Outlook

270 electoral votes needed to win.

Solid + Tilt/Lean/Likely
226 Harris
219 Trump

*Nebraska’s 2nd District is rated Lean Democratic.
*Maine’s 2nd District is rated Lean Republican.

  • Shift Republican
  • Shift Democratic

Total Electoral Votes

270 Needed to Win

Democrat: 226 Toss-up: 93 Republican: 219

Toss-up

Total: 93
11
16
15
16
6
19
10

Tilt Democratic

Total: 0

Lean Democratic

Total: 14
10
4

Likely Democratic

Total: 17
4
13

Solid Democratic

Total: 195
54
10
7
3
3
4
19
11
10
14
5
28
8
4
3
12

Tilt Republican

Total: 0

Lean Republican

Total: 30
30

Likely Republican

Total: 63
6
17
40

Solid Republican

Total: 126
3
9
6
4
11
6
8
8
10
6
4
3
5
7
9
3
11
6
4
3