Archive

Latest Polls Raise Questions About the Political Landscape

by Stuart Rothenberg September 15, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Don’t assume that the first flurry of polls we’ve seen this week will reflect the 2008 electoral landscape two or three weeks from now. Like the Democratic convention bounce that benefited Sen. Barack Obama (Ill.), the Republican bounce that now benefits Sen. John McCain (Ariz.) is likely to…

2008 Senate Ratings

September 14, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Here are our latest Senate ratings.



Likely Takeover (2 R, 0 D)
  • NM Open (Domenici, R)
  • VA Open (Warner, R)
Lean Takeover (2 R, 0 D)

  • Stevens (R-AK)
  • Sununu (R-NH)
Toss-Up (3 R, 1 D)
  • CO Open (Allard, R)
  • Dole (R-NC)
  • Smith (R-OR)

Pentecostal Democrats Lead Party’s Faith Outreach

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 12, 2008 · 12:04 AM EDT

After diving headlong into GOP vice presidential nominee Sarah Palin’s past, the media is questioning the governor’s Pentecostal background and treating it as if it were a liability to her candidacy.

Yet for months, the media has been obsessed with Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) and the Democratic…

For Obama, McCain, Standing Pat May Be The Wrong Approach

by Stuart Rothenberg September 11, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

The final phase of the 2008 presidential campaign has begun. Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) has the edge over Republican standard-bearer Sen. John McCain (Ariz.), but the race is competitive, so the next two months will determine the winner.

McCain has the ability and a strong incentive now to…

New Print Edition: 2008 Senate Overview

September 10, 2008 · 4:35 PM EDT
The September 10, 2008 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The print edition comes out every two weeks (even more frequently as Election Day approaches) and the content is not available online. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive…

New Print Edition: 2008 Senate Overview

September 10, 2008 · 4:35 PM EDT

The September 10, 2008 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The print edition comes out every two weeks (even more frequently as Election Day approaches) and the content is not available online. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive…

Some Bellwether States Losing Their Status

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 9, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

The presidential campaign of Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) has vowed to compete in all 50 states this fall. While he should perform better than Sen. John Kerry (D-Mass.) in some traditionally Republican states, he’s not going to achieve a Reagan-esque 1984 sweep.

If he defeats Sen. John McCain…

Politics, Baseball Intersect in St. Paul

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 8, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Four years ago, St. Paul, Minn., residents gave Sen. John Kerry (D-Mass.) a narrow victory over President Bush — a margin of 18 bobblehead dolls, to be precise.

The “Bobblelection” was a pre-election promotion by the St. Paul Saints, an independent professional baseball team partially owned by…

Defying the Numbers, Gilmore Presses On

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 7, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Despite polling and fundraising numbers that show him badly trailing his Democratic opponent, former Virginia Gov. Jim Gilmore (R) expressed optimism Tuesday night about his chances of winning a U.S. Senate seat this fall.

“It’s turning our way,” Gilmore said on the convention floor, just…

Business Interests Focus On the Fight for Senate Control

by Stuart Rothenberg September 5, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

While most Republicans in Minneapolis-St. Paul are focused on the race for the White House, many in the business community are equally concerned about this year’s Senate contests. That’s because unless Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) wins the presidency, the Senate will be the only place where they…