Archive

New Print Edition: 2008 House Overview

July 25, 2008 · 9:55 PM EDT

The July 25, 2008 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The print edition comes out every two weeks and the content is not available online. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly House and Senate…

For House Races Now, It’s All a Question of Money

by Stuart Rothenberg July 24, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

It’s no longer the time for mere scenarios or fundraising polling memos. Now is the time for serious candidates to show they have the fundraising energy and prowess to run top-shelf campaigns.

The latest round of fundraising numbers shows that some Congressional hopefuls have established…

Georgia Senate: One Race Where Endorsements Didn’t Matter

by Nathan L. Gonzales July 23, 2008 · 3:00 PM EDT

It was a dark primary night last Tuesday for one Georgia Democrat. Thirty-six-year-old Atlanta businessman Rand Knight, who corralled a series of high-profile endorsements, pulled an astounding 5 percent of the vote in last week’s Senate Democratic primary.

But the night was just as grim for…

Senate & House Round Table Discussions

July 23, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

This week, Stu participated in a 2008 House round table discussion with David Wasserman of the Cook Political Report and Tim Sahd of the Hotline. You can read the House transcript or listen to the podcast at Salon.com. Nathan participated in a 2008 Senate panel with Jennifer Duffy of the Cook…

Kentucky Senate: Democrat to Announce 2010 Challenge to Bunning

by Nathan L. Gonzales July 22, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Kentucky Sen. Jim Bunning (R) is about to pick up his first challenger, and his race is not for another 27 months.

Former U.S. Customs Agent Darlene Fitzgerald Price (D) is set to announce her candidacy for the Senate on Aug. 2. Price is also a former captain in the Army Military Police Corps…

The Big 5: Picking the States That Will Pick the President

by Stuart Rothenberg July 21, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

It’s far too soon to know whether the presidential contest will blow open into a laugher or remain competitive from now until Election Day. But if the race stays close until the end, a mere four or five states are likely to tell you whom the next occupant of the Oval Office will be.

Right now,…

Mississippi Senate: Democrats Look to Defy History

by Nathan L. Gonzales July 20, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Former Mississippi Gov. Ronnie Musgrove (D) will have to defy history to win this year’s Senate special election in the Magnolia State.

Over the last 60 years, there have been 23 times when both of a state’s Senate seats were up for election. In 20 of those instances (87 percent of the time),…

2008 Gubernatorial Ratings

July 19, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Here are our latest gubernatorial ratings. Democrats currently hold 28 governorships compared to 22 for the Republicans.



LEAN TAKEOVER (1 R, o D)
  • MO Open (Blunt, R)
TOSS-UP (1 R, 0 D)

 
NARROW ADVANTAGE INCUMBENT PARTY (1 R, 2 D)
  • Daniels (R-IN)
  • Gregoire (D-WA)
  • NC…

Missouri Governor: Hulshof Faces Two Tough Races

by Nathan L. Gonzales July 18, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Missouri Rep. Kenny Hulshof (R) hasn’t had a tough race in more than a decade, but he chose to leave his safe House seat in order to run for governor. Now he’s in the middle of a competitive primary, with an uphill general election looming if he survives.

Hulshof jumped at the opportunity to…

Where, Oh Where Are the Top House GOP Opportunities?

by Stuart Rothenberg July 17, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Not a single Democratic House seat switched to the GOP in 2006 while Republicans were losing 30 Congressional seats.

Could Democrats pitch another shut-out this year? It’s possible, though unlikely, even given the poor Republican poll numbers, the desire for change and the Democratic…