House News & Analysis

It’s Never Too Early to Fight About Polling Methodology

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 20, 2013 · 9:12 AM EDT

Bickering over polls is a time-honored tradition in campaigns. But the latest exchange of surveys in Utah’s 4th District is not just an example of partisan pollsters getting very different results. It is also a reminder of the importance of polling methodology.

Earlier this month, the National Republican…

Search for Competitive House Open Seats Comes Up Empty

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 18, 2013 · 9:14 AM EDT

Open seats are supposed to be opportunities. Without longtime incumbents on the ballot, these districts should be easier to takeover. But six months into the 2014 cycle, that just isn’t the case on the House side.

So far, there are 10 districts slated to be open seats because…

Latino candidates line up for next year’s Congressional races in Florida

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 17, 2013 · 10:46 AM EDT

The midterm elections are still more than a year away, but Latino candidates in Florida are already jockeying for position in a couple of key congressional races.

In 2012, Democrat Joe Garcia defeated incumbent David Rivera in the 26th District, in large part because the Republican congressman was…

Democrats Struggle for Traction in Early House Landscape

by Stuart Rothenberg June 14, 2013 · 1:00 PM EDT

Democrats’ long-shot slog to add the additional 17 seats that would give them control of the House after the midterms has gotten even tougher over the past couple of months.

Elizabeth Colbert Busch’s underwhelming showing in a South Carolina special election showed how difficult it will be to…

2014 House Overview (June 14, 2013) Alabama - Indiana

June 14, 2013 · 12:59 PM EDT

Alabama (6 Republicans, 1 Democrat)
AL 1 (Open; Bonner, R). Special Election. Jo Bonner is expected to resign from Congress in mid-August in order to take a position with the University of Alabama system. Former state senator/2012 gubernatorial candidate Bradley Byrne is considered a very serious contender but…

2014 House Overview (June 14, 2013) Iowa - Oklahoma

June 14, 2013 · 12:58 PM EDT

Iowa (2R, 2D)
IA 1 (Open; Braley, D). Bruce Braley looks to have the cleared the Democratic field in the Senate race, but his congressional seat could get crowded. Former state House Speaker Pat Murphy (D) and Cedar Rapids City Councilor Monica Vernon (D) are in, with Murphy…

2014 House Overview (June 14, 2013) Oregon - Wyoming

June 14, 2013 · 12:57 PM EDT

Oregon (1R, 4D)
OR 4 (DeFazio, D). Co-Speaker of the Oregon House Bruce Hanna (R) met with NRCC officials to explore a potential run against Peter DeFazio. President Obama only won the district with 52 percent in 2012, so there is the potential for a competitive race. But…

Why Emasculating the Speaker Is Rarely a Good Idea

by Stuart Rothenberg June 14, 2013 · 9:17 AM EDT

They’re at it again.

Conservatives outside of Congress — including Heritage Action for America, the Club for Growth, Phyllis Schlafly, L. Brent Bozell, the Tea Party Express, Morton Blackwell, Richard Viguerie, Citizens United and the Traditional Values Coalition — have signed a letter in support of a…

When the Nation Has the Blahs …

by Stuart Rothenberg June 12, 2013 · 9:37 AM EDT

Is the nation suffering from a national case of hypochondria, or are Americans rightly worried about the country’s future?

The answer depends, in part, on your (political) point of view. But it’s also true that every bit of good news — rising home prices, rising stock prices and…

Brad Pitt and Minnesota’s 8th District

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 11, 2013 · 12:59 PM EDT

Just the name, Stewart Mills III, sounds like a stereotypical Republican, but the shoulder-length hair is evidence that he might be a different type of GOP candidate.

Mills is seriously considering challenging Democratic Rep. Rick Nolan in Minnesota’s 8th District, a large geographic district that includes The Iron…