House News & Analysis

The New Year Can’t Come Soon Enough for the GOP

by Stuart Rothenberg December 22, 2012 · 9:00 AM EST

As the end of the year approaches, it’s difficult not to see the two parties heading in very different directions.

Democrats have emerged from the 2012 elections stronger, while Republicans look poorly positioned and divided.

Politics, of course, is famous for its ups and downs, its unexpected…

Looking Back on 2012 Cycle’s Long and Winding Road

by Stuart Rothenberg December 19, 2012 · 9:00 AM EST

Wow, what a political cycle. It was filled with twists, turns and surprises.

Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney won the Iowa caucuses — until he didn’t (almost two weeks after the actual balloting, when former Sen. Rick Santorum was certified as the winner).

After finishing a distant…

Illinois 2: Deep Dish of Dramatic Democrats

by Jessica Taylor December 14, 2012 · 2:57 PM EST

Reality television shows don’t have as colorful a cast of characters as the upcoming special election in Illinois’s 2nd District.

Vying for the chance to succeed the mired-in-scandal former Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr., the field includes his predecessor, who resigned in the wake of a statutory rape charge,…

Missouri 8: Emerson’s Exit Creates Somewhat-Open Opportunity

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 14, 2012 · 2:56 PM EST

The next Congress isn’t even sworn in yet, and Missouri Rep. Jo Ann Emerson (R) is the second Member to head for the exits. But the race to replace her will take place behind closed doors and on the telephone.

Emerson said she would resign her 8th District…

The Best and Worst of the 2012 Campaigns, Part II

by Stuart Rothenberg December 14, 2012 · 10:30 AM EST

My last column included awards for a number of 2012 campaign and candidate categories, including the luckiest candidate and the biggest upset. But those only scratched the surface in an election year during which candidate quality mattered a great deal. Part II of my guide of the best and…

Best and Worst Of the 2012 Campaigns: Part I

by Stuart Rothenberg December 12, 2012 · 11:18 AM EST

As another election year draws to a close, it’s time again for me to pick the cycle’s winners and losers, my most and least favorite candidates, and those who distinguished themselves by skill or by old-fashioned dumb luck.

After three successive partisan wave elections, the overarching takeaway from…

Handicapping 2014: A Pause Could Add Perspective

by Stuart Rothenberg December 11, 2012 · 4:58 PM EST

The tendency to begin analyzing the next election cycle even before the votes have been counted in the last one shows no indication of abating, unfortunately.

While I have chosen to defer a detailed, race-by-race look at the 2014 elections (both in this column and in my newsletter)…

For the Fiscal Cliff Talks, It’s Back to the Future Again

by Stuart Rothenberg December 5, 2012 · 1:46 PM EST

Anyone who hoped that Democrats and Republicans could find a quick way to avoid the upcoming fiscal cliff should by now know that we are heading for another of those buzzer-beater endings — if Congress and the White House beat the buzzer at all.

While President Barack Obama…

Missouri 8: Who Will Replace Emerson?

December 3, 2012 · 11:35 AM EST

The new Congress isn’t even sworn in and we already have a second special election, in Missouri. Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr.’s (D) resignation last month set in motion a contest early next year to fill his safe Democratic seat in the Chicago area.

The second special election comes…

Louisiana 3: Last Incumbent Standing

by Jessica Taylor November 30, 2012 · 2:01 PM EST

Election Day may be over everywhere else, but in Cajun Country it’s still as hot as ever.

Thanks to Louisiana’s quirky election laws and once-in-a-decade redistricting, incumbent Republicans Charles Boustany and Jeff Landry have been locked in an overtime contest. But it’s one both congressmen anticipated…