Outlook
270 electoral votes needed to win.
Solid + Tilt/Lean/Likely
232 Democratic nominee
235 GOP nominee
*Nebraska’s 2nd District is rated Lean Democratic.
*Maine’s 2nd District is rated Lean Republican.
- → Shift Republican
- ← Shift Democratic
Total Electoral Votes
270 Needed to Win
|
Democrat: 232
Toss-up: 71
Republican: 235
|
Toss-up
|
Total: 71
|
| Arizona |
11 |
|
| Georgia |
16 |
|
| Michigan |
15 |
→ |
| Pennsylvania |
19 |
|
| Wisconsin |
10 |
|
Tilt Democratic
Lean Democratic
|
Total: 14
|
| Minnesota |
10 |
|
| New Hampshire |
4 |
|
Likely Democratic
|
Total: 17
|
| Maine |
4 |
|
| Virginia |
13 |
|
Solid Democratic
|
Total: 195
|
| California |
54 |
|
| Colorado |
10 |
|
| Connecticut |
7 |
|
| Washington, DC |
3 |
|
| Delaware |
3 |
|
| Hawaii |
4 |
|
| Illinois |
19 |
|
| Massachusetts |
11 |
|
| Maryland |
10 |
|
| New Jersey |
14 |
|
| New Mexico |
5 |
|
| New York |
28 |
|
| Oregon |
8 |
|
| Rhode Island |
4 |
|
| Vermont |
3 |
|
| Washington |
12 |
|
Tilt Republican
|
Total: 16
|
| North Carolina |
16 |
|
Lean Republican
Likely Republican
|
Total: 63
|
| Iowa |
6 |
|
| Ohio |
17 |
|
| Texas |
40 |
|
Solid Republican
|
Total: 126
|
| Alaska |
3 |
|
| Alabama |
9 |
|
| Arkansas |
6 |
|
| Idaho |
4 |
|
| Indiana |
11 |
|
| Kansas |
6 |
|
| Kentucky |
8 |
|
| Louisiana |
8 |
|
| Missouri |
10 |
|
| Mississippi |
6 |
|
| Montana |
4 |
|
| North Dakota |
3 |
|
| Nebraska |
5 |
|
| Oklahoma |
7 |
|
| South Carolina |
9 |
|
| South Dakota |
3 |
|
| Tennessee |
11 |
|
| Utah |
6 |
|
| West Virginia |
4 |
|
| Wyoming |
3 |
|
