Archive

Delaware Senate race moved to Lean Democrat

by Stuart Rothenberg September 14, 2010 · 9:33 PM EDT

Christine O’Donnell’s upset over Cong Mike Castle in the GOP primary dramatically alters Republican prospects for November in Delaware. Castle had broad appeal, including to independents and even Democratic voters, while O’Donnell’s appeal is limited to tea party conservatives. Lacking an…

District Polls Are Troubling Signs for Democrats

by Stuart Rothenberg September 8, 2010 · 10:38 AM EDT

While serious Democratic observers worry whether their party can somehow hang on to 218 seats in the House, more than a few Republican strategists and neutral observers have become convinced that the GOP is on the cusp of a stunning victory that could at least equal the party’s 52-seat 1994 gain.…

Wave builds for GOP in the House

by Stuart Rothenberg September 6, 2010 · 10:30 PM EDT

National and local polls continue to show further deterioration in Democratic prospects. Given that, we are increasing our target of likely Republican gains from 28-33 seats to 37-42 seats, with the caveat that substantially larger GOP gains in the 45-55 seat range are quite possible. The next…

2010 House Ratings (September 6, 2010)

September 6, 2010 · 10:01 PM EDT

2010 Senate Ratings (September 6, 2010)

September 6, 2010 · 10:00 AM EDT

Is Rasmussen Better Than its Reputation?

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 31, 2010 · 9:00 AM EDT

There isn’t a lot of consensus in Washington, D.C., but party operatives on both sides of the aisle as well as members of the media seem to be united in their distrust of polls conducted by Rasmussen Reports. But with new polling by a Democratic firm in three key states showing identical results,…

Gubernatorial Update (August 27, 2010)

August 27, 2010 · 9:56 AM EDT

Republican prospects have taken a hit in the races for governor in Colorado and Connecticut putting a dent in the potential for a huge year for the GOP. Republicans are still in strong position but we’re revising our outlook downward slightly from a minimum GOP gain of eight seats to a range of a…

Debt: One Campaign Issue Parties Are Very Familiar With

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 26, 2010 · 2:00 PM EDT

Even with the economy and ballooning national debt at the top of voters’ minds this fall, don’t be surprised when the Republican and Democratic campaign committees dig into the red to help pay for expensive television ads across the country.

Extending a line of credit is a common practice for…