D Malinowski
NM 2 R Herrell
NY 19 D Delgado
OH 1 R Chabot
OH 9 D Kaptur
PA 7 D Wild
PA 8 D Cartwright
VA 2 D Luria
WA 8 D Schrier

Tilt Democratic

Democrat: 8 Republican: 1
IL 17 D Open Bustos
MI 7 D Slotkin
MI 8 D Kildee
MN 2 D Craig
NH 1 D Pappas
NV 3 D S. Lee
NY 22 R Open Katko
PA 17 D Open Lamb
VA 7 D Spanberger

Lean Democratic

Democrat: 7 Republican: 1
CA 47 D Porter
IL 13 R Open R. Davis
NC 1 D Open Butterfield
NV 1 D Titus
NV 4 D Horsford
NY 18 D Open S. P. Maloney
NY 3 D Open Suozzi
OR 5 D Schrader

Likely Democratic

Democrat: 17 Republican: 1
AZ 4 D Stanton
CA 13 D Open Harder
CA 49 D Levin
CO 7 D Open Perlmutter
CT 5 D Hayes
GA 2 D S. Bishop
IL 14 D Underwood
IL 6 D Casten
IN 1 D Mrvan
MD 6 D Trone
NC 14 Open Open; New
NC 6 D Manning
NH 2 D Kuster
NM 3 D Leger Fernandez
NY 17 D S.P. Maloney
OR 4 D Open DeFazio
OR 6 Open Open; New
RI 2 D Open Langevin
TX 28 D Cuellar
TX 34 R Flores / V. Gonzalez

Tilt Republican

Democrat: 4 Republican: 1
AZ 6 D Open Kirkpatrick
MI 10 D Open Levin
NY 1 R Open Zeldin
OH 13 D Open Ryan
TX 15 D Open V. Gonzalez

Lean Republican

Democrat: 2 Republican: 3
AZ 1 R Schweikert
AZ 2 D O'Halleran
NE 2 R Bacon
NY 2 R Garbarino
WI 3 D Open Kind

Likely Republican

Democrat: 5 Republican: 9
CA 3 R Open McClintock
CA 40 R Kim
CA 41 R Calvert
FL 13 D Open Crist
FL 15 R Open Franklin
FL 27 R Salazar
FL 5 D Open Rutherford
FL 7 D Open S. Murphy
GA 6 D Open McBath
IA 1 R Miller-Meeks
IA 2 R Hinson
MT 1 Open Open; New
NY 11 R Malliotakis
PA 1 R Fitzpatrick
TN 5 D Open Cooper