Archive

New Print Edition: 2008 Senate Outlook

April 20, 2007 · 3:31 PM EDT
The new April 20, 2007 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The print edition comes out every two weeks and the content is not available online. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly House and…

2008 Senate Ratings

April 20, 2007 · 3:27 PM EDT

Here are our latest Senate ratings. This early in the cycle, we only use three broad categories. Later, we will move to our more specific categories such as Clear Advantage, Narrow Advantage, Toss-Up, etc.



VULNERABLE (3 R, 0 D)

Kerry ’04 Campaign Holds Lesson for McCain and Clinton

by Stuart Rothenberg April 19, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

I know why former Sen. John Edwards (D-N.C.) wants to be president and how he’d like to change the country. Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani’s (R) message of strong leadership, especially in the war against terror, is clear enough. The same goes for Sen. Barack Obama’s (D-Ill.) message of…

Another Day Brings Another Dose of Bad News for the GOP

April 16, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

Spring has sprung in Washington, D.C., but not for Republicans. With the first quarter of 2007 now history, there is no evidence that President Bush has started to turn things around — or even that there are any reasonable prospects of him doing so.

Democrats have found two new issues to use…

Louisiana Governor: Jindal Looking Like Money in the Bank

April 13, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

Throwing another wrinkle into the ever-evolving Louisiana landscape, Rep. Bobby Jindal (R) announced that he has raised $5 million for his 2007 race for governor.

Jindal’s strong early fundraising, combined with what appears to be a growing doubt among insiders that former Senator John Breaux…

Pennsylvania 10: Eckel Takes a Pass

April 12, 2007 · 12:15 AM EDT

Updating our story in the April 4 print edition of the Report, Lackawanna businessman Keith Eckel (R) has accepted a position as vice-chairman of Nationwide and will not run for Congress in 2008. U.S. Attorney Tom Marino (R) remains the early favorite for the GOP nomination in Pennsylvania’s 10th…

What Does Presidential Fundraising Mean at This Early Stage?

by Stuart Rothenberg April 12, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

With all of the hubbub about the first-quarter fundraising numbers, there has been remarkably little attention to what those numbers mean, aside from the usual sports and classroom analogies about where each campaign “finished.”

“The winners of the first presidential fund-raising race are Mitt…

Dean’s Empty Definition of Easter

April 11, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

Two recent press releases from the Democratic National Committee reflect the party’s continuous struggle to understand evangelicals in America.

A March 30 press release entitled “DNC Offers Passover Greetings” included a joint statement by Chairman Howard Dean and DNC Vice Chair Susan Turnbull. The…

Dean’s Empty Definition of Easter

April 11, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT
By Nathan L. Gonzales

Two recent press releases from the Democratic National Committee reflect the party's continuous struggle to understand evangelicals in America.

A March 30 press release entitled "DNC Offers Passover Greetings" included a joint statement by Chairman Howard Dean and DNC Vice Chair…

Already, Too Much of the ’08 Coverage Is Quite Misleading

by Stuart Rothenberg April 5, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

Unfortunately, too many of us who cover politics are treating the 2008 presidential race as if it were the National Football League — where virtually every game is critical in the hunt for the playoffs.

Sorry, but that’s not exactly the way the presidential race works, at least not now that the…