With the 2022 midterm elections (almost) in the books, we can begin putting the results into the broader context of past results to see how much states and districts shifted. One of the best ways to identify shifts in partisanship is through our Baseline metric.
Baseline captures a state or…
One of the prevailing narratives of the 2022 midterms is that Democrats exceeded expectations because of underwhelming Republican candidates.
In late October, a New York Times/Siena College poll found that even though voters in the key battleground states of Arizona, Georgia, and Pennsylvania preferred Republicans to control the…
It may sound familiar: a runoff in Georgia will help determine the balance of power in the United States Senate.
Because neither Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock nor Republican football legend Herschel Walker won a majority of the vote on Nov. 8, Georgia law requires the two to run in a…
Updated as of Nov. 28, 2022 at 11:30am ET
By Erin Covey, Jacob Rubashkin, and Nathan Gonzales
Elections are humbling, and this time it’s Republicans’ turn for some soul searching.
Republicans were handed a tremendous opportunity in 2022. Midterm elections are typically a referendum on the party in power, and the…
Despite President Joe Biden’s poor job approval rating looming over the midterm elections, Democrats maintained control of the Senate, and might even expand their majority.
At a minimum, Democrats will have 50-50 control of the Senate and Vice President Kamala Harris can break tie votes. If Sen. Raphael Warnock is…
Updated as of Nov. 16, 2022 at 10am ET
By Jacob Rubashkin, Erin Covey and Nathan Gonzales
Elections are humbling, and this time it’s Republicans’ turn for some soul searching.
Republicans were handed a tremendous opportunity in 2022. Midterm elections are typically a referendum on the party in power, and…
Updated as of Nov. 14, 2022 at 10am ET
By Erin Covey, Jacob Rubashkin, and Nathan Gonzales
Apparently, there aren’t any normal elections.
While there are still a couple dozen consequential races to be called and the fight for both the House or Senate majorities is ongoing, it’s clear that…
Updated as of Nov. 11, 2022 at 9am ET
By Erin Covey, Jacob Rubashkin, and Nathan Gonzales
Apparently, there aren’t any normal elections.
While there are still a couple dozen consequential races to be called and the fight for both the House or Senate majorities is ongoing, it’s clear that…
Updated as of Nov. 10, 2022 at 9:45am ET
By Jacob Rubashkin, Erin Covey, and Nathan Gonzales
Apparently, there aren’t any normal elections.
While there are still dozens of consequential races to be called and the fight for both the House or Senate majorities is ongoing, it’s clear that the 2022…
Updated as of Nov. 9, 2022 at 3pm ET
By Erin Covey, Jacob Rubashkin, and Nathan Gonzales
Apparently, there aren’t any normal elections.
While there are still dozens of consequential races to be called and the fight for both the House or Senate majorities is ongoing, it’s clear that the…
