Archive

Media Buy Is the Message

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 14, 2008 · 11:05 PM EST

It’s going to be a long year for the National Republican Congressional Committee. Through 2007, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee had a $35.1 million to $5.4 million advantage over the NRCC, and some Republican strategists privately express significant concern over how the financial…

Kennedy’s Decision to Back Obama Not So Decisive After All

by Stuart Rothenberg February 13, 2008 · 11:05 PM EST

Massachusetts Sen. Edward Kennedy’s endorsement of Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) for president was a huge story in the national media.

Dave Espo of The Associated Press said the Senator “is in a position to help Obama court voting groups who so far have tilted [Sen. Hillary Rodham] Clinton’s…

New Print Edition: Illinois 11 & Kansas 3

February 12, 2008 · 12:05 AM EST

The February 8, 2008 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The print edition comes out every two weeks and the content is not available online. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly House and…

Tuesday’s Results Don’t Change the Political Trajectories

by Stuart Rothenberg February 10, 2008 · 11:05 PM EST

If Tuesday’s results demonstrate anything, it is that both parties remain deeply divided in their races for president.

The only difference is that the GOP’s winner-take-all system and three-way race is allowing Sen. John McCain (Ariz.) to open up a clear, and probably decisive, lead over his…

Ohio 2: A Nightmare of a Congressional Race

by Stuart Rothenberg February 6, 2008 · 10:05 PM EST

Every so often, I come across a great House race, such as the 2000 Michigan open-seat race where voters were lucky enough to be able to choose between Mike Rogers (R) and Diane Byrum (D). Those voters couldn’t lose, since both candidates clearly deserved to be in Congress. (Rogers won that race…

For GOP, Florida Brings Another Dose of Worrisome News

by Stuart Rothenberg February 3, 2008 · 11:05 PM EST

Republicans got more bad news on Tuesday. No, it isn’t that Arizona Sen. John McCain has emerged as the frontrunner for the GOP nomination. That’s actually good news for party officials, since McCain may well be the only Republican who has a chance to hold the White House for another four years…

New Print Edition: Nevada 3 & Ohio 2

February 1, 2008 · 12:05 AM EST

The January 30, 2008 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The print edition comes out every two weeks and the content is not available online. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly House and…

A Surprising General Election Opening for Republicans?

by Stuart Rothenberg January 30, 2008 · 11:05 PM EST

As this cycle began, Democrats looked united and prepared to take advantage of deep divisions in the Republicans’ ranks. But the increasingly bitter and personal attacks exchanged by Sens. Barack Obama (Ill.) and Hillary Rodham Clinton (N.Y.) suddenly raise the possibility that the eventual…

Maybe Candidate ‘Electability’ Isn’t So Decisive After All

by Stuart Rothenberg January 28, 2008 · 8:05 AM EST

Ever since Sen. John Kerry (Mass.) beat Howard Dean in Iowa in 2004 and went on to win the Democratic presidential nomination, we have heard that voters are becoming more strategic in their decision- making. They want to nominate someone who can win, not merely the candidate they agree with or…

Missouri 6: Graves Vs. Barnes- A Royal Rumble in Kansas City

by Stuart Rothenberg January 23, 2008 · 11:05 PM EST

“At-risk” incumbents come in all shapes and sizes. Sometimes their vulnerability follows from their voting records or their personal lives. Other times, it has nothing to do with them personally and everything to do with the quality of their opponents or the makeup of their electorates. And…