Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin, on location at the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, analyze the state of the presidential race after the attempted assassination of former President Donald Trump, talk about the first two days of the Republican convention, and release…
Republicans lead up and down the ticket in a crucial midwestern swing district, according to new polling conducted by Noble Predictive Insights for Inside Elections.
In Michigan’s 7th District, one of 10 seats nationwide rated a toss-up, Republican Tom Barrett holds a substantial advantage over…
By Nathan L. Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin
It only took 90 minutes on a debate stage for President Joe Biden to bring instability to an otherwise stable and competitive race. And the current focus on his age and ability has Democrats searching for direction in order to avoid a wipeout. While the…
No one congressional district may have more political importance than Nebraska’s 2nd.
Anchored by Omaha, the 2nd District is the most evenly divided district in the entire country (according to Inside Elections’ Baseline). And it’s also one of just five congressional districts to cast its own…
Arizona’s 1st District. A Noble Predictive Insights poll fielded June 25-27 of 420 likely Democratic primary voters found five candidates within 8 points of each other and more than a third of the electorate still undecided. Former state Rep. Amish Shah and former state party chairman Andrei Cherny…
New York Rep. Jamaal Bowman’s loss to George Latimer in the 16th District Democratic primary puts the progressive in rare company among House members.
While it is uncommon for any incumbent to lose a primary race — it happens just 2 percent of the time on average in any given cycle — it is…
Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin look at the potential fallout from the CNN debate between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump and analyze a handful of key House races in New York with Emily Ngo of Politico.
Listen to the podcast on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or Pocket Casts…
A House incumbent was finally defeated in a primary this cycle, although it was not a surprise.
Another is locked in a race that is still too close to call. And House Republicans had a good night overall in Colorado, where they avoided nominating flawed candidates in multiple races.
Voters in…
By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin
A presidential year and presidential-level turnout was supposed to boost Democratic chances down the ballot. But that’s not how the cycle is playing out. Instead of President Joe Biden’s re-election carrying Democrats to a House majority, Democratic House…
Alaska. Primary Aug. 20.
At-Large District. Mary Peltola, D, re-elected 55%. Trump 53%. This race got a major shakeup when Trump endorsed Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom, who is the preferred candidate of national Republicans, over entrepreneur Nick Begich III, who is also in the race. Republican…
