Redistricting News & Analysis

Alabama House Primaries: Please Forgive Me

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 27, 2012 · 1:56 PM EST

Spencer Bachus (R) has been in Congress for ten terms. Mo Brooks (R) hasn’t been there much longer than ten months. But both men could face serious challenges as Republican voters in Alabama gear up for the March 13 primary.

Neither Bachus’ 6th District nor Brooks’ 5th District…

Mississippi House Primaries: No Pardon for Nunnelee

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 27, 2012 · 1:55 PM EST

Mississippi hosted two competitive House races last cycle when Republicans Alan Nunnelee and Steven Palazzo knocked off incumbents. This cycle, the best action in the Magnolia State will likely be in the March primaries instead of November.

At one point, Nunnelee, Palazzo, and Bennie Thompson (D) looked like…

Giffords Resignation Sets Up Likely Competitive Special Election

by Jessica Taylor January 22, 2012 · 3:48 PM EST

Cong. Gabrielle Giffords announced in a video message Sunday she would resign from Congress this week to focus on her ongoing recovery after an assassination attempt on her life last January.

Giffords has been ever the picture of inspiration and poise, to both Republicans and Democrats,…

Virginia Redistricting: Making the “Ins” Further “In”

by Stuart Rothenberg January 20, 2012 · 3:10 PM EST

Virginia’s new congressional districts don’t dramatically alter the partisanship of many districts, but the lines do solidify incumbents from both parties.

Democrat Gerry Connolly’s 11th District becomes about five points more Democratic, making his already Democratic-leaning district safe for him and for his party. Republican presidential candidate John…

A Rough Estimate of the Current House Field

by Stuart Rothenberg January 20, 2012 · 2:12 PM EST

Contrary to what you see on television and cable news, there are other elections besides the presidential race this year. And for those who care about control of Congress, the picture there is starting to come into better focus.

Because of substantial redistricting gains in three large states…

2012 House Overview (January 13, 2012)

by Stuart Rothenberg January 13, 2012 · 10:58 AM EST

Redistricting looks to become a small net plus for Democrats, but Republicans succeeded in shoring up a number of districts that they won unexpectedly in 2010. So while Democrats may well pick up a few extra seats because of the new lines, they may have fewer other seats to…

Tennessee Redistricting: Rocky No More for Republicans

by Jessica Taylor January 6, 2012 · 5:19 PM EST

Tennessee Republicans unveiled a congressional map on Friday that shores up the three-seat gain they made in 2010. Likely solidifying their grip on the Volunteer State for years to come, Republicans have now created seven districts that voted over 60 percent for John McCain in 2008.

New Congressional Maps Deliver Presents for Some, Coal for Others

by Jessica Taylor January 5, 2012 · 11:33 AM EST

While most of the news was focused on Iowa and the presidential race during the holidays, several states were rushing to meet year-end deadlines to redraw their congressional lines. In New Jersey, losing a congressional seat now guaranteed a Democrat will be on the chopping block, while in Washington…

New Texas Map Yet Another Win for Democrats

by Stuart Rothenberg December 2, 2011 · 1:59 PM EST

A three-judge federal district court has presented a Texas congressional district map that will be used for the 2012 elections, and it is another win for state and national Democrats. Court-drawn and independent commission or agency-drawn maps in Arizona, Colorado, California, Iowa and Texas have all benefited Democrats.

Colorado Map: Two Democratic Targets Might Net One Seat

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 2, 2011 · 1:58 PM EST

It’s no surprise that Colorado will feature a pair of competitive congressional races next year, but the new map radically changed one GOP incumbent’s prospects by turning his safe seat into one of the most competitive districts in the country.

Republicans hold a 4-3 advantage in the congressional…