Sometimes overshadowed by the fights for the White House and Senate, the House majority is on the line in 2024 as well. With Republicans defending a narrow majority, changes in individual races can have a considerable impact on the fight for control.
Looking at the races individually shows…
Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Bradley Wascher discuss Inside Elections’ Baseline metric, which measures the partisan performance of every district and every state. They also dive into some of the most evenly-divided districts in the country and talk about their favorite holiday gift…
By Nathan L. Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin & Erin Covey
Start spreading the news: New York is about to be the epicenter of the fight for the House, with a special election competing with the Republican presidential race for center stage early next year.
The Long Island-based 3rd District is vacant…
Alabama. Primary March 5. Runoff April 2.
1st District (Southern Alabama) Jerry Carl, R, re-elected 84%. Trump 75%. Court-ordered redistricting has given Alabama two congressional districts where Black voters will have the opportunity to elect a representative of their choice in 2024. Rather than…
Kansas. Filing deadline June 3. Primary Aug. 6.
3rd District (Kansas City suburbs) Sharice Davids, D, re-elected 55%. Biden 51%. Oncologist Prasanth Reddy got another stamp of establishment approval when Speaker Mike Johnson included the former LabCorp executive and Air Force Reserve officer in his…
North Carolina. Primary March 5. Runoff May 14.
1st District (Inland northeastern North Carolina) Don Davis, D, elected 52%. Biden 50.4%. North Carolina’s Republican-controlled legislature has transformed the state’s congressional map, allowing Republicans to easily flip three Democratic-held seats…
What are the most evenly-divided House districts in the country? It’s not as easy as just looking at the past presidential results, considering down ballot races can have their own unique circumstances. That’s why Inside Elections created a metric to measure partisanship in each district.
Inside…
To calculate Inside Elections’ Baseline, we include all contested partisan elections for federal and statewide offices (executive or constitutional) in the four most recent cycles, as well as any special or off-year elections during that span. The only district-based elections we consider are U.S.…
