By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin
More than a year before the midterms, the narrow Senate battlefield continues to solidify as the candidate fields in key states become more clear. Yet there’s still one key ingredient missing in the fight for the majority: the national political environment.
There’s a…
Alabama. Open; Richard Shelby, R, not seeking re-election. Jan. 28 filing deadline. May 24 primary. Rep. Mo Brooks, the conservative firebrand and Jan. 6 Stop The Steal rally speaker, secured an early endorsement from former President Trump in the race to succeed the retiring Shelby. He also has endorsements from…
Hawaii. Brian Schatz (D) appointed 2012, elected 2014 (70%), 2016 (74%). June 7 filing deadline. Aug. 13 primary. Hawaii was one of just seven states where Trump actually improved on his 2016 performance in the 2020 election, but that doesn’t mean Republicans are going to be seriously competing in the…
North Dakota. John Hoeven (R) elected 2010 (76%), 2016 (78%). April 11 filing deadline. June 14 primary. Hoeven had $2.1 million in the bank on March 31, Trump won the state by 34 points in November, and the senator appears to still be on the good side of the former…
Sixteen months before Election Day, new House district lines haven’t even been drawn, and yet the fight for Congress is likely to hinge on the outcomes in four critical states.
On a basic level, every state matters in the Senate, considering Republicans need to gain just a single seat to…
After living underground for 17 years, cicadas must find the political world a confusing place. So if you see any perplexed cicadas flying around the Washington area, wondering how things changed since the spring of 2004, just send them a link to this quick update.
Considering Republicans were in control…
While many voters like to think of themselves as independent-minded folks who consider the person before the party, the 2020 election results paint a different picture. Ticket-splitting is on life support.
The scarcity of mismatched seats at the federal level is well documented. Less than 4 percent of House members…
By Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan L. Gonzales
After cycles of GOP success, Florida has shed its swing state status. But the Sunshine State is still competitive and should still be considered a battleground, particularly when the majority in the Senate hinges on a single seat.
Six years ago, Marco Rubio…
Wisconsin Senate — Rating: Battleground
Interview Date: May 25, 2021 (Zoom)
Date of Birth: March 30, 1970; Athens, Ohio
Education: John Carroll Univ. (1992); The Ohio State College of Medicine (1996)
Elected Office: None; First run for office
Current Outlook: Battino starts as an underdog in an increasingly crowded Democratic…
If redistricting hadn’t complicated the midterm elections enough, a Supreme Court decision on one of the country’s most polarizing issues has the potential to supercharge the fight for the House and Senate.
Last month, the Supreme Court announced it would hear a challenge to a new Mississippi law —…
